in

Improving the visual communication of environmental model projections

[adace-ad id="91168"]
  • 1.

    Hansen, L. J. & Hoffman, J. R. Climate Savvy: Adapting Conservation and Resource Management to a Changing World, Austral Ecology (Island Press, 2011).

    Book 

    Google Scholar 

  • 2.

    Huang, Q., Fleming, C., Robb, B., Lothspeich, A. & Songer, M. How different are species distribution model predictions? Application of a new measure of dissimilarity and level of significance to giant panda Ailuropoda melanoleuca. Ecol. Inform. 46, 114–124 (2018).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 3.

    Giorgi, F. & Mearns, L. O. Probability of regional climate change based on the Reliability Ensemble Averaging (REA) method. Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, 1–4 (2003).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 4.

    Palmer, T. N., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Hagedorn, R. & Weisheimer, A. Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: From basics to applications. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London B Biol. Sci. 360, 1991–1998 (2005).

    CAS 
    PubMed 
    PubMed Central 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 5.

    Dormann, C. F. et al. Prediction uncertainty of environmental change effects on temperate European biodiversity. Ecol. Lett. 11, 235–244 (2008).

    PubMed 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 6.

    Spence, M. A. et al. A general framework for combining ecosystem models. Fish Fish. 19, 1031–1042 (2018).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 7.

    Janssen, P. H. M., Petersen, A. C., van der Sluijs, J. P., Risbey, J. S. & Ravetz, J. R. A guidance for assessing and communicating uncertainties. Water Sci. Technol. 52, 125–131 (2005).

    CAS 
    PubMed 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 8.

    Frewer, L. The public and effective risk communication. Toxicol. Lett. 149, 391–397 (2004).

    CAS 
    PubMed 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 9.

    Leiserowitz, A. A., Malbach, E. W., Roser-Renough, C., Smith, N. & Dawson, E. Climategate, public opinion, and the loss of trust. Am. Behav. Sci. 57, 818–837 (2012).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 10.

    Hyder, K. et al. Making modelling count: Increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management. Mar. Policy 61, 291–302 (2015).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 11.

    Cartwright, S. J. et al. Communicating complex ecological models to non-scientist end users. Ecol. Model. 338, 51–59 (2016).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 12.

    Doyle, E. E. H., Johnston, D. M., Smith, R. & Paton, D. Communicating model uncertainty for natural hazards: A qualitative systematic thematic review. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 33, 449–476 (2019).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 13.

    Kamal, A. et al. Recent advances and challenges in uncertainty visualization: A survey. J. Vis. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12650-021-00755-1 (2021).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 14.

    Spiegelhalter, D. J. & Riesch, H. Don’t know, can’t know: Embracing deeper uncertainties when analysing risks. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A 369, 4730–4750 (2011).

    ADS 
    MathSciNet 
    Article 
    MATH 

    Google Scholar 

  • 15.

    Brodlie, K., Osorio, R. A. & Lopes, A. A review of uncertainty in data visualization. In Expanding the Frontiers of Visual Analytics and Visualization (eds Dill, J. et al.) 81–109 (Springer, 2012).

    Chapter 

    Google Scholar 

  • 16.

    MacEachren, A. M. et al. Visualizing geospatial information uncertainty: what we know and what we need to know. Cartogr. Geogr. Inf. Sci. 32, 139–160 (2005).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 17.

    Ibrekk, H. & Morgan, M. G. Graphical communication of uncertain quantities to nontechnical people. Risk Anal. 7, 519–529 (1987).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 18.

    Hawkins, E. The cascade of uncertainty in climate projections. https://www.climate-lab-book.ac.uk/2014/cascade-of-uncertainty/. 6 Feb 2014.

  • 19.

    Wilby, R. L. & Dessai, S. Robust adaptation to climate change. Weather 65, 180–185 (2010).

    ADS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 20.

    Daron, J., Lorenz, S., Taylor, A. & Dessai, S. Communicating future climate projections of precipitation change. Clim. Change. 166, 23 (2021).

    ADS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 21.

    Kinkeldey, C., MacEachren, A. M. & Schiewe, J. How to assess visual communication of uncertainty? A systematic review of geospatial uncertainty visualisation user studies. Cartogr. J. 51, 372–386 (2014).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 22.

    van Vuuren, D. P. et al. The representative concentration pathways: An overview. Clim. Change 109, 5–31 (2011).

    ADS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 23.

    Breslow, N. E. & Clayton, D. G. Approximate inference in generalized linear mixed models. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 88, 9–25 (1993).

    MATH 

    Google Scholar 

  • 24.

    Bates, D., Maechler, M., Bolker, B. & Walker, S. Fitting linear mixed-effects models using lme4. J. Stat. Softw. 67, 1–48 (2015).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 25.

    Christensen, R.H.B. ordinal—Regression models for ordinal data. R package version 2018.4-19. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=ordinal Deposited 19 Apr 2018.

  • 26.

    Peterson, B. & Harrell, F. E. Partial proportional odds models for ordinal response variables. Appl. Stat. 39, 205–217 (1990).

    Article 
    MATH 

    Google Scholar 

  • 27.

    Momeni, A., Pincus, M. & Libien, J. Introduction to Statistical Methods in Pathology (Springer, 2018).

    Book 

    Google Scholar 

  • 28.

    Turner, H. & Firth, D. Bradley-Terry models in R: The BradleyTerry2 package. J. Stat. Softw. 48, 1–21 (2012).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 29.

