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    Bending back the curve of shark and ray biodiversity loss

    AbstractSharks and rays are sentinels of the state of the ocean. Since the mid-twentieth century, overall abundance has declined by nearly 65% and over one-third (37.5%) of species are threatened, causing widespread changes in community structure. This crisis stems from unregulated fisheries expansion coupled with inadequate catch-and-trade monitoring that fail to account for the complexity of shark and ray products, their use and global trade flows. In this Review, we assess the state of shark and ray populations worldwide, remedies to reverse their decline, and challenges and barriers to conservation. Stark geographic and taxonomic biases persist in essential data, requiring integrated species distribution modelling, data mobilization, trait prediction and new threat maps of fishing mortality. Addressing management gaps requires regulatory and market-based approaches that must ultimately reduce fishing mortality, link international frameworks to national fisheries management tools, and implement a mitigation hierarchy of management actions through sound compliance management across supply, trade and demand chains. Case studies reveal strengths and weaknesses in management effectiveness and demonstrate successful recoveries for wide-ranging and restricted-range species. Finally, we identify 6 key challenges and propose 25 research questions and actionable recommendations to bend back the curve of shark and ray biodiversity loss.

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    Fig. 1: Extinction risk and the spatial patterning of shark, ray and chimaera richness.Fig. 2: Taxonomic differentiation of catch.Fig. 3: Bending back the biodiversity loss curve of sharks and rays.Fig. 4: A theory of shark and ray conservation change.Fig. 5: Progress and priorities in shark and ray fisheries management.

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    Download referencesAcknowledgementsH.B. acknowledges the Darwin Initiative (project ref: 30-008) and the Leverhulme Centre for Nature Recovery. N.K.D. was funded by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada and the Canada Research Chairs Program. P.C. acknowledges the FUNCAP visiting researcher grant (#PVS-0215-00123.02.00/23) and The Save Our Seas Foundation Conservation Fellowship (SOSF588). This work was supported by ISblue Project, Interdisciplinary graduate school for the Blue Planet (ANR-17-EURE-0015) and co-funded by a grant from the French government under the programme “Investissements d’Avenir” embedded in France 2030, and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement no 101208931. This is a contribution from the “Baited Switch: Is global trade driving unsustainable fisheries?” working group, sponsored by the Morpho programme of the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS), Santa Barbara, USA.Author informationAuthors and AffiliationsEarth to Ocean Research Group, Department of Biological Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, CanadaNicholas K. Dulvy, Rachel M. Aitchison, Amanda E. Arnold, Jay H. Matsushiba, Christopher G. Mull & Wade J. VanderWrightDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UKHollie BoothSchool of Environmental and Natural Sciences, Bangor University, Bangor, UKHollie BoothPrograma de Pós-graduação em Sistemática, Uso e Conservação da Biodiversidade (PPGSis), Universidade Federal do Ceará, Fortaleza, BrazilPatricia CharvetNational Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Wellington, New ZealandBrittany FinucciShark Advocates International, The Ocean Foundation, Washington, DC, USASonja V. FordhamIntegrated Fisheries Lab, Department of Biology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, CanadaChristopher G. MullSchool of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USAChristopher G. MullMaurice Lamontagne Institute, Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO), Mont Joli, Quebec, CanadaNathan PacoureauIRD/CNRS/UBO/Ifremer, Laboratoire des sciences de l’environnement marin – IUEM, Plouzané, FranceNathan Pacoureau & Colin A. SimpfendorferCollege of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, AustraliaCassandra L. RigbyDepartment of Wildlife and Range Management, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, GhanaIssah SeiduSchool of Life and Environmental Sciences. Faculty of Science Engineering and Built Environment, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, AustraliaC. Samantha ShermanInstitute of Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, AustraliaColin A. SimpfendorferAuthorsNicholas K. DulvyView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarRachel M. AitchisonView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarAmanda E. ArnoldView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarHollie BoothView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarPatricia CharvetView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarBrittany FinucciView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarSonja V. FordhamView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarJay H. MatsushibaView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarChristopher G. MullView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarNathan PacoureauView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarCassandra L. RigbyView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarIssah SeiduView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarC. Samantha ShermanView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarWade J. VanderWrightView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarColin A. SimpfendorferView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarContributionsAll authors researched literature for the article, contributed substantially to discussion of the content, wrote the article, and reviewed and/or edited the manuscript before submission.Corresponding authorCorrespondence to
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    Molecular characterisation of the invasive terrestrial nemertean Geonemertes pelaensis: long and complex mitogenome and presence of NUMTs

    AbstractThe complete mitochondrial genome of the invasive terrestrial nemertean Geonemertes pelaensis Semper, 1863 (Nemertea: Prosorhochmidae) was sequenced from two specimens collected in geographically distant French overseas territories—Martinique in the Caribbean and New Caledonia in the South-West Pacific. In both specimens, the mitogenome contained 13 protein-coding genes, two rRNA genes, and 21 tRNA genes, and was unusually large, approaching 32 kb. The two genomes differed by only four single nucleotide polymorphisms and one indel. A comparison with 22 cox1 sequences available in GenBank confirmed this high level of genetic conservation, suggesting a recent introduction from related source populations. The extraordinary length of the mitogenome was largely attributable to two extended regions comprising only tRNA genes and long intergenic sequences. These results were contrasted with data from an unpublished SRA sequencing project (SRS20559370) of an unlocalized specimen identified as G. pelaensis; its reconstructed mitogenome was only 18 kb in length (14 kb shorter) and showed extensive sequence divergence. Phylogenetic analyses placed this specimen as the sister lineage to G. pelaensis, highlighting the need for further investigation of this taxon. In the Martinique specimen, several NUMTs (nuclear mitochondrial pseudogenes) were also detected, which could complicate future studies relying solely on Sanger sequencing. Sequencing additionally revealed prey DNA from the gut contents of both worms: the New Caledonian specimen had consumed an unidentified noctuid moth, while the Martinique specimen had likely fed on the invasive cockroach Periplaneta australasiae (Fabricius, 1775), itself an introduced species.

    Data availability

    Reads are available on the Sequence Reads Archive (SRA) under BioProject PRJNA1223316, BioSamples SAMN46813856 (for MNHN JL402) and SAMN50810529 (for MNHN JL632), SRA accession numbers SRR32329171, SRR32329172, SRR35157170 and SRR35157171.
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    Download referencesFundingThis work was co-financed by the Minister of Science under the “Regional Excellence Initiative” Program for 2024–2027 (RID/SP/0045/2024/01). Claude Lemieux and Monique Turmel were supported by grant RGPIN-2017-04506 from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC). Brian Boyle and Christian Otis were supported by the “Programme d’appui aux plateformes technologiques stratégiques” from the Ministère de l’Économie, de l’Innovation et de l’Énergie Québec.Author informationAuthors and AffiliationsInstitute of Marine and Environmental Sciences, University of Szczecin, Szczecin, PolandRomain GastineauCIRAD, UPR GECO, 97285, Le Lamentin, Martinique, FranceMathieu CoulisGECO, CIRAD, University Montpellier, Montpellier, FranceMathieu CoulisPlateforme d’Analyse Génomique, Institut de Biologie Intégrative et des Systèmes, Université Laval, Quebec, QC, CanadaChristian Otis & Brian BoyleDépartement de Biochimie, de Microbiologie et de Bio-Informatique, Institut de Biologie Intégrative et des Systèmes, Université Laval, Quebec, QC, CanadaClaude Lemieux, Monique Turmel, Sima Mohammadi & Roger C. LévesqueISYEB, Institut de Systématique, Évolution, Biodiversité (UMR7205 CNRS, EPHE, MNHN, UPMC, Université des Antilles), Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, CP 51, 55 Rue Buffon, 75231, Paris Cedex 05, FranceDavid G. Herbert & Jean-Lou JustineHUN-REN Centre for Agricultural Research, Plant Protection Institute, Brunszvik u. 2, Martonvásár, 2462, HungaryBarna Páll-GergelyDepartment of Soil, Water and Natural Sciences, Albert Kázmér Faculty of Agricultural and Food Sciences of Széchenyi István University, Vár 2., Mosonmagyaróvár, 9200, HungaryBarna Páll-GergelyStuttgart State Museum of Natural History, Rosenstein Gewann 1, 70191, Stuttgart, GermanyIra RichlingCollege of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD, AustraliaLeigh WinsorAuthorsRomain GastineauView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarMathieu CoulisView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarChristian OtisView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarBrian BoyleView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarClaude LemieuxView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarMonique TurmelView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarSima MohammadiView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarRoger C. LévesqueView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarDavid G. HerbertView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarBarna Páll-GergelyView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarIra RichlingView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarLeigh WinsorView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarJean-Lou JustineView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarContributionsCollection of the samples by M.C., D.G.H., B.P.L., I.R. Taxonomic identifications by J.L.J., L.W. Sequencing by C.O., B.B., R.G.L., S.M. Bioinformatic analyses by R.G., C.L. and M.T. First draft written by R.G. Draft edited by L.W., I.R., B.P.L., C.L., J.L.J. All authors read and approved the final draft.Corresponding authorCorrespondence to
    Romain Gastineau.Ethics declarations

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    The authors declare no competing interests.

