Abstract
Deformed wing virus (DWV) is a major viral pathogen of Apis mellifera, existing mainly as two genotypes, DWV-A and DWV-B, which differ in transmission dynamics and virulence. This study presents a three-year national molecular surveillance (2021–2023) of Italian honey bee colonies to investigate the spatio-temporal distribution of both variants in relation to apiary density, geographical gradients, and land-use patterns. Quantitative PCR (qPCR) and Bayesian spatio-temporal models were applied to assess viral prevalence and environmental predictors. DWV-B was the dominant variant (overall 73.7%) and displayed a marked autumnal peak in November, followed by a winter decline. In contrast, DWV-A showed a complementary trend, peaking in summer and decreasing with apiary density, suggesting an environmentally mediated transmission pathway. Spatial analysis revealed higher DWV-B prevalence in southern and insular regions, whereas DWV-A predominated in central and northeastern regions. Land-use effects further indicated that DWV-B is linked to anthropogenic landscapes with intensive beekeeping, while DWV-A is associated with more heterogeneous environments. These findings highlight distinct ecological dependencies between DWV variants: DWV-B is probably more Varroa-associated, colony-driven virus favoured by warm, stable climates, while DWV-A reflects diffuse environmental persistence. Integrating climatic and management factors is essential to predict DWV epidemiological shifts under global change.
Data availability
The dataset used in the present study is available from the authors upon request.
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Data elaboration was supported by techniques acquired during the Master’s program in ’Geostatistics for Human, Animal, and Environmental Health’ offered by the University of Padua.
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Conceptualization : Dolores Catelan, Giovanni Cilia, Antonio Nanetti Data Curation : Rossella Tiritelli, Allegra Sartore, Laura Zavatta, Dolores Catelan, Giovanni Cilia Formal Analysis : Rossella Tiritelli, Allegra Sartore, Laura Zavatta, Dolores Catelan, Giovanni Cilia Funding Acquisition : Laura Bortolotti Investigation : Rossella Tiritelli, Sergio Albertazzi, Vittorio Capano, Valeria Caringi, Irene Guerra, Elena Tafi, Laura Bortolotti, Antonio Nanetti, Giovanni Cilia Project Administration : Laura Bortolotti, Antonio Nanetti, Giovanni Cilia Resources : Laura Bortolotti Software : Rossella Tiritelli, Allegra Sartore, Laura Zavatta, Dolores Catelan, Giovanni Cilia Supervision : Dolores Catelan, Giovanni Cilia, Antonio Nanetti Validation : Dolores Catelan, Giovanni Cilia, Laura Bortolotti, Antonio Nanetti Visualization : Rossella Tiritelli, Allegra Sartore, Laura Zavatta, Sergio Albertazzi, Vittorio Capano, Valeria Caringi, Irene Guerra, Elena Tafi, Laura Bortolotti, Dolores Catelan, Antonio Nanetti, Giovanni Cilia Writing—Original Draft Preparation : Rossella Tiritelli, Allegra Sartore, Laura Zavatta, Dolores Catelan, Giovanni Cilia Writing—Review & Editing : Rossella Tiritelli, Allegra Sartore, Laura Zavatta, Sergio Albertazzi, Vittorio Capano, Valeria Caringi, Irene Guerra, Elena Tafi, Laura Bortolotti, Dolores Catelan, Antonio Nanetti, Giovanni Cilia.
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Tiritelli, R., Sartore, A., Zavatta, L. et al. Opposite seasonal and spatial dynamics of DWV-A and DWV-B suggest distinct transmission pathways in managed honey bees (Apis mellifera L.) colonies.
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-47121-5
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