in

From Paleogene to Anthropocene: phylogeography, geographic patterns of traits, and chronology of evolutionary drivers in northeast Asian anurans


Abstract

The responses of anurans to paleogeology, climate variability and anthropogenic factors play a crucial role in understanding their diversity and population dynamics. Despite substantial phylogeographic studies existing for northeast Asia, a region-wide synthesis linking divergence timing with major evolutionary drivers is lacking. To address this gap, we synthesised published divergence-time estimates for northeast Asian anurans from 1998 to present, and linked basal, stem and crown ages to their associated drivers and regional contexts. We integrated the data with time-calibrated genomic species trees, diversification analyses, and three key trait data (body size, elevation and latitude range) to assess temporal patterns of lineage divergence and compare diversification dynamics among the major anuran families in northeast Asia. Our synthesis identifies four recurrent evolutionary drivers: (1) paleogeology and landscape barriers, (2) climate fluctuations and latitudinal gradients, (3) glaciations and past sea-level change, and (4) anthropogenic influences. Across families, we highlight unresolved species boundaries, detect the genetic imprint of human-mediated disturbance, synthesise phenotypic, ecological, and macroevolutionary patterns using openly available datasets, and identify cases where multiple drivers interact within species complexes. Bayesian Analysis of Macroevolutionary Mixtures (BAMM) trait reconstructions showed that across all three traits, Ranidae had the highest trait values through time, indicating broader ecological breadth and greater macroevolutionary expansion than Bufonidae and Microhylidae. Our synthesis integrates divergence timing, trait evolution, and environmental drivers, providing a general framework for understanding biodiversity responses to long-term environmental change.

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Fig. 1: The key drivers contributing to the pattern of evolutionary diversification of anurans in northeast Asia.
The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.
Fig. 2: Topology of species trees for major clades of northeast Asian anuran species constructed using a supermatrix alignment combining mtDNA and genome-wide SNPs.
The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.
Fig. 3: Evolutionary dynamics linking climatic and phenotypic traits in northeast Asian anurans.
The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.

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Data availability

All sequences used in this study were obtained from publicly available databases, including GenBank and the NCBI Sequence Read Archive (NCBI, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/genbank), with accession details provided in Table S4. The methodology and supporting data for integrative dating information are available in the electronic supplementary material. Nexus alignments, BEAST input files (.xml), BAMM input files, and the R script used for speciation-extinction and macroevolutionary trait analyses can be accessed through the Mendeley Data (URL: https://data.mendeley.com/datasets/nbkhzc84df/1).

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Acknowledgements

We thank Professor Yikweon Jang and Professor Yuseob Kim (Ewha Womans University, Republic of Korea) for inspiring the fundamental idea behind this study. We express gratitude to Jiaqi Liu (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, China) for assistance with data curation, and Xiaoli Zhang (Nanjing Forestry University, China), for providing the spatial data layers used in the compilation of divergence-dating information and mapping. We thank the reviewers for their constructive comments, which helped improve the manuscript.

Funding

The study was funded by the Research Fund for International Scientists (RFIS) from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number 32350410398), and by Foreign Young Talent under the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China (grant number QN2023014005L), both awarded to SNO. It was additionally supported by the Research Fund for International Scientists (RFIS) of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number W2432021) awarded to AB.

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Othman, S.N., Borzée, A. From Paleogene to Anthropocene: phylogeography, geographic patterns of traits, and chronology of evolutionary drivers in northeast Asian anurans.
Heredity (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41437-026-00856-3

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