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    Reprints and permissionsAbout this articleCite this articleGastineau, R., Coulis, M., Otis, C. et al. Molecular characterisation of the invasive terrestrial nemertean Geonemertes pelaensis: long and complex mitogenome and presence of NUMTs.
    Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-33230-0Download citationReceived: 20 October 2025Accepted: 17 December 2025Published: 22 January 2026DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-33230-0Share this articleAnyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:Get shareable linkSorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.Copy shareable link to clipboard
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    Discovery of Goethe’s amber ant: its phylogenetic and evolutionary implications

    Abstract

    Museum collections remain essential scientific resources, especially when revisited using modern analytical techniques. In an interdisciplinary study, we examined the overlooked amber collection of Johann Wolfgang von Goethe (1749–1832), polymath and pioneer of art and natural science. Using synchrotron-based micro-computed tomography (SR-µ-CT), we identified a fossil ant from Baltic amber (Eocene ~ 47–34 Ma) in Goethe’s collections. The specimen is assigned to †Ctenobethylus goepperti (Mayr in Die Ameisen des Baltischen Bernsteins. Beiträge zur Naturkunde Preussens, 1868), which we redescribe and re-diagnose, proposing †Eldermyrmex exsectus Dubovikoff et Dlussky, 2019 as its junior synonym (syn. nov., comb. nov.). We further infer a potential sister-group relationship with the extant genus Liometopum Mayr, 1861, suggesting that †C. goepperti may have been a dominant arboreal species in warm-temperate coniferous forests, a scenario which is supported by its abundance in Baltic amber. Critically, our results document endoskeletal structures in a Cenozoic fossil ant, underscoring both the morphological value of historical collections and the lasting scientific legacy of Goethe’s naturalist vision.

    Data availability

    All four scans are available at: http://www.morphosource.org/projects/000760923?locale=en
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    Download referencesAcknowledgementsWe thank Björn Rulik (Leibniz-Institut zur Analys des Biodiversitätswandels, Bonn) for the helpful comments on the determination of the two nematoceran flies. We would like to thank the Klassik Stiftung Weimar for permission to examine these valuable cultural assets, as well as the Max Planck Institute for Chemical Ecology Jena for the scan time at short notice. We also acknowledge provision of beamtime related to the proposal BAG- 20230681 ‘AmberSOIL – Characterization of soil organisms and their biota across time using Cenozoic and Mesozoic ambers’ at beamline P05, PETRA III at Deutsches Elektronen-Synchrotron (DESY), Hamburg, a member of the Helmholtz Association (HGF). This research was supported in part through the Maxwell computational resources operated at Deutsches Elektronen-Synchrotron DESY, Hamburg. We also express our gratitude to the International Amber Association (IAA) Gdańsk, Poland for spectroscopic analysis of the amber pieces. We also like to thank Sandra Rüdiger, (Institute of Zoology and Evolutionary Research) Matthias Krüger (Phyletisches Museum) and the administrative staff of the Friedrich Schiller University for their quick support in processing of our requests.FundingOpen Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. BEB acknowledges financial support from an Alexander von Humboldt Stiftung research fellowship (2020–2022) and from the Smithsonian Institute via a Peter S. Buck research fellowship (2023–). MW was supported by the Honours Programme University of Jena (2021–2022) and Landesgraduiertenstipendium University of Jena (2023–2025). DT was supported by a scholarship of Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt (DBU). Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL.Author informationAuthors and AffiliationsSenckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung, Senckenberganlage 25, 60325, Frankfurt am Main, GermanyBrendon E. Boudinot, Michael Weingardt, Mónica M. Solórzano-Kraemer & Jill T. OberskiFriedrich-Schiller-Universität Jena, Institute for Zoology and Evolutionary Research, Jena, GermanyBrendon E. Boudinot, Bernhard L. Bock, Daniel Tröger, Michael Weingardt & Kenny JandauschNational Museum of Natural History, Smithsonian Institution, 10th & Constitution Ave. NW, Washington, DC, USABrendon E. BoudinotInstitute of Materials Physics, Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Max-Planck-Straße 1, 21502, Geesthacht, GermanyJörg U. HammelMax-Planck-Institute for Chemical Ecology, Hans-Knöll-Straße 8, 07745, Jena, GermanyVeit GrabeUniversitätsklinikum Jena, Institute for Anatomy I., Teichgraben 7, 07743, Jena, GermanyKenny JandauschKlassik Stiftung Weimar, Goethe National Museum, Frauenplan 1, 99423, Weimar, GermanyThomas SchmuckAuthorsBrendon E. BoudinotView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarBernhard L. BockView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarDaniel TrögerView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarMichael WeingardtView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarJörg U. HammelView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarVeit GrabeView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarMónica M. Solórzano-KraemerView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarKenny JandauschView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarJill T. OberskiView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarThomas SchmuckView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarContributionsConceptualization: B.E.B., B.L.B., T.S.; Methodology: B.E.B., B.L.B., D.T., J.U.H., M.W., V.G.; Software: J.U.H., V.G.; D.T. M.W.; Validation: B.E.B., J.T.O., M.M.S.-K., T.S., B.L.B.; Investigation: B.E.B., B.L.B., T.S., J.T.O.; Data curation: J.U.H., D.T., V.G., K.J.; Resources: J.U.H., V.G.; Writing—original draft: B.E.B., B.L.B., T.S; Writing—review & editing: B.E.B., B.L.B., J.T.O, M.W., D.T., T.S.; M.M.S.-K., V.G., J.U.H., K.J.; Visualization: D.T., B.L.B., M.W., B.E.B., K.J.; Supervision: B.E.B., B.L.B., T.S.; Project administration: B.E.B., B.L.B.; Funding acquisition: B.E.B., D.T., M.W., K.J., J.T.O.Corresponding authorsCorrespondence to
    Brendon E. Boudinot, Bernhard L. Bock or Thomas Schmuck.Ethics declarations

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    The authors declare no competing interests.

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    Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
    Reprints and permissionsAbout this articleCite this articleBoudinot, B.E., Bock, B.L., Tröger, D. et al. Discovery of Goethe’s amber ant: its phylogenetic and evolutionary implications.
    Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-36004-4Download citationReceived: 25 July 2025Accepted: 09 January 2026Published: 22 January 2026DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-36004-4Share this articleAnyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:Get shareable linkSorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.Copy shareable link to clipboard
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    Biomechanical limits of hopping in the hindlimbs of giant extinct kangaroos

    Abstract

    The locomotor abilities of animals depend upon their body size. Today, kangaroos are the largest hopping mammals, but some of their Pleistocene relatives were larger still—more than twice as heavy as any modern kangaroo. So, is there an upper size limit of bipedal hopping? Previous analyses have recovered an upper limit of ~ 140–160 kg based on allometry, but have suggested that incorporating changes in hindlimb scaling patterns among giant species would alter these conclusions. Here, we test this proposal by integrating scaling data from modern kangaroos with direct observation of the hindlimb bones of giant fossil kangaroos. We test two potential limiting factors on hopping—bone strength, and tendon size. We find that (a) the metatarsals of giant kangaroos would be capable of resisting the bending moments involved in hopping, and (b), the calcanea (heel bones) of giant kangaroos could accommodate tendons large enough to resist the loads generated during hopping. While hopping may not have been their primary mode of locomotion, our findings suggest that it may have formed part of a broader locomotor repertoire, for example for short bursts of speed.

