Sutcliffe, J. & Parks, Y. The hydrology of the Nile. (IAHS Press, 1999).
Abu‐Zeid, M. A. & Biswas, A. K. Some major implications of climatic fluctuations on water management. Int. J. Water Resour. Dev. 7, 74–81 (1991).
van der Krogt, W. & Ogink, H. Development of the Eastern Nile Water Simulation Model. Report No. 1206020-000-VEB-0010 (Deltares, Delft, 2013).
Sudan MoIWR. Gage Flows at Dongola Station (Sudan Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources, 2019).
Hurst, H. E., Black, R. P. & Simaika, Y. S. M. A long-term plan for the Nile basin. Nature 160, 611–612 (1947).
Tvedt, T. The River Nile in the Age of the British: Political Ecology and the Quest for Economic Power. (I.B.Tauris & Co. Ltd., 2004).
Mekonnen, D. Z. The Nile Basin Cooperative framework agreement negotiations and the adoption of a ‘Water Security’ paradigm: flight into obscurity or a logical Cul-de-sac? Eur. J. Int. Law 21, 421–440 (2010).
Moussa, A. M. A. Dynamic operation rules of multi-purpose reservoir for better flood management. Alex. Eng. J. 57, 1665–1679 (2018).
USBR. Land and Water Resources of the Blue Nile Basin: Ethiopia: Main Report and Appendices I–V. (United States Department of the Interior, Washington DC, 1964).
Awulachew, S. B. The Nile River Basin: water, agriculture, governance and livelihoods. (Routledge, 2012).
Government of Ethiopia. Vol. S/2020/409 (United Nations Security Council, United Nations Digital Library, 2020).
Arjoon, D., Mohamed, Y., Goor, Q. & Tilmant, A. Hydro-economic risk assessment in the eastern Nile River basin. Water Resour. Econ. 8, 16–31 (2014).
Block, P. J. & Strzepek, K. Economic analysis of large-scale upstream river basin development on the Blue Nile in Ethiopia considering transient conditions, climate variability, and climate change. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag. 136, 156–166 (2010).
Digna, R. F. et al. Impact of water resources development on water availability for hydropower production and irrigated agriculture of the Eastern Nile Basin. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag. 144, 05018007 (2018).
Geressu, R. T. & Harou, J. J. Screening reservoir systems by considering the efficient trade-offs—informing infrastructure investment decisions on the Blue Nile. Environ. Res. Lett. 10, 125008 (2015).
Jeuland, M. & Whittington, D. Water resources planning under climate change: assessing the robustness of real options for the Blue Nile. Water Resour. Res. 50, 2086–2107 (2014).
Kahsay, T. N., Kuik, O., Brouwer, R. & van der Zaag, P. Estimation of the transboundary economic impacts of the Grand Ethiopia Renaissance Dam: a computable general equilibrium analysis. Water Resour. Econ. 10, 14–30 (2015).
Mulat, A. G. & Moges, S. A. Assessment of the impact of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on tHe Performance Of The High Aswan Dam. J. Water Resour. Prot. 06, 583–598 (2014).
Strzepek, K. M., Yohe, G. W., Tol, R. S. J. & Rosegrant, M. W. The value of the high Aswan Dam to the Egyptian economy. Ecol. Econ. 66, 117–126 (2008).
Wheeler, K. G. et al. Cooperative filling approaches for the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Water Int. 41, 611–634 (2016).
Wheeler, K. G. et al. Exploring cooperative transboundary river management strategies for the Eastern Nile Basin. Water Resour. Res. 54, 9224–9254 (2018).
Nigatu, G. & Dinar, A. Economic and hydrological impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Eastern Nile River Basin. Environ. Dev. Econ. 21, 532–555 (2015).
Sangiorgio, M. & Guariso, G. NN-based implicit stochastic optimization of multi-reservoir systems management. Water 10, 303 (2018).
Taye, M. T., Willems, P. & Block, P. Implications of climate change on hydrological extremes in the Blue Nile basin: a review. J. Hydrol.: Regional Stud. 4, 280–293 (2015).
Brown, C. M. et al. The future of water resources systems analysis: Toward a scientific framework for sustainable water management. Water Resour. Res. 51, 6110–6124 (2015).
Loucks, D. P. From Analyses to Implementation and Innovation. Water 12, 974 (2020).
Basheer, M. et al. Filling Africa’s largest hydropower dam should consider engineering realities. One Earth. 3, 277–281 (2020).
Roussi, A. Gigantic Nile dam prompts clash between Egypt and Ethiopia. Nature 574, 159 (2019).
Jeuland, M., Wu, X. & Whittington, D. Infrastructure development and the economics of cooperation in the Eastern Nile. Water Int. 42, 121–141 (2017).
Basheer, M. et al. Quantifying and evaluating the impacts of cooperation in transboundary river basins on the Water-Energy-Food nexus: the Blue Nile Basin. Sci. Total Environ. 630, 1309–1323 (2018).
Basheer, M. & Ahmed Elagib, N. Temporal analysis of water-energy nexus indicators for hydropower generation and water pumping in the Lower Blue Nile Basin. J. Hydrol. 578, 124085 (2019).
