Cury, P. et al. Small pelagics in upwelling systems: patterns of interaction and structural changes in “wasp-waist” ecosystems. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 57, 603–618 (2000).
Fréon, P., Cury, P., Shannon, L. & Roy, C. Sustainable exploitation of small pelagic fish stocks challenged by environmental and ecosystem changes: a review. Bull. Mar. Sci. 76, 385–462 (2005).
The State of Mediterranean and Black Sea Fisheries 2020. (FAO, 2020). doi:https://doi.org/10.4060/cb2429en.
Checkley, D. M., Asch, R. G. & Rykaczewski, R. R. Climate, Anchovy, and Sardine. Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci. 9, 469–493 (2017).
Google Scholar
Bakun, A. Patterns in the ocean: Ocean processes and marine population dynamics. Oceanogr. Lit. Rev. 5, 530 (1997).
Houde, E. D. Recruitment variability. Fish. Reprod. Biol. 1, 91–171 (2009).
Cole, J. & McGlade, J. Clupeoid population variability, the environment and satellite imagery in coastal upwelling systems. Rev. Fish Biol. Fish. 8, 445–471 (1998).
Pörtner, H. O. & Peck, M. A. Climate change effects on fishes and fisheries: towards a cause-and-effect understanding. J. Fish Biol. 77, 1745–1779 (2010).
Google Scholar
European Commission. Joint Research Centre. Institute for the Protection and the Security of the Citizen. Scientific, technical and economic committee for fisheries (STECF) : Assessment of mediterranean stocks (Part I). (Publications Office, 2010).
García, A. & Palomera, I. Anchovy early life history and its relation to its surrounding environment in the Western Mediterranean basin. 12 (1996).
Tsikliras, A. C., Antonopoulou, E. & Stergiou, K. I. Spawning period of Mediterranean marine fishes. 40 (2010).
Fernández-Corredor, E., Albo-Puigserver, M., Pennino, M. G., Bellido, J. M. & Coll, M. Influence of environmental factors on different life stages of European anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) and European sardine (Sardina pilchardus) from the Mediterranean Sea: A literature review. Reg. Stud. Mar. Sci. 41, 1006 (2021).
Agostini, V. N. & Bakun, A. Ocean triads’ in the Mediterranean Sea: physical mechanisms potentially structuring reproductive habitat suitability (with example application to European anchovy, Engraulis encrasicolus). Fish. Oceanogr. 11, 129–142 (2002).
Lasker, R. The relation between oceanographic conditions and larval anchovy food in the California Current: identification of factors contributing to recruitment failure. Rapp. P-V Reun. Cons. Int. Explor. Mer. 173, 212–230 (1978).
Cushing, D. H. Plankton Production and Year-class Strength in Fish Populations: an Update of the Match/Mismatch Hypothesis. in Advances in Marine Biology (eds. Blaxter, J. H. S. & Southward, A. J.) vol. 26 249–293 (Academic Press, 1990).
Patti, B. et al. Anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) early life stages in the Central Mediterranean Sea: connectivity issues emerging among adjacent sub-areas across the Strait of Sicily. Hydrobiologia 821, 25–40 (2018).
Maynou, F., Sabatés, A. & Raya, V. Changes in the spawning habitat of two small pelagic fish in the Northwestern Mediterranean. Fish. Oceanogr. 29, 201–213 (2020).
Basilone, G. et al. Spawning site selection by European anchovy ( Engraulis encrasicolus ) in relation to oceanographic conditions in the Strait of Sicily. Fish. Oceanogr. 22, 309–323 (2013).
Malavolti, S. et al. Distribution of Engraulis encrasicolus eggs and larvae in relation to coastal oceanographic conditions (the South-western Adriatic Sea case study). Mediterr. Mar. Sci. 19, 180 (2018).
Zorica, B. et al. Spatiotemporal distribution of anchovy early life stages in the eastern part of the Adriatic Sea in relation to some oceanographic features. J. Mar. Biol. Assoc. UK 99, 1205–1211 (2019).
Punt, A. E. et al. Fisheries management under climate and environmental uncertainty: control rules and performance simulation. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 71, 2208–2220 (2014).