    IntroductionBody mass has a profound impact on animal locomotion1,2,3. Many mammals compensate for increasing loads associated with larger sizes by adopting an increasingly upright stance, which minimises force by reducing the lever arm of the ground reaction forces around the limb joints4. However, this is not possible in bipedal hopping mammals, because hopping requires a crouched posture, so we might expect the upper body mass limit for hopping to be lower than the limit for similarly energetic quadrupedal gaits. Bipedal hopping has evolved independently in only five extant lineages5,of which only the Macropodiformes (kangaroos, wallabies and their relatives) have reached body masses far above 3 kg5,6 The largest members of the group today (~ 90 kg, male Osphranter rufus5,7 are capable of hopping; but a variety of Pleistocene macropodoids were much larger, with some reaching masses of up to 250 kg (Helgen et al., 2006). Were these giant extinct species too large to hop8,9,10?Giant extinct macropodiforms share the general body plan of their smaller hopping relatives, but previous work suggests that their hindlimbs would not have been able to withstand the forces involved in hopping. The best estimates so far have placed the body mass limit for hopping at approximately 135–160 kg10,11, a mass that several giant kangaroo lineages exceed (Fig. 1). However, these studies derive their estimates by extrapolating the allometric scaling pattern of living kangaroos. They use the ankle tendon morphology of modern kangaroos to predict the mass at which the safety factor (the ratio of the failure stress of a structure to the maximum stress experienced by that structure) of the tendons would drop below one, indicating rupture10,11,12. Extrapolating allometry beyond the limits of the modern data is problematic because it assumes the same scaling patterns of the ankle extensor tendons in giant extinct kangaroo species as in smaller macropodoids. Both studies acknowledge these limitations, and suggest that the giant kangaroos may still have been able to hop, either through altered scaling patterns, such as possessing relatively thicker tendons, or through hopping at reduced speeds to lower the stresses involved. Incorporating evidence directly from the fossil record allows these suggestions to be tested, as it can provide more accurate estimates of scaling relationships. Previously, an abstract by McGowan13 reported that giant kangaroos do indeed possess thicker ankle extensor tendons than expected based on allometry, making hopping more plausible in these species. Here, we investigate further, providing the first full study to empirically test these previous suggestions.Fig. 1Illustration of previous studies’ results suggesting a size limit of 135–160 kg for hopping in giant kangaroos, based on the scaling patterns of the gastrocnemius tendon safety factor among modern kangaroos. Both curves (Solid10; Dashed11) are based only on data from modern kangaroos. Safety factors below one indicate tendon rupture. Labelled vertical lines indicate the mass at which each allometric curve predicts safety factor to drop below one. Illustrations by MJ. Hindlimb image based on10,25,59.Full size imageTo estimate the feasibility of hopping in giant kangaroos, we investigated the strength of the hindlimb bones, and the capability of ankle extensor tendons in resisting hopping loads. We test two hypotheses, both of which must be supported for hopping to be plausible in these species. (1) Metatarsal IV safety factors will not drop below one when hopping. Previous studies of hopping-related stresses in hindlimb bones focus primarily on the tibia14,15,16. However, the metatarsals are the least robust of the hindlimb long bones (having the smallest diameter) and will, therefore, experience the greatest bending moments relative to total stress. Bone is most likely to break under bending loads17. Hence, if the metatarsals are unlikely to fracture due to bending under hopping forces, then other hindlimb bones are likely not at risk of fracture either. This is supported by the observation that, in thoroughbred racehorses—another cursorial mammal with reduced metatarsals/metacarpals—fractures in the third metacarpal were the most common18. Among the kangaroos, weight is borne on the fourth metatarsal, and to a varying degree, on the fifth, with the rest being reduced (Fig. 2). The Sthenurines in particular bear all of their weight on metatarsal IV. For the sake of simplicity and consistency, only the fourth metatarsal is tested in this study. (2) The ankle is robust enough to support the tendons required for hopping. Specifically, the insertion area for the gastrocnemius tendon (main ankle extensor for hopping) on the calcaneal tuberosity (insertion point of the gastrocnemius at the ankle) will be large enough to accommodate tendons that could resist the forces required for hopping. To test this hypothesis, we measured the width of the calcaneal tuberosity and compared it to three different estimates of the width of the gastrocnemius tendon.Fig. 2Illustration of a representative kangaroo hindlimb, with key bones and length measurements referred to in this study highlighted. Inserts show a dorsal view of the foot and calcaneum respectively. Abbreviations: C_mid_DV = calcaneum midshaft mediolateral width; CL = calcaneum length; C_mid_ML = calcaneum midshaft dorsoventral width; CW = calcaneal tuberosity width; Mt_mid_DV = metatarsal IV midshaft dorsoventral width; Mt_L = metatarsal IV length; Mt_mid_ML = metatarsal IV midshaft mediolateral width; PhL = proximal phalanx IV length; TL = tibia length. Illustrations by MJ; hindlimb image as per Fig. 1, with insert illustrations based on photograph courtesy of Christine Janis.Full size imageResultsHypothesis 1: metatarsal IV strengthHypothesis one posits that the hindlimb bones of the giant extinct species must be able to withstand the stresses hopping will subject them to without fracturing. The lowest predicted safety factor (1.12) for the fourth metatarsals is seen in the red kangaroo (Osphranter rufus) weighing 57.9 kg (Fig. 3). Among the giant extinct species, all individuals (including the sthenurines Sthenurus stirlingi, Sthenurus tindalei, Simosthenurus occidentalis, and an unclassified Procoptodon species, likely P. goliah based on similarity to the identified P. goliah in the dataset; Protemnodon anak and P. viator—AMNH FM145501, previously P. brehus19—and giant Macropus species M. titan and M. ferragus) were predicted to have similar safety factors, ranging from around 1.5 to 3.5: higher than those of many of the largest living species. This may indicate an adaptation to resist greater loads or may be a by-product of a reduced length of the metatarsals (Fig. S1).Hypothesis 2: ankle tendon sizeHypothesis two posits that, to permit hopping, the calcaneal tuberosity of the extinct giant species must be large enough to accommodate a tendon that is wide enough to transmit the muscle forces during hopping locomotion.To test this, the relevant muscle forces must first be calculated. Physiological cross-sectional area (PCSA) is a proxy for the forces that can be produced by muscles The predicted minimum required ankle extensor muscle PCSA—calculated based on the minimum force needed to counteract the moment produced around the ankle by ground reaction forces while hopping—was consistently lower than the measured total ankle extensor muscle PCSA, and the predicted PCSAs for giant species based on those measurements (Fig. 4). The slopes of the total ankle extensor muscle PCSA and the predicted minimum PCSA were not significantly different from one another, and both scaled with hyperallometry. This scaling suggests that, among modern kangaroos, muscles scale at a rate proportional to increases in ground reaction force with body mass. As expected, muscles increase in size at an appropriate rate to accommodate increased forces associated with body mass.Fig. 3Scatterplot of the predicted safety factor of metatarsal IV at midstance when hopping, against log-transformed body mass. The shapes of the points denote clades within the Macropodoidea, while colour denotes whether an individual is modern or a fossil. The horizontal dashed line indicates a safety factor of one, below which the bone would be expected to fracture. The vertical dotted line indicates the mass of the largest known extant kangaroos (90 kg). Labelled mass ranges are for this dataset, not all known species. n = 89 individuals. Metatarsal outlines created by MJ. Hindlimb outline by MJ, based on10,25,59.Full size imageFig. 4Muscle force plotted against body mass (Mb). Muscle force is derived from three different methods of determining ankle extensor physiological cross-sectional areas (PCSAs), with predicted minimum PCSA based on ankle moments. Force is then derived from PCSA by multiplying by 300 (as a maximal isometric stress of 300 kPa is assumed, following10). Lines show linear least squares regressions, with 95% confidence intervals shaded, and labelled with their equations, where y is log10(PCSA), and x is log10(Mb). Linear regression values are as follows. Total measured PCSA (dashed line): PCSA ∝ Mb0.935±0.081 (P-value: <2e-16); measured gastrocnemius PCSA (dotted line): PCSA ∝ Mb0.833±0.091(P-value: <2e-16); predicted from ankle moments (solid line): PCSA ∝ Mb 0.986±0.027(P-value:<2e-16). Shading below the lowest regression line indicates the approximate area in which muscles would be unable to resist ground reaction forces (circular points indicate actual limit for each individual). Note the log scale on each axis. n = 80 for the predicted PCSA from ankle moments; n = 39 for the measured PCSAs. Hindlimb image by MJ, based on10,25,59.Full size imageUsing these PCSA estimates, we then tested if the calcaneum could accommodate a gastrocnemius tendon large enough to resist the forces generated by the gastrocnemius muscle during hopping. All three methods of predicting the diameter of the gastrocnemius tendon (the tendon inserting on the calcaneum) produced diameters smaller than the measured calcaneal tuberosity widths for the same individual (Fig. 5). Across the three methods, no fossil kangaroo showed higher ratios of predicted tendon width to measured calcaneal width than those of the modern individuals, while many showed a lower ratio than the largest modern kangaroos, suggesting relatively more robust calcanea than required for these tendons. This implies that hopping was mechanically possible for these species, and that they may have possessed more robust gastrocnemius tendons than expected, relative to body size.DiscussionHere we tested the hypotheses that hopping in extinct giant kangaroos may have been limited by (a) metatarsal IV bone strength or (b) strength of the ankle extensor (gastrocnemius) tendon. The results of this study suggest neither metatarsal nor gastrocnemius strength would prevent the giant kangaroos from hopping, challenging previous findings, based on tendon scaling, that this gait would have been mechanically impossible in the largest species, but supporting previous suggestions that an increased tendon width might ensure hopping remains possible in these species.AssumptionsIn order to model the stresses and necessary muscle and tendon dimensions analysed in this study, several assumptions must be made about the mechanics of hopping in the kangaroos. First, we assume a constant