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According to the target of the present study, the mortality incidence on P. nobilis in local populations along the Apulia peninsula (the Southeast coast of Italy) following the MME was assessed. In addition, an investigation on the species distribution and densities in the Adriatic and the Ionian Sea was carried out, which allowed us to build a picture of species populations before the MME.Concerning the P. nobilis distribution in the Apulia region before the MME, unfortunately, there is a lack of information at the wide scale, and literature reports only concern semi-enclosed systems such as the Taranto basins17,18,19 and the Aquatina lagoon20. No large-scale monitoring program on P. nobilis, in fact, has been carried out previously along the Apulian coast, although this kind of surveys is indispensable for the management of a protected species and must become mandatory for a critically endangered species such has become P. nobilis. The present data-gathering, that is aimed to partially address this information gap, based on the monitoring of recently dead specimens, allowed to realize a plausible map of P. nobilis distribution and densities before the MME in 30 areas distributed along the entire Apulian region coast.Along the Ionian coast, recently dead P. nobilis were detected in all the areas studied, highlighting a continuous distribution of the species prior to the MME, differently from the not continuous distribution along the Adriatic coast. The occurrence of P. nobilis was recorded in the areas surveyed in the south, from A7 to A17, but no traces were found along the northernmost areas except for the Tremiti archipelago, suggesting that the northernmost Adriatic coast of the region does not meet the environmental conditions suitable for hosting this species. Nevertheless, in the Gulf of Manfredonia multiple reports from fisherman indicating the presence of the species in a local Cymodocea nodosa meadow before the 1980s, suggest that this area may have been an exception in the past. Therefore, we can assume that excessive fishing and anthropogenic activities in this area are likely to have caused the species to disappear many decades ago.Data regarding the mortality incidence after the MME in Apulian populations is scarce. Panarese et al.11 reported the advent of the disease in Mar Piccolo di Taranto but without describing the disease incidence. In this study, a mortality incidence of 100% in all basins, bathymetric (down to 15 m) and habitat types, was recorded, demonstrating the severity of the situation along the entire Apulian coast, both inshore and offshore, and in lagoon and marine-protected areas.Although the availability of nutrients and the trophic conditions are assumed to be very different between offshore, inshore, and transitional systems, the archipelago of Tremiti islands, located 13 miles away from the coast, showed no differences in mortality incidence from sites along the coast, evidencing the same critical conditions in all environments.Many Mediterranean lagoon systems, including the Ebro Delta, Mar Menor Lagoon in Spain21, the Rhone delta, Leucate and Thau in France22