Siam, M. S. & Eltahir, E. A. B. Climate change enhances interannual variability of the Nile river flow. Nat. Clim. Change 7, 350 (2017).
Lund, J. R. & Guzman, J. Derived operating rules for reservoirs in series or in parallel. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manag. 125, 143–153 (1999).
Lazer, D. M. J. et al. The science of fake news. Science 359, 1094–1096 (2018).
Vosoughi, S., Roy, D. & Aral, S. The spread of true and false news online. Science 359, 1146–1151 (2018).
Whittington, D., Hanemann, W. M., Sadoff, C. & Jeuland, M. The challenge of improving water and sanitation services in less developed countries. Found. Trends® Microecon. 4, 469–609 (2009).
Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica 47, 263–291 (1979).
Whittington, D. Policy note: ancient instincts—implications for water policy in the 21st century. Water Econ. Policy 02, 1671002 (2016).
Zagona, E. A., Fulp, T. J., Shane, R., Magee, T. & Goranflo, H. M. RiverWare: a generalized tool for complex reservoir systems modeling. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 37, 913 (2001).
NBI. State of the River Nile Basin 2012. (Entebbe, 2012).
Belissa, A. Establishing optimal reservoir operation of Fincha’a – Amerty Reservoirs MSc Civil Engineering thesis, Addis Ababa University, (2016).
Mondal, M. A. H., Bryan, E., Ringler, C., Mekonnen, D. & Rosegrant, M. Ethiopian energy status and demand scenarios: prospects to improve energy efficiency and mitigate GHG emissions. Energy 149, 161–172 (2018).
Conway, D. Water resources: future Nile river flows. Nat. Clim. Change 7, 319–320 (2017).
Harding, B. L., Sangoyomi, T. B. & Payton, E. A. Impacts of a severe sustained drought on Colorado River water resources. JAWRA J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 31, 815–824 (1995).
Georgakakos, A. P. et al. Value of adaptive water resources management in Northern California under climatic variability and change: Reservoir management. J. Hydrol. 412-413, 34–46 (2012).
Maass, A. Design of water-resource systems: new techniques for relating economic objectives, engineering analysis, and governmental planning. (Harvard University Press., 1962).
Hurst, H. E., Black, R. P. & Simaika, Y. M. Long-term storage: an experimental study. (Constable, 1965).
Conway, D. From headwater tributaries to international river: observing and adapting to climate variability and change in the Nile basin. Glob. Environ. Change 15, 99–114 (2005).
Ward, N. & Conway, D. Applications of interannual-to-decadal climate prediction: an exploratory discussion on rainfall in the Sahel region of Africa. Clim. Serv. 18, 100170 (2020).
Sutcliffe, J., Hurst, S., Awadallah, A. G., Brown, E. & Hamed, K. Harold Edwin Hurst: the Nile and Egypt, past and future. Hydrological Sci. J. 61, 1557–1570 (2016).
Koutsoyiannis, D. Hydrology and change. Hydrological Sci. J. 58, 1177–1197 (2013).
Koutsoyiannis, D., Yao, H. & Georgakakos, A. Medium-range flow prediction for the Nile: a comparison of stochastic and deterministic methods/Prévision du débit du Nil à moyen terme: une comparaison de méthodes stochastiques et déterministes. Hydrol. Sci. J. 53, 142–164 (2008).
Sandoval-Solis, S., Teasley, R. L., McKinney, D. C., Thomas, G. A. & Patiño-Gomez, C. Collaborative modeling to evaluate water management scenarios in the Rio Grande Basin. JAWRA J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 49, 639–653 (2013).
USBR. Colorado River Interim Guidelines for Lower Basin Shortages and the Coordinated Operations for Lake Powell and Lake Mead Final Environmental Impact Statement. (U.S. Department of the Interior, Washington DC, 2007).
Milly, P. C. D. et al. Stationarity is dead: whither water management? Science 319, 573–574 (2008).
Rayner, S., Lach, D. & Ingram, H. Weather forecasts are for wimps: why water resource managers do not use climate forecasts. Climatic Change 69, 197–227 (2005).
Gober, P., Kirkwood, C. W., Balling, R. C., Ellis, A. W. & Deitrick, S. Water planning under climatic uncertainty in phoenix: why we need a new paradigm. Ann. Assoc. Am. Geographers 100, 356–372 (2010).
Olsson, J. A. & Andersson, L. Possibilities and problems with the use of models as a communication tool in water resource management. Water Resour. Manag. 21, 97–110 (2007).
Strzepek, K. & McCluskey, A. The impacts of climate change on regional water resources and agriculture in Africa. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper (2007).
Beyene, T., Lettenmaier, D. P. & Kabat, P. Hydrologic impacts of climate change on the Nile River Basin: implications of the 2007 IPCC scenarios. Climatic Change 100, 433–461 (2010).
Eltahir, E. A. B. & Wang, G. Nilometers, El Niño, and climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, 489–492 (1999).
Denning, S. Effective storytelling: strategic business narrative techniques. Strategy Leadersh. 34, 42–48 (2006).
Roe, E. Narrative policy analysis: Theory and practice. (Duke University Press, 1994).
Source: Resources - nature.com