Szuwalski, C. S. & Hilborn, R. Environment drives forage fish productivity. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 112, E3314–E3315 (2015).
Google Scholar
Ganias, K. Biology and Ecology of Sardines and Anchovies. 391.
Palomera, I. et al. Small pelagic fish in the NW Mediterranean Sea: An ecological review. Prog. Oceanogr. 74, 377–396 (2007).
Google Scholar
Patti, B., Torri, M. & Cuttitta, A. General surface circulation controls the interannual fluctuations of anchovy stock biomass in the Central Mediterranean Sea. Sci. Rep. 10, 1554 (2020).
Google Scholar
Pisano, A. et al. New evidence of mediterranean climate change and variability from sea surface temperature observations. Rem. Sens. 12, 132 (2020).
Google Scholar
Regner, S. Effects of environmental changes on early stages and reproduction of anchovy in the Adriatic Sea. Sci. Mar. 60, 167–177 (1996).
Lavigne, H. et al. Enhancing the comprehension of mixed layer depth control on the Mediterranean phytoplankton phenology: Mediterranean Phytoplankton Phenology. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans 118, 3416–3430 (2013).
Google Scholar
Morote, E., Olivar, M. P., Villate, F. & Uriarte, I. A comparison of anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) and sardine (Sardina pilchardus) larvae feeding in the Northwest Mediterranean: Influence of prey availability and ontogeny. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 67, 897–908 (2010).
Basilone, G. et al. Spawning ecology of the European anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) in the Strait of Sicily: Linking variations of zooplankton prey, fish density, growth, and reproduction in an upwelling system. Prog. Oceanogr. 184, 102330 (2020).
McBride, R. S. et al. Energy acquisition and allocation to egg production in relation to fish reproductive strategies. Fish Fish. 16, 23–57 (2015).
d’Ortenzio, F. & Ribera d’Alcalà, M. On the trophic regimes of the Mediterranean Sea: a satellite analysis. Biogeosciences 6, 139–148 (2009).
Google Scholar
Escribano, A., Aldanondo, N., Cotano, U., Boyra, G. & Urtizberea, A. Size- and density-dependent overwinter mortality of anchovy juveniles in the Bay of Biscay. Cont. Shelf Res. 183, 28–37 (2019).
Google Scholar
Bellido, J. M. et al. Identifying essential fish habitat for small pelagic species in Spanish Mediterranean waters. Hydrobiologia 612, 171–184 (2008).
Van Beveren, E. et al. The fisheries history of small pelagics in the Northern Mediterranean. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 73, 1474–1484 (2016).
Edwards, M., Beaugrand, G., Helaouët, P., Alheit, J. & Coombs, S. Marine ecosystem response to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. PLoS ONE 8, e57212 (2013).
Google Scholar
Erauskin-Extramiana, M. et al. Historical trends and future distribution of anchovy spawning in the Bay of Biscay. Deep Sea Res. Part II Top. Stud. Oceanogr. 159, 169–182 (2019).
Bertrand, A. et al. Schooling behaviour and environmental forcing in relation to anchoveta distribution: An analysis across multiple spatial scales. Prog. Oceanogr. 79, 264–277 (2008).
Google Scholar
Giannoulaki, M. et al. Characterizing the potential habitat of European anchovy Engraulis encrasicolus in the Mediterranean Sea, at different life stages: Habitat of anchovy in the Mediterranean. Fish. Oceanogr. 22, 69–89 (2013).
Durant, J., Hjermann, D., Ottersen, G. & Stenseth, N. Climate and the match or mismatch between predator requirements and resource availability. Clim. Res. 33, 271–283 (2007).
Kharouba, H. M. & Wolkovich, E. M. Disconnects between ecological theory and data in phenological mismatch research. Nat. Clim. Change 10, 406–415 (2020).
Google Scholar
Kodama, T. et al. Improvement in recruitment of Japanese sardine with delays of the spring phytoplankton bloom in the Sea of Japan. Fish. Oceanogr. 27, 289–301 (2018).
