in

Rapid intensification of the emerging southwestern North American megadrought in 2020–2021

[adace-ad id="91168"]
  • Mankin, J. S. et al. NOAA Drought Task Force Report on the 2020–2021 Southwestern U.S. Drought (NOAA Drought Task Force, MAPP and NIDIS, 2021); https://www.drought.gov/sites/default/files/2021-09/NOAA-Drought-Task-Force-IV-Southwest-Drought-Report-9-23-21.pdf

  • H.R.2030—Colorado River Drought Contingency Plan Authorization Act (US House of Representatives, 2019); https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/2030

  • Svoboda, M. et al. The Drought Monitor. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 83, 1181–1190 (2002).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Cook, E. R. et al. Megadroughts in North America: placing IPCC projections of hydroclimatic change in a long-term palaeoclimate context. J. Quat. Sci. 25, 48–61 (2010).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Williams, A. P. et al. Large contribution from anthropogenic warming to a developing North American megadrought. Science 368, 314–318 (2020).

    CAS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Cook, B. I. et al. North American megadroughts in the Common Era: reconstructions and simulations. WIREs Clim. Change 7, 411–432 (2016).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Woodhouse, C. A. & Overpeck, J. T. 2000 years of drought variability in the central United States. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79, 2693–2714 (1998).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Breshears, D. D. et al. Regional vegetation die-off in response to global-change-type drought. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 102, 15144–15148 (2005).

    CAS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Williams, A. P. et al. Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality. Nat. Clim. Change 3, 292–297 (2013).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Eyring, V. et al. Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. Geosci. Model Dev. 9, 1937–1958 (2016).

  • Barnett, T. P., Adam, J. C. & Lettenmaier, D. P. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature 438, 303–309 (2005).

    CAS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Das, T., Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Vano, J. A. & Lettenmaier, D. P. The importance of warm season warming to western US streamflow changes. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L23403 (2011).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Milly, P. C. D. & Dunne, K. A. Colorado River flow dwindles as warming-driven loss of reflective snow energizes evaporation. Science 367, 1252–1255 (2020).

    CAS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Pascolini-Campbell, M., Reager, J. T., Chandanpurkar, H. A. & Rodell, M. A 10 per cent increase in global land evapotranspiration from 2003 to 2019. Nature 593, 543–547 (2021).

    CAS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Udall, B. & Overpeck, J. The twenty‐first century Colorado River hot drought and implications for the future. Water Resour. Res. 53, 2404–2418 (2017).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Cook, B. I. et al. Uncertainties, limits, and benefits of climate change mitigation for soil moisture drought in southwestern North America. Earth’s Future 9, e2021EF002014 (2021).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Ault, T. R., Mankin, J. S., Cook, B. I. & Smerdon, J. E. Relative impacts of mitigation, temperature, and precipitation on 21st-century megadrought risk in the American Southwest. Sci. Adv. 2, e1600873 (2016).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Woodhouse, C. A., Meko, D. M., MacDonald, G. M. & Stahle, D. W. A 1,200-year perspective of 21st century drought in southwestern North America. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 107, 21283–21288 (2010).

    CAS 
    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Lepley, K. et al. A multi-century Sierra Nevada snowpack reconstruction modeled using upper-elevation coniferous tree rings (California, USA). Holocene 30, 1266–1278 (2020).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 

  • Williams, A. P. et al. Tree rings and observations suggest no stable cycles in Sierra Nevada cool-season precipitation. Water Resour. Res. 57, e2020WR028599 (2021).

    Article 

    Google Scholar 


  • Source: Resources - nature.com

    Stakeholder collaboration

    First-ever Climate Grand Challenges recognizes 27 finalists