posture when hopping in all species, using the measured joint angles in a medium-sized wallaby. Second, we assume that the ground reaction force (GRF) acts at the metatarsophalangeal joint. Both of these assumptions were tested, and supported, by sensitivity analyses (Fig. S2, S3). Finally, we assume that peak GRF is equal to three times body weight, and that it acts vertically. Both of these assumptions are supported in the literature, with the former assumption allowing for a comparison of adaptations assuming a comparable hopping speed and duty factor across species. These are variables that may very well be altered in different species, and where relevant, the effects of changes to these variables will be discussed. For details on each of these assumptions, and their justification, see methods.Metatarsal safety factorsWe estimated the safety factors of fourth metatarsals, the least robust and most vulnerable hindlimb bones, in giant kangaroos. In the modern kangaroos, we see an apparent negative correlation between bone safety factor and mass, corresponding with previous observations of kangaroo tibiae14,15,16. While the relatively small red-necked wallaby (Notamacropus rufogriseus) has tibial stresses and safety factors within the range expected for an equivalent-sized quadruped, larger species such as Osphranter rufus experience unusually low tibial safety factors, outside the 2–4 range occupied by most mammals14,15,16. However, when fossil species are included, our results suggest that none of the giant kangaroos examined would have metatarsal safety factors below one, if they were to hop as their living relatives do. Thus, it seems unlikely that hindlimb bone strength would have been a limiting factor in the ability of giant kangaroos to hop. The consistency in bone safety factors in other mammals is produced by changes in stance which affect effective mechanical advantage4,20,21, rather than morphological changes to the hindlimb bones themselves. By contrast, our calculations assume a constant, crouched stance, but still find a levelling-off of metatarsal safety factors in the giant species. The relatively constant safety factors of the giant kangaroos must therefore be attributed to increasing robustness of the metatarsals. Indeed, they possess short metatarsals relative to the rest of the limb (Fig. S1). Shortening the metatarsals does reduce strain and thus increase the safety factor of the bone, as seen in other relatively short-footed species, such as the tree kangaroos (Fig. S1). However, the trade-off for possessing a shorter, stronger metatarsal is a reduced out-lever of the ankle extensors, and a consequent reduction in take-off (hopping) speed. Thus, although the limb bones of giant kangaroos may be robust, there is a likely trade off with acceleration.This study calculates metatarsal bone strength from external geometry, disregarding internal geometry. While internal geometry can impact bone strength, and a previous study of the internal geometry of giant kangaroo pedal bones has revealed significant differences between lineages22, external geometry has been used extensively to characterise bone strength in mammals, e.g1,16. and has the greatest overall impact on strength. Therefore, a study of internal geometry, which would involve data from radiographs, is beyond the scope of the study. Given that our findings for the living kangaroos in this study align well with previous findings studying the in vivo stresses of kangaroo hindlimb long bones14,15,16, our methods can be assumed to produce a reasonable approximate measure for bone strength.One factor not accounted for in our calculations is the differing number of metatarsals bearing weight across the kangaroos. In the sthenurines, weight is borne only on the fourth metatarsal, while in all other kangaroos—including other giant species—weight is borne on both the fourth and fifth metatarsals, with the fifth metatarsal being particularly robust in Protemnodon19 This does mean that our results may underestimate the safety factors of the fourth metatarsal in all non-sthenurines, as for the sake of simplicity and the available data, our calculations assume weight is borne only on the fourth metatarsal. However, an increased safety factor for non-sthenurines would not affect our ultimate conclusion for this first hypothesis. It is worth noting, though, that Protemnodon anak is here recovered as having a similar metatarsal safety factor to similarly-sized sthenurines. If the robust fifth metatarsal of this species were to be included, this safety factor would likely be significantly higher than that experienced by the sthenurines, suggesting that P. anak possesses an unusually robust pes.Ankle extensor tendon insertion areaNext, we tested the ability of calcanea to accommodate the extensor (gastrocnemius) tendons required for hopping. Our results indicate that there would have been adequate space for the insertion of even the largest tendons from our three tendon width estimation methods. This remains true whether the estimates derive from allometric extrapolation, or purely biomechanical calculations from body mass and limb bone lengths. This contradicts previous results suggesting that the gastrocnemius tendon would be insufficient to support hopping in giant kangaroos based on tendon scaling in modern kangaroos, but confirms the suggestions of previous studies10,11,13 that increased tendon width in giant species above allometric predictions might still allow for hopping. Indeed, the most likely factor driving the difference between our conclusions and the findings of these prior studies, is the relatively shorter and broader calcanea of the giant kangaroos compared to living species, indicating the potential for more robust tendons than would be assumed based on extant scaling alone (Fig. S4).Calcaneum length scales with hypoallometry relative to body mass in sthenurines23, decreasing the in-lever of the ankle extensor muscles, which would increase the muscle force necessary to resist ground reaction forces. As an adaptation, this might be expected to limit hopping. However, our calculations take the length of the calcaneum into account, and still find that the calcanea are capable of accommodating the required tendons. We do not here consider the available insertion area for the plantaris tendon (another ankle extensor); while not as key as the gastrocnemius, this aspect may require further investigation.It is also worth noting that the calculations in this study are conservative in that they assume a hopping speed equivalent to that seen in modern kangaroos. It is entirely possible that, as well as using hopping more infrequently, or over shorter distances, the giant kangaroos may have reduced stresses by hopping more slowly. While our results do not indicate that this would have been necessary for any of the species in this study, it is a possibility that must be taken into consideration before ruling hopping infeasible in any giant species.The calculations in this study do assume that the maximum stress exerted by a muscle is its maximum isometric stress. This may very well not be accurate, as muscles which are stretched on loading, as the kangaroo ankle extensors are during hopping, can develop greater than isometric stresses (24, pp. 21–23). However, while incorporating this factor might affect our absolute values, it would affect each individual equally, and thus could not impact the relative patterns found here: that the giant kangaroos all fall within the relative tendon width range of living kangaroos, which are already known to hop. Thus, our conclusions would remain unaffected by this consideration.Overall, our data suggests that the giant extinct species favour a broader gastrocnemius tendon relative to body size than today’s kangaroos, protecting the tendon against rupture. This aligns with McGowan’s findings of larger ankle extensor tendons in giant kangaroos potentially allowing for hopping in these species13. However, the low safety factors of the ankle extensor tendons in today’s large kangaroos are not simply a liability. In stretching the tendons as close to their breaking point as possible, the potential for elastic energy storage is maximised15,25,26. The thicker tendons of the giant kangaroos likely could not store and return as much energy as those of today’s large hopping kangaroos8. Previous authors have suggested that thicker tendons would limit the capability of sthenurines to hop because they would be unable to recover sufficient elastic energy to make it worthwhile8. However, gait choice in tetrapods is complex, and bipedal hopping may have provided an option for rapid short-distance locomotion even if the elastic energy storage associated with long-distance highly-efficient hopping was unavailable, therefore this argument seems insufficient to rule out hopping.Broader implicationsIn fact, hopping with lower energetic efficiency is already seen in today’s smaller hopping species—both smaller macropodiforms and various hopping rodents—whose tendons are too relatively thick to store much elastic potential energy, but who instead use their hopping abilities to navigate difficult terrain and escape predators27,28,29. While a giant kangaroo would of course not jump vertically to several times its own body height in the way that, for example, a jerboa would28, the evolution of hopping in these small extant species helps to demonstrate the versatility of the gait, and that it might be valuable to retain even if it is no longer especially energetically efficient. We suspect from evidence such as tooth marks on giant kangaroo bones attributed to Thylacoleo30 that retaining hopping as a fast gait may have been necessary for evading predators, in at least some species of giant kangaroo. This necessity most likely varied between species, depending on the local ecology, however.Moving away from a reliance on efficient hopping may also have some benefits, such as alleviating constraints on posture. Some giant species may have been able to sacrifice the ideal crouched hopping stance, and adopt a more upright posture, further reducing the stress during locomotion, as observed in other mammals to compensate for increases in mass4,20,21. For example, Sthenurus stirlingi, a large sthenurine species, seems to have an astragalus best suited to a more upright limb posture than the smaller members of the group31. Other morphological adaptations to a more upright posture have also been noted in the sthenurines, including a dorsally-tipped ischium and very large epipubic bones indicating an upright trunk, as well as the short calcaneum possibly supporting a more obtuse ankle joint angle8.For giant sthenurines and Protemnodon species, previous investigations have proposed alternative gaits they may have used instead of hopping. The most-studied group is the Sthenurinae. A variety of anatomical features—including a pelvis which seems to reflect an upright posture, a broad sacrum and a stabilised ankle joint8; the morphology of the articular surfaces of the humerus9,32 and the astragalus31; and cortical thickening in the pedal bones22—support an ability to stride bipedally. A fossil sthenurine trackway has also been reported which shows bipedal striding33. Meanwhile, a recent study34 compares the limb indices of various modern and fossil kangaroos, and finds that the limb indices of both large Protemnodon