Platt, T., Fuentes-Yaco, C. & Frank, K. T. Spring algal bloom and larval fish survival. Nature 423, 398–399 (2003).
Google Scholar
Schweigert, J. F. et al. Factors linking Pacific herring (Clupea pallasi) productivity and the spring plankton bloom in the Strait of Georgia, British Columbia. Canada. Prog. Oceanogr. 115, 103–110 (2013).
Google Scholar
Laurel, B. J. et al. Regional warming exacerbates match/mismatch vulnerability for cod larvae in Alaska. Progress Oceanogr. 193, 1055 (2021).
Brosset, P. et al. A fine-scale multi-step approach to understand fish recruitment variability. Sci. Rep. 10, 16064 (2020).
Google Scholar
Ferreira, A. et al. Match-mismatch dynamics in the Norwegian-Barents Sea system. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 650, 81–94 (2020).
Google Scholar
Ferreira, A. S. A., Hátún, H., Counillon, F., Payne, M. R. & Visser, A. W. Synoptic-scale analysis of mechanisms driving surface chlorophyll dynamics in the North Atlantic. Biogeosciences 12, 3641–3653 (2015).
Google Scholar
Taboada, F. G. & Anadón, R. Determining the causes behind the collapse of a small pelagic fishery using Bayesian population modeling. Ecol. Appl. 26, 886–898 (2016).
Katara, I., Pierce, G. J., Illian, J. & Scott, B. E. Environmental drivers of the anchovy/sardine complex in the Eastern Mediterranean. Hydrobiologia 670, 49–65 (2011).
Robinson, A. R. et al. The Atlantic Ionian Stream. J. Mar. Syst. 20, 129–156 (1999).
Di Lorenzo, M., Sinerchia, M. & Colloca, F. The North sector of the Strait of Sicily: A priority area for conservation in the Mediterranean Sea. Hydrobiologia 821, 235–253 (2018).
García Lafuente, J. et al. Hydrographic phenomena influencing early life stages of the Sicilian Channel anchovy: Hydrographic relations with the Sicilian Channel anchovy. Fish. Oceanogr. 11, 31–44 (2002).
Patti, B. et al. Role of physical forcings and nutrient availability on the control of satellite-based chlorophyll a concentration in the coastal upwelling area of the Sicilian Channel. Sci. Mar. 74, 577–588 (2010).
Marini, M., Jones, B. H., Campanelli, A., Grilli, F. & Lee, C. M. Seasonal variability and Po River plume influence on biochemical properties along western Adriatic coast. J. Geophys. Res. 113, C0590 (2008).
Artegiani et al. The Adriatic Sea General Circulation. Part I Air–.pdf. (1997)
Artegiani, A. et al. The Adriatic Sea general circulation. Part II: Baroclinic circulation structure. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 27, 18 (1997).
Millot, C. The Gulf of Lions’ hydrodynamics. Cont. Shelf Res. 10, 885–894 (1990).
Google Scholar
Petrenko, A., Leredde, Y. & Marsaleix, P. Circulation in a stratified and wind-forced Gulf of Lions, NW Mediterranean Sea: In situ and modeling data. Cont. Shelf Res. 25, 7–27 (2005).
Google Scholar
Sverdrup, H. U. On conditions for the vernal blooming of phytoplankton. J. Cons. Int. Explor. Mer. 18, 287–295 (1953).
Wilcox, R. R. Introduction to robust estimation and hypothesis testing. (Elsevier, 2016).
Pernet, C. R., Wilcox, R. R. & Rousselet, G. A. Robust correlation analyses: False positive and power validation using a new open source Matlab toolbox. Front. Psychol. 1, 1 (2013).
Mair, P. & Wilcox, R. Robust statistical methods in R using the WRS2 package. Behav. Res. Methods 52, 464–488 (2020).
Google Scholar
Fox, J., & Weisberg, S. “Robust regression.” An R and S-Plus companion to applied regression 91 (2002).
Crawley, M. J. The R book. John Wiley & Sons (2012).
Fox, J. Bootstrapping Regression Models Appendix to An R and S-PLUS Companion to Applied Regression (2002).
Source: Ecology - nature.com