    Akaike, H. Information theory and an extension of maximum likelihood principle. In Proceedings of the 2nd International Symposium on Information Theory. Tsahkadsor, Armenia, USSR, 2–8 September (1973).

  • 30.

    Rubinstein, R. The cross-entropy method for combinatorial and continuous optimization. Methodol. Comput. Appl. Probab. 1, 127–190 (1999).

    MathSciNet 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 31.

    Kendall, M. G. A new measure of rank correlation. Biometrika 30, 81–93 (1938).

    Article 
    MATH 

    Google Scholar 

  • 32.

    Venables, W. N. & Ripley, B. D. Modern Applied Statistics with S (Springer, 2002).

    Book 
    MATH 

    Google Scholar 

  • 33.

    Firth, D., qvcalc: Quasi variances for factor effects in statistical statistical models. R package version 0.9-1. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=qvcalc. Deposited 19 Sept 2017.

  • 34.

    Pihur, V., Datta, S. & Datta, S. RankAggreg: Weighted rank aggregation (2018). R package version 0.6-4. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=RankAggreg. Deposited 18 Mar 2018.

  • 35.

    Belia, S., Fidler, F., Williams, J. & Cumming, G. Researchers misunderstand confidence intervals and standard error bars. Psychol. Methods 10, 389 (2005).

    PubMed 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 36.

    Cumming, G., Fidler, F. & Vaux, D. L. Error bars in experimental biology. J. Cell Biol. 177, 7–11 (2007).

    CAS 
    PubMed 
    PubMed Central 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 37.

    Hullman, J., Resnick, P. & Adar, E. Hypothetical outcome plots outperform error bars and violin plots for inferences about reliability of variable ordering. PLoS ONE 10, e0142444 (2015).

    PubMed 
    PubMed Central 
    Article 
    CAS 

    Google Scholar 

  • 38.

    Correll, M. & Gleicher, M. Error bars considered harmful: Exploring alternate encodings for mean and error. IEEE Trans. Vis. Comput. Graph. 20, 2142–2151 (2014).

    PubMed 
    PubMed Central 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 39.

    Lipkus, I. M. & Hollands, J. G. The visual communication of risk. JNCI Monogr. 25, 149–163 (1999).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 40.

    Spiegelhalter, D., Pearson, M. & Short, I. Visualizing uncertainty about the future. Science 333, 1393–1400 (2011).

    ADS 
    CAS 
    PubMed 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 41.

    Few, S. Solutions to the problem of over-plotting in graphs. Visual Business Intelligence Newsletter (2008).

  • 42.

    Daron, J. D., Lorenz, S., Wolski, P., Blamey, R. C. & Jack, C. Interpreting climate data visualisations to inform adaptation decisions. Clim. Risk Manag. 10, 17–26 (2015).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 43.

    Heer, J. & Agrawala, M. Multi-scale banking to 450. IEEE Trans. Vis. Comput. Graph. 12, 701–708 (2006).

    PubMed 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 44.

    Lorenz, S., Dessai, S., Paavola, J. & Forster, P. M. The communication of physical science uncertainty in European National Adaptation Strategies. Clim. Change 132, 143–155 (2015).

    ADS 
    CAS 
    PubMed 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 45.

    Quispel, A., Maes, A. & Schilperoord, J. Graph and chart aesthetics for experts and laymen in design: The role of familiarity and perceived ease of use. Inf. Vis. 15, 238–252 (2016).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 46.

    Saary, M. J. Radar plots: A useful way for presenting multivariate health care data. J. Clin. Epidemiol. 61, 311–317 (2008).

    PubMed 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 47.

    Vaughan, N. E. & Gough, C. Expert assessment concludes negative emissions scenarios may not deliver. Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 95003 (2016).

    Article 
    CAS 

    Google Scholar 

  • 48.

    Peltier, J. Excel Charting Dos and Don’ts (Peltier Technical Services, 2013).

    Google Scholar 

  • 49.

    Lohse, G. L. The role of working memory on graphical information processing. Behav. Inf. Technol. 16, 297–308 (1997).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 50.

    Grainger, S., Mao, F. & Buytaert, W. Environmental data visualisation for non-scientific contexts: Literature review and design framework. Environ. Model. Softw. 85, 299–318 (2016).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 51.

    Few, S. Heatmaps: to bin or not to bin? Visual Business Intelligence Newsletter (2017).

  • 52.

    Moreland, K. Diverging color maps for scientific visualization. In Advances in Visual Computing (eds Bebis, G. et al.) 92–103 (Springer, 2009).

    Chapter 

    Google Scholar 

  • 53.

    Alrehiely, M., Eslambolchilar, P. & Borgo, R. Evaluating different visualization designs for personal health data. In Proceedings of the 32nd International BCS Human Computer Interaction Conference, Belfast, UK, 4–6 July (2018).

  • 54.

    Saket, B., Endert, A. & Demiralp, C. Task-based effectiveness of basic visualizations. IEEE Trans. Visual Comput. Graph. 25, 2505–2512 (2019).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • 55.

    Dahshan, M., Polys, N. F., Jayne, R. S. & Pollyea, R. M. Making sense of scientific simulation ensembles with semantic interaction. Comput. Graph. Forum. 39, 325–343 (2020).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 


  • Source: Ecology - nature.com

    Dynamic carbon flux network of a diverse marine microbial community

    Genetic purging in captive endangered ungulates with extremely low effective population sizes