species investigated in this study (P. anak and P. viator), together with anatomical features such as hooked phalanges (both species) and an elongated neck (P. anak), suggest they may have been primarily quadrupedal. Other studies which touch on Protemnodon anatomy seem to support this hypothesis8,9,32,35. However, the most detailed analysis to date, by Kerr et al.19, concludes that P. anak and P. viator were most likely capable of bipedal hopping, as well as pentapedal slow locomotion, based on features such as the morphology of the proximal tail vertebrae. This study also highlights the likely interspecific variation in Protemnodon locomotion, a point that is worth bearing in mind when interpreting the locomotor abilities of all lineages of giant kangaroos. In our own results, however, we find the same ultimate conclusion—that hopping is plausible—for all giant species included in the analysis.For the remaining group of giant kangaroos, the giant Macropus species, no other primary gait besides hopping has yet been proposed. They are consistently found to be more anatomically similar to today’s large hopping kangaroos than the Sthenurines and large Protemnodon species are8,9,22. This is likely to be at least partly due to phylogenetic constraints—they are more closely related to today’s Macropus species, and therefore would be expected to be less morphologically divergent—but the fact remains that they attained large sizes without significantly adapting a body plan specialised for hopping. It has previously been suggested that Macropus giganteus underwent within-species ‘dwarfing’, appearing both as a giant Pleistocene species and a modern large kangaroo36. If true, this would have many implications for the question of locomotion in giant kangaroos: for example, it might be considered as evidence that one giant kangaroo species, at least, did hop. However, the taxonomy of Macropusspecies is rather uncertain to date (e.g37.), and resolving this issue is beyond the scope of the current analysis, so drawing confident conclusions from this purported ‘dwarfing’ is likely unsupportable. In support of the idea that these giant Macropus species did hop, this study finds that, as with the sthenurines and Protemnodon, both fourth metatarsals and gastrocnemial tendons could have supported hopping. Likewise in support of this idea, the calcanea of the giant Macropus species have been found to have extensive cortical thickening, similar to that seen in modern large kangaroos22. This is likely an adaptation to resist high forces exerted by the ankle extensor tendons when hopping, potentially suggesting a more active mode of locomotion than used by the sthenurines, which do not show this pattern of cortical thickening22. However, giant Macropus species do share with the giant sthenurine and Protemnodon species included in this study the pattern of a broader, shorter calcaneum relative to today’s large kangaroos (Fig. S4). As previously discussed, this suggests that even if hopping was the primary mode of locomotion used by this group, it may have been less efficient than in the largest extant hoppers.Overall, nothing in our analyses suggests that it would have been mechanically impossible for any giant kangaroo species included in this study to hop. However, they may not have been as well-adapted for fast, sustained or efficient hopping as their largest living relatives. Instead, incorporating a variety of other gaits into their repertoire may have helped the giant kangaroos to reach sizes and ecological niches unexploited by today’s macropodoids. The diversity of proposed locomotor modes in the giant kangaroos reflects a wider ecological diversity in the kangaroo populations of the Pleistocene than is seen today: for example, there is evidence that the sthenurines were large browsing species38,39—a niche not occupied by modern large kangaroos—while other giant species were grazers40,41, indicating greater dietary diversity in the past.MethodsSpecimensAll species included in this study were macropodiforms; the bone measurement dataset encompassed all extant families and subfamilies of Macropodiformes, and several major extinct lineages (Sthenurinae, Balbaridae, Protemnodon, the giant Macropus species). 179 specimens were measured in total, across 63 species and 25 genera. Of these, 139 specimens were modern, and 40 fossil. Many specimens had some missing data, and so were not included in all analyses (Table S1). For the analyses shown in the main body of this paper, 134 specimens (94 modern, 40 fossil) were used in total, with 89 specimens (65 modern, 24 fossil) being used to evaluate hypothesis one (Fig. 3), and 46 specimens (30 modern, 16 fossil) used in the final evaluation of hypothesis two (Fig. 5). The remainder are only referred to in the supplementary material. This was necessary as the main analyses, especially of hypothesis two, require a variety of measurements from articulated specimens of the kangaroo pes, which are relatively rare among fossils particularly. Body masses were gathered from the literature (16,22,36,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49 for details, see Table S1). Where possible, the mass of the individual was used, but where this was not available, the mean body mass, corresponding to either the sex of the individual (in strongly dimorphic species), or the species as a whole, was used instead. An attempt was made to extrapolate body mass from calcaneal measurements instead, following Prideaux and Warburton (2023), on the basis that this uses direct evidence from the individual specimens used rather than species means. However, due to the disproportionate shortening and broadening of the calcanea in the giant kangaroos—see later discussion—this produced implausibly low estimates of body mass for all giant kangaroos.All PCSA data used in this paper is from the previously published paper by McGowan et al.10, and as such is not separately published here.Morphological dataArticular lengths of key hindlimb bones (the femur, tibia, fourth metatarsal, fourth proximal phalanx, and calcaneum) were collected, as well as antero-posterior and medio-lateral midshaft widths of the fourth metatarsal and width of the calcaneal tuberosity, where available (Fig. 2). Some of these measurements were taken from the literature16,22 and private correspondence (n = 317, nspecies = 65); others were collected for this study by the authors (n = 65, nspecies = 38). Details of specimens, including specimen numbers, and sources of body masses and bone dimensions can be found in Table S1. For some of these specimens, an additional set of calcaneal dimensions (31 specimens: 11 fossil, 20 modern) were collected to facilitate interpretation of the second hypothesis results (Table S1; Fig. 2). For each specimen, digital callipers were used to measure the width of the calcaneal tuberosity at its widest point, the calcaneal length (taken along the mediolateral centre of the bone), and the mediolateral and dorsoventral widths of the calcaneum, taken halfway along the length of the bone. Where available, the length of the associated fourth metatarsal was also measured. Measurements were taken to the nearest 0.01 mm. For all data collected for this study, see Table S1.Ankle moments when hoppingTo test our hypotheses, we first needed to estimate the moments experienced around the ankle joint of each specimen when hopping (Fig. 6). Kangaroo joint angles can differ among species and with hopping speed14. However, limited data are available, and while joint angles do vary, this variation is relatively small, as demonstrated by the constant effective mechanical advantage at the ankle joint among species25, and at different speeds within a species12. Thus, the joint angles at midstance to the nearest 5 degrees for Notamacropus eugenii (see Fig. 3 of50), are here taken as representative for all species. This species was used as it provides the best currently available data on joint angles throughout a hopping cycle, and as a midsized wallaby, it is a reasonable choice for a representative species. “Midstance” was defined as the point of peak ankle flexion during the stance phase. The mean angle derived from three stance phases gave a metatarsophalangeal joint angle of 1.95 radians (112°), and an ankle joint angle of 1.60 radians (92°). As a recent study found that joint angles can vary somewhat by body mass51, a sensitivity analysis was also performed, varying each of these joint angles by 10% towards a more or less crouched posture (Fig. S3) to see if this affected the final conclusions. The conclusions of neither hypothesis were affected by this change, so we retain these assumed joint angles for the remainder of the study. From the metatarsophalangeal joint angle (=1.95), and the length of the fourth metatarsal (LMt), the moment arm (R) of the ground reaction force at midstance was calculated:Fig. 5(a) Predicted gastrocnemius tendon widths, compared against actual calcaneal tuberosity widths. Shading around regression lines indicates 95% confidence intervals. Grey highlighting indicates approximate regions of implausible hopping, either due to tendons being too narrow to resist ground reaction forces (lower region), or due to the tendons being wider than the available insertion space (upper region). (b-d) Violin plots of ratio of predicted tendon width to calcaneal tuberosity width, in modern vs. fossil individuals, with region indicating tendons larger than available insertion area highlighted in grey. Tendon widths predicted based on (b) moment calculations, (c) scaling of gastrocnemius muscle, and (d) scaling of gastrocnemius tendon. n = 46; n = 43 for the moment-based calculation of tendon width. Calcaneum outline by MJ; Hindlimb image by MJ, based on10,25,59.Full size image Fig. 6(a) Schematic drawing of the distal hindlimb bones of Macropus giganteus, adapted from25, with key measured bone lengths labelled, and (b) a free-body diagram illustrating the terms used in the text for forces and angles (black), as well as lever arms (blue). Red indicates the bones themselves. Abbreviations: FAE = force exerted by ankle extensors; GRF = ground reaction force; Lcalc = length of the calcaneum; LMt = length of the metatarsal; R = lever arm of GRF; r = lever arm of FAE; = metatarsophalangeal joint angle; = ankle joint angle. Hindlimb image by MJ, based on10,25,59.Full size image$$R = L_{{Mt}} cos (pi – theta )$$
    (1)
    The peak ground reaction force (GRF) acting on each individual hindlimb was assumed to be three times the weight (3 mg) of the animal, occurring at midstance and being oriented vertically52. Although a peak ground reaction force of 5 mg has been recorded in red kangaroos14, this seems to be a value for the whole animal (both hindlimbs), rather than for the hindlimbs considered individually, which would imply that each limb experienced ~ 2.5 mg of force. Thus, 3 mg was considered a conservative estimate for hopping animals, and this value was used here. The vertical orientation of GRF is in line with the results of a recent study which measured hopping kangaroos on a force plate51. From the peak GRF and the GRF moment arm R, the moment at the ankle joint was calculated as:$$M_{{{text{GRF}}}} = GRF cdot R$$
    (2)
    GRF is here assumed to act at the metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joint. A sensitivity analysis was also run, comparing the results shown here to those found if GRF was assumed to act at the midpoint of the phalanges, assuming that the first phalanx represented 42% of the total phalanx length (a mean value derived from data provided by Christine Janis, pers. comm.). The results of this sensitivity analysis (Fig. S2) are consistent with our findings when GRF is assumed to act at the MTP joint, with fossil individuals falling within the safety factor ranges of modern kangaroos. However, it also predicts a safety factor of < 1 for many modern kangaroos, including those for which GRF values close to our assumed value have been recorded (see figure below). We know this to be inaccurate, as these species do hop without fracturing their metatarsals. Therefore, we conclude that our original assumption of GRF acting at the MTP joint is more likely to produce an accurate model of hopping abilities among extinct species in this case. Thus, we proceed with this assumption for the remainder of the study.Hypothesis 1: metatarsal safety factorsFor those specimens where the antero-posterior (AP) and medio-lateral (ML) diameters of the fourth metatarsal were known (n = 89), the second moment of area at the midshaft (I) was predicted as follows53:$$I = (picdot{r_{ml}}cdot{r_{ap}} ^{3} )/4$$
    (3)
    Where rml is the mediolateral radius, and rap is the anteroposterior radius. Then, the bending moment of the GRF at the midshaft (Mmid) was calculated:$$M_{{mid}} = GRF cdot 0.5L_{{Mt}} cdot cos (pi – theta )$$
    (4)
    Next, peak stress at the midshaft () was calculated based on these values for Mmid, = rap, and I (from53, p. 16]):$$sigma = (M_{{mid}} cdot r_{{ap}}) /I$$
    (5)
    The safety factor of the metatarsal at peak stress was calculated by dividing the bending failure strength of mammalian bone by the peak stress recovered above. The failure strength of mammalian bone varies somewhat across species and bone type; for the sake of this study, we approximate it as 200 MPa in kangaroos. This value is the mean found for larger mammals in a study by Biewener21, and is within the range of values found for the kangaroo rat, the most comparable species in terms of locomotion included in this study.Hypothesis 2 preparation: ankle extensor muscle physiological Cross-sectional areas (PCSAs)To test the second hypothesis, we must estimate the force the ankle extensor muscles exert on their tendons, in order to estimate the requisite tendon cross-sectional area, and thus width, to resist this force. We employ two different methods to make this estimate.The first method predicts ankle extensor muscle PCSAs in the giant kangaroos from extrapolated allometric scaling patterns. The measured PCSAs of ankle extensor muscles for a variety of modern macropodoids were collected from the literature (10, provided by Craig McGowan, Pers. Comm.), including values for the gastrocnemius (GAS), plantaris (PL), and flexor digitorum longus (FDL). The PCSA values of these three muscles were summed to produce a total ankle extensor muscle PCSA. Linear ordinary least squares regressions were then performed on the log10-transformed PCSA and body mass data for three datasets: (1) the PCSAs estimated from ankle moments; (2) the summed measured ankle extensor PCSAs; and (3) the measured gastrocnemius PCSAs (Fig. 4). It is worth noting that the FDL possesses a reduced lever arm, relative to the other ankle extensor muscles, as it passes closer to the rotational centre of the ankle joint, meaning that it contributes less to the effective PCSA required to balance ground reaction forces at the ankle. Since we do not have specific data on the moment arm of the FDL, we disregard this muscle and the plantaris in the subsequent calculations of ankle extensor tendon width, in favour focussing on the gastrocnemius muscle. The gastrocnemius tendon is also the only one which inserts directly on the calcaneal tuberosity, meaning that this is the tendon which determines if adequate insertion area is available on the calcaneal tuberosity.This method does rely on extrapolation beyond the mass range of living species, which, as previously discussed, is not ideal, and means that these particular estimates are subject to the same issues mentioned for previous studies. However, there are no available osteological indicators of the size of the extensor muscles in giant kangaroos. The scaling relationships for ankle extensor muscles among modern kangaroos are hyper-allometric, with PCSA ∝ Mb (Fig. 4), whereas based on isometry, the only other option we have for estimating PCSA from body mass, we would expect PCSA ∝ Mb 2/3. Therefore, it is likely that if this extrapolation from living species is inaccurate, it is an overestimate of the PCSA available for the extinct species, if they did not hop, and is thus a conservative estimate relative to our hypothesis.Our second method, however, does not rely on allometric extrapolation at all, instead using our estimate of peak ground reaction force (GRF) and measured bone lengths to calculate the minimum force the ankle extensor muscles must produce to resist GRF. It thus avoids the problems which come with allometric extrapolation. For this method, the amount of force the ankle extensor muscle-tendon units (MTUs) were required to produce (FAE) to balance the moment of the GRF at the ankle joint was calculated as:$$F_{{{text{AE}}}} = M_{{{text{GRF}}}} /r$$
    (6)
    where r is the moment arm of the ankle extensor MTUs. To find this moment arm, both the length of the calcaneum and the angle between the calcaneum and the ankle extensor MTUs needed to be known. The length of the calcaneum in each case was already in our measured dataset. Meanwhile, the line of action of the MTUs was assumed to run parallel to the tibia, and the calcaneum parallel to the metatarsal, meaning that the angle between the two is the same as the ankle joint angle ((phi)) (Fig. 6). Thus, r was calculated as:$$r = L_{{{text{calc}}}} sin phi$$
    (7)
    where Lcalc is the length of the calcaneum.From the calculated ankle extensor force, the required total ankle extensor muscle PCSA (in m2) was calculated by dividing FAE by 3,000,000—since the maximal isometric stress of the muscles was assumed to be 0.3 MPa, following McGowan et al.10 for consistency with prior studies. This calculation provides a measure of the minimum ankle extensor muscle PCSA required to balance the moments involved in hopping.Hypothesis 2: ankle extensor tendon widthTo test our second hypothesis, the muscle PCSAs calculated in the previous section were used to predict the minimum tendon diameter required to maintain a tendon safety factor above one when hopping. From the PCSA of a muscle, the theoretical maximum force can be calculated; from this the minimum cross-sectional area (CSA), and then the tendon diameter needed to withstand this force can be derived. To accommodate hopping without tendon rupture, the calcaneal tuberosity width, a proxy for the maximum possible diameter of the tendon, must exceed this minimum required tendon diameter.Three sets of predicted tendon diameters were created. The first was derived from the moment-based estimation of the ankle extensor muscle PCSA created in the section above, and represents the absolute minimum tendon size required to prevent rupture during hopping. The second was derived from the gastrocnemius PCSA regression equation calculated from measured PCSAs in modern kangaroos10 in the section above, and represents the tendon size if we assume similar muscle scaling to living species. The PCSA estimates from the first two methods were used to predict minimum tendon CSA as follows:The maximum stress experienced by a tendon (σt) is equal to the maximum isometric stress which can be exerted by the muscle—assumed to be 0.3 MPa—multiplied by the ratio of muscle physiological cross-sectional area (Am) to tendon cross-sectional area (At)10:$$sigma _{t} = 0.30(A_{m} /A_{t} )$$
    (8)
    The safety factor of the tendon can be calculated by dividing the failure strength of the tendon—assumed to be 100 MPa, once again following the methods of McGowan et al. (2008)—by σt.$$SF_{t} = 100/sigma _{t}$$
    (9)
    If we assume a safety factor of 1, then using the above equations, we find that:$$A_{m} /A_{t} = 333.3$$
    (10)
    A safety factor of one is lower than would be acceptable in real life, given that a safety factor of < 1 would indicate tendon rupture. However, this value is used here to represent the absolute lower limit of tendon safety factors. Equation 10 was used to calculate the minimum tendon cross-sectional area (CSA) for all modern and fossil individuals where calcaneal measurements and Mb values were available, based on the two muscle PCSAs described above.A third estimate of tendon diameter was derived from an existing regression equation for tendon CSA against mass10. While this approach relies entirely upon extrapolation from modern data, it was included for comparison to the previous two approaches, and allows us to assess the sensitivity of our conclusions to changing the method for estimating tendon CSA in extinct species.The gastrocnemius tendon diameter was calculated from all three sets of tendon CSA predictions. To do this, a reasonable estimate of tendon ellipticity at insertion is required. To our knowledge there are no published data on the major vs. minor axis dimensions of kangaroo hindlimb tendons. The wider literature on mammal gastrocnemius tendons is likewise limited. Peterson et al.54 state that, across mammals, the anteroposterior and mediolateral widths of the tendon “are rarely very different because the tendon is quite round at its thinnest point”. This is not necessarily reflective of the cross-sectional shape at insertion, however, and they do not provide raw data, so the details cannot be judged. However, Obst et al.55 find that, in humans (who may be more comparable to kangaroos than to most mammals, as kangaroos are bipedal), the Achilles tendon is highly elliptical at insertion on the calcaneum. Raw data for this study is likewise not available, but based on values attained from digitising Fig. 3 using WebPlotDigitizer56, the major axis is 4.80 times greater than the minor axis at rest, and 4.94 times greater at maximal contraction. With this degree of ellipticity assumed, our projected required tendon widths are increased by a factor of 2.24, relative to a circular cross-section. If the resulting minimum tendon diameter exceeds the measured calcaneal width, then tendon rupture would be likely during hopping locomotion and it can be ruled infeasible.The resulting tendon width predictions were compared to each other, and to the measured widths of the calcaneal tuberosities for the same species, to see if the tendons would fit the calcanea observed in the fossil record. We do not suggest that there is a predictable relationship between calcaneum width and tendon size, as the tendon may not insert on the entire width of the calcaneal tuberosity. However, we calculate the ratio of the three sets of predicted tendon sizes to measured calcaneal width for modern and fossil kangaroos, to see whether there is any evidence that the fossil specimens were closer to being unable to accommodate the tendons required for hopping than any of their living relatives.All statistics performed in this study were linear least-squares regressions performed in base R v.4.4.157, with plots produced using the package ggplot258.

