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Satellite remote sensing enables monitoring of soil organic carbon decline in croplands of Jilin China


Abstract

Soil organic carbon (SOC) is a key parameter for soil quality. As one of the major grain-producing regions of China, Jilin Province plays a critical role in ensuring national food security, making cropland SOC monitoring essential. Based on satellite remote sensing observations, this study reveals an overall 5.14% decline in SOC across croplands in Jilin Province over the past seven years. Losses were most pronounced in the west, while the central and eastern areas remained relatively stable. Conventional SOC estimation methods largely rely on machine learning, which can lack physical interpretability and reproducibility. PLSR-based SOC models achieved validation R2 values of 0.40–0.61 with corresponding RMSEs of 0.30–0.38 across MODIS Terra, Landsat OLI, and Sentinel-2 MSI. The quantitative models exhibit satisfactory validation accuracy but limited spatial robustness across sensors in practical mapping. This study proposes a new broadband spectral index, the Ratio Soil Index (RSI), applied at 30-meter resolution. Using field synchronized SOC measurements and spectral analysis, we developed broadband indices from MODIS Terra, Landsat OLI, and Sentinel MSI. The RSI showed strong correlations with measured SOC, with coefficients of 0.72, 0.74, and 0.77 for the three sensors. Its spatial patterns were consistent with ground observations within the 95% confidence interval. The findings demonstrate that the RSI, with its concise formulation, reliable mapping performance, and ability to identify the variations of SOC, offers a scalable and reproducible metric for national SOC monitoring under changing agricultural management.

Data availability

The satellite remote sensing data used for spectral index mapping can be accessed via the Google Earth Engine (GEE). And the GEE script is available at: https://code.earthengine.google.com/cfaa76a180574b0b0226783e7e387c76. Additional data related to this paper are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

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Acknowledgments

This research was supported by Science and Technology Research Project of the Education Department of Jilin Province (JJKH20230344KJ), The Seventh Batch of Jilin Province Youth Science and Technology Talents Support Program (QT202322), Science and Technology Development Plan Project of Jilin Province, China (YDZJ202401539ZYTS). The soil organic carbon content testing was performed at the Heilongjiang Provincial Research Center of Geological and Mineral Experimental Testing. We thank Quansheng Wang, Jie Cao, Jincheng Lei, Yan Zhang, and Jingjing Zuo from the School of Modern Industry, Jilin Jianzhu University, for their support in data collection and processing.

Funding

Science and Technology Research Project of the Education Department of Jilin Province, JJKH20230344KJ, The Seventh Batch of Jilin Province Youth Science and Technology Talents Support Program, QT202322, Science and Technology Development Plan Project of Jilin Province, China, YDZJ202401539ZYTS.

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Contributions

Z.X. prepared the conceptualization and methodology of the study, developed the software, conducted the formal analysis and data curation, performed the visualization, wrote the original draft, contributed to the validation, supervised the research, administered the project, and acquired the funding. D.H. contributed to software development, participated in the investigation and data curation, validated the results, performed part of the formal analysis, and reviewed and edited the original draft. N.L. supervised the study, co-administered the project, and contributed to funding acquisition. W.L. edited the original draft and participated in the investigation. T.D. provided resources and assisted in data curation. H.C. and Z.W. participated in the investigation and processing of the data.

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Correspondence to
Zhengyuan Xu.

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Xu, Z., Hou, D., Lin, N. et al. Satellite remote sensing enables monitoring of soil organic carbon decline in croplands of Jilin China.
Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-38386-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-38386-x

Keywords

  • Soil organic carbon (SOC)
  • SOC decline
  • Broadband spectral index
  • Jilin province
  • Multi-source remote sensing


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