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Hydrodynamic response of an Antarctic glacial bay to cross-bay winds and its potential impact on primary production


Abstract

Antarctic glacial bays are important, productive regions of the Southern Ocean. Certain glacial bays, including our research area, Admiralty Bay, are less favorable for phytoplankton growth due to wind-enhanced high energy levels, but they still host localized biological blooms. Westerly winds are predominant in Admiralty Bay; the strongest storms are from the east. These winds act perpendicular to the main axis of the bay. This study investigates the impact of cross-bay winds on the bay’s hydrodynamics and its potential effects on primary production. A hydrodynamic model, coupled with a Lagrangian model tracking potential iron sources, was run under seven wind scenarios. Results indicate that all winds reduce water column stratification, but energy increase rates and circulation pattern shifts vary with wind direction. Westerly winds restrict outflow and promote the formation of submesoscale eddies near inner inlet openings, concentrating water masses that are expected to be iron-rich, potentially stimulating phytoplankton growth. Conversely, easterly winds enhance outflow, flushing bay waters and likely negatively impacting productivity. Limited observational and satellite-derived biological data provide supportive evidence for the model-based hypothesis that the direction of cross-bay winds, rather than just their magnitude, significantly influences local productivity.

Data availability

The modelling setup files and results are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request. The observational data analyzed during the current study can be found in online repositories: PANGAEA – https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.947909; Zenodo – https://zenodo.org/records/10277429

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Acknowledgements

Special thanks are owed to Laboratory of Sedimentary and Environmental Processes – INCT-Criosfera Fluminense Federal University – Geoscience Institute in Brazil for providing us with bathymetric data from Admiralty Bay. We thank the publishers of all open-source data used in the setup of this model: the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the Byrd Polar Research Center of The Ohio State University for providing AMPS modelled wind data, and NOAA for compiling observational wind data for validation; Earth and Space Research for producing the CATS2008 tides model45; and Ref. 46 for sharing gridded temperature and salinity reanalysis data. We thank Deltares for making the Delft3D Flow model available for calculations and CI TASK (Center of the Tri-City Academic Computer Network) in Gdańsk, Poland, which offered computing power and software to enable calculations. We thank Daniel Pereira for creating the Wind-Rose MATLAB add-on utilized in this paper. We would also like to thank the Editor and the three anonymous Reviewers for their constructive comments and insightful suggestions, which significantly improved the clarity and quality of this manuscript. Finally, we would like to express our heartfelt gratitude to the various members of the Arctowski Polish Antarctic Station crew for their assistance with observations and measurements.

Funding

This research was funded by two grants from the National Science Centre in Poland: No. 2017/25/B/ST10/02092 ’Quantitative assessment of sediment transport from glaciers of South Shetland Islands on the basis of selected remote sensing methods’ and No. 2018/31/B/ST10/00195 ’Observations and modeling of sea ice interactions with the atmospheric and oceanic boundary layers’.

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Contributions

M.O. Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft; AH: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing – review and editing

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Correspondence to
Maria Osińska.

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Osińska, M., Herman, A. Hydrodynamic response of an Antarctic glacial bay to cross-bay winds and its potential impact on primary production.
Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-34031-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-34031-1

Keywords

  • Admiralty Bay
  • Southern Ocean
  • Numerical modelling
  • Physical oceanography
  • West Antarctic Peninsula
  • GMW

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