    Data availability

    Data is provided within the manuscript or supplementary information files.
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    Reprints and permissionsAbout this articleCite this articleJones, M.E., Jones, K. & Nudds, R.L. Biomechanical limits of hopping in the hindlimbs of giant extinct kangaroos.
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    Data availability

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Figshare Dataset (2025).Download referencesAcknowledgementsThis project is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 32472826), Leading Project of the “Three Agri-Priorities with Nine Directions” Science and Technology Collaboration Plans in Zhejiang Province of China (No. 2025SNJF016), Central Government Funds for Guiding Local Scientific and Technological Development (2025ZY01039), Wenzhou University Research Start-up Fund of China (No. QD2024084), Wenzhou City Talent Introduction Fund of China (R20241101), Key Research and Development Program of Gansu Province (24YFNJ003), Gansu Leading Talent Program, and Central Government Guiding Fund for Local Science and Technology Development Project (24ZYQA036).Author informationAuthors and AffiliationsCollege of Life and Environmental Science, State & Local Joint Engineering Research Center for Ecological Treatment Technology of Urban Water Pollution, Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Ecological Environment Treatment and Resource Protection, Wenzhou University, Wenzhou, ChinaLi Wang, Yasushi Iseri, Shoujiang Feng, Li Wang, Hao Ji, Dandi Sun, Zhenyang Wei, Min Zhao & Gary Y. GanGansu Provincial General Station for Cultivated Land Quality Construction and Protection, Lanzhou, ChinaShiqian GuoState State Key Laboratory for Quality and Safety of Agro-Products, Key Laboratory of Biotechnology in Plant Protection of MARA, International Science and Technology Cooperation Base for the Regulation of Soil Biological Functions and One Health of Zhejiang Province, Ningbo University, Ningbo, ChinaTida Ge & Li WangDepartment of Food, Agriculture & Biological Engineering, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USAKaren M. ManclInstitut de Recherche en Biologie Végétale, Département de Sciences Biologiques, Université de Montréal, Montréal, QC, CanadaMohamed HijriAfrican Genome Center, University Mohammed VI Polytechnic (UM6P), Ben Guerir, MoroccoMohamed Hijri & Soon-Jae LeeThe Institute for Aquatic Environment Research (NPO), Oaza Uchiyama, Dazaifu City, Fukuoka Prefecture, JapanYasushi IseriDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, SwitzerlandSoon-Jae LeeAgricultural Technology Extension Station of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, ChinaYongxiang ZhangState Key Laboratory of Aridland Crop Science, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou, ChinaPeina LuDingxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Dingxi, ChinaXiaojing ZhangDingxi Agricultural Technology Extension Station, Dingxi, Gansu, ChinaWeijun YangYunnan Agricultural University, Kunming, ChinaChenggang HeState Key Laboratory of Herbage Improvement and Grassland Agro-ecosystems, Center for Grassland Microbiome, College of Pastoral Agriculture Science and Technology, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, ChinaJinlin ZhangCollege of Hydraulic and Civil Engineering, Ludong University, Yantai, ChinaYing ZhaoNational Research Center of Intelligent Equipment for Agriculture, Beijing Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences, Beijing, ChinaDaming DongInstitute of Environment and Ecology, Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, ChinaYunfeng YangState Key Laboratory of Efficient Utilization of Agricultural Water Resources, Center for Agricultural Water Research in China, China Agricultural University, Beijing, ChinaShaozhong KangThe UWA Institute of Agriculture, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA, AustraliaKadambot H. M. SiddiqueAgroecosystems, The UBC-Soil Group, Tallus Heights, Kelowna, BC, CanadaGary Y. GanAuthorsLi WangView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarShiqian GuoView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarTida GeView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarKaren M. ManclView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarMohamed HijriView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarYasushi IseriView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarSoon-Jae LeeView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarShoujiang FengView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarLi WangView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarHao JiView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarDandi SunView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarZhenyang WeiView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarYongxiang ZhangView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarPeina LuView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarXiaojing ZhangView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarWeijun YangView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarChenggang HeView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarJinlin ZhangView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarYing ZhaoView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarDaming DongView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarYunfeng YangView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarShaozhong KangView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarKadambot H. M. SiddiqueView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarMin ZhaoView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarGary Y. GanView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarContributionsL.W.1 and G.Y.G. conceptualized the work, analyzed data and wrote original draft; S.G., Y.Z.9, X.Z., P.L., and W.Y. contributed experimental materials; T.G., K.M.M., M.H., Y.I., J.Z., Y.Z.15, D.D., Y.Y., S.K., C.H., and M.Z. brought out the critical issues relative to the subject, reviewed the draft and revisions, provided novel ideas to improve the work; S-J.L., S.F., L.W.1,3, and J.H. contributed subsection materials to the paper; L.W.1, G.Y.G., D.S., and Z.W. collected data, performed statistics, and constructed graphics; K.H.M.S. reviewed and revised revisions; All authors contributed to the manuscript, agreed on the contents and authorships, and approved the final version. 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    Nighttime warming enhances photosynthetic activity and induces changes in chloroplast membrane structure and antioxidant profile in Platycerium ferns

    AbstractGlobal warming leads to asymmetric shifts in daily temperature, with nighttime temperatures increasing more rapidly, which may significantly impact plant physiological processes. Ferns are among the species sensitive to climate change, however their responses to rising nighttime temperatures remain poorly understood. The aim of this study was to evaluate changes in the photosynthetic apparatus and antioxidant profile of two popular ornamental fern species: Platycerium bifurcatum and Platycerium alcicorne in response to an increase in nighttime temperature to daytime levels (resulting in a 2.3 °C increase in the daily mean). The analysis included measurements of chlorophyll a fluorescence, gas exchange parameters, pigment profile, antioxidant enzyme activity, non-enzymatic antioxidant content, lipid peroxidation level and physicochemical properties of chloroplast membranes. For the first time in ferns, it was demonstrated that an elevation in nighttime temperature stimulated gross photosynthesis and increased the efficiency of photosystem II. Furthermore, an increase in chlorophyll and flavonoid content, a reduction in malondialdehyde levels (MDA), and greater chloroplast membrane elasticity was observed, particularly within galactolipids fraction. Moderate nocturnal warming may stimulate acclimation processes, improving the photosynthetic efficiency of ferns and enhancing their adaptive potential, which is relevant in the context of the predicted expansion of climate-resilient species and their role in urban ecosystems. The experiment provides a foundation for further research on the effects of long-term warming on the reproduction, growth and population dynamics of Platycerium and other fern species.

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    Data availability

    Data are available from the author upon request: Jakub Oliwa ([email protected]).
    AbbreviationsABS/RC:
    Absorbed energy per reaction center
    APX:
    Ascorbate peroxidase
    CAT:
    Catalase
    CIB:
    Chloroplast isolation buffer
    Chl:
    Chlorophyll
    Cs⁻¹:
    Static compression modulus
    DGDG:
    Digalactosyldiacylglycerol
    DIo/RC:
    Dissipated energy per reaction center
    DTNB:
    5,5’–dithio–bis(2–nitrobenzoic acid)
    E:
    Transpiration rate
    EDTA:
    Ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid
    FL:
    Fluorescence
    Flav:
    Flavonols
    Fm:
    Maximum fluorescence
    Fo:
    Minimal fluorescence
    GR:
    Glutathione reductase
    GSH:
    Reduced glutathione
    LHCII:
    Light–harvesting complex of photosystem II
    MDA:
    Malondialdehyde
    MGDG:
    Monogalactosyldiacylglycerol
    NADPH:
    Nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate (reduced form)
    NBI:
    Nitrogen balance index
    OEC:
    Oxygen–evolving complex of photosystem II
    PL:
    Phospholipids
    PG
    :
    Gross photosynthesis
    POD:
    Peroxidase
    PSI:
    Photosystem I
    REo/RC:
    Electron transport per reaction center
    RuBP:
    Ribulose–1,5–bisphosphate
    SOD:
    Superoxide dismutase
    TBA:
    Thiobarbituric acid
    TCA:
    Trichloroacetic acid
    TNB:
    5’–thio–2–nitrobenzoic acid
    Vj:
    Relative variable fluorescence at J step
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    Download referencesAuthor informationAuthors and AffiliationsInstitute of Biology and Earth Sciences, University of the National Education Commission, Krakow, 31–084, PolandJakub Oliwa, Apolonia Sieprawska & Barbara DybaAuthorsJakub OliwaView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarApolonia SieprawskaView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarBarbara DybaView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarContributionsMethodology, formal analysis, investigation, writing – review and editing, visualization – J.O., A.S., B.D. conceptualization, data curation, writing – original draft preparation, supervision: J.O. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.Corresponding authorCorrespondence to
    Jakub Oliwa.Ethics declarations

    Competing interests
    The authors declare no competing interests.

    Additional informationPublisher’s noteSpringer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.Rights and permissions
    Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
    Reprints and permissionsAbout this articleCite this articleOliwa, J., Sieprawska, A. & Dyba, B. Nighttime warming enhances photosynthetic activity and induces changes in chloroplast membrane structure and antioxidant profile in Platycerium ferns.
    Sci Rep (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-37176-9Download citationReceived: 25 September 2025Accepted: 20 January 2026Published: 22 January 2026DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-37176-9Share this articleAnyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:Get shareable linkSorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.Copy shareable link to clipboard
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    Keywords
    Platycerium bifurcatum

    Platycerium alcicorne
    Chlorophyll a fluorescenceLangmuir isothermsAntioxidants More

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    Reconstructing Great Lakes air temperature and ice dynamics data back to 1897

    AbstractIce cover on the Great Lakes plays an important role in regional climate, supports tourism and recreation, and provides ecological habitat. As the climate warms, ice cover in the Great Lakes is expected to decline, which in turn will create more lake effect precipitation, reduce ice cover for recreation, and alter habitat for aquatic species. While it is important to understand the historical ice patterns to better understand past distributions of aquatic species and improve the accuracy of forecasts for future ice cover on the lakes, Great Lakes ice cover data prior to 1973 is scarce, due to the limited routine satellite observations. We used weather station data around the Great Lakes to compile daily air temperature, calculate cumulative freezing degree-days and net melting degree-days from 1897–2023, and develop raster layers estimating ice duration and variability spatially during the historical period from 1897–1960.

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    Data availability

    The daily air temperature data and the calculated modeled CFDD and NMDD data for 1897–2023 are available as csv files for download from National Centers for Environmental Information version 2.224. The historical ice duration spatial raster layers (mean and CV for each lake at 1.8 km resolution) are available as a geodatabase38.
    Code availability

    All code can be found in the Github repository https://github.com/kingka21/historical_GL_ice and archived in Zenodo42.
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    Katelyn King.Ethics declarations

    Competing interest
    The authors declare no competing interests.

    Additional informationPublisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.Supplementary informationTime series plots of surface air temperature (oC)Rights and permissions
    Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which permits any non-commercial use, sharing, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if you modified the licensed material. You do not have permission under this licence to share adapted material derived from this article or parts of it. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
    Reprints and permissionsAbout this articleCite this articleKing, K., Fujisaki-Manome, A., Brant, C. et al. Reconstructing Great Lakes air temperature and ice dynamics data back to 1897.
    Sci Data (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-06637-1Download citationReceived: 30 May 2025Accepted: 14 January 2026Published: 22 January 2026DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-026-06637-1Share this articleAnyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:Get shareable linkSorry, a shareable link is not currently available for this article.Copy shareable link to clipboard
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    Phosphate availability stabilizes fucoidan produced by marine microalgae

    Bacterial degradation of extracellular fucoidan is resource-intensive and, therefore, limited by low-phosphate concentrations. This mechanism provides a competitive advantage to fucoidan-producing microalgae and enhances carbon sequestration.

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    Fig. 1: Phosphate availability regulates fucoidan lability in the ocean through its opposing effects on fucoidan-producing microalgae and fucoidan-degrading bacteria.

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    Download referencesAuthor informationAuthors and AffiliationsGeosciences Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USABenjamin N. GranzowAuthorsBenjamin N. GranzowView author publicationsSearch author on:PubMed Google ScholarCorresponding authorCorrespondence to
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    Rights and permissionsReprints and permissionsAbout this articleCite this articleGranzow, B.N. Phosphate availability stabilizes fucoidan produced by marine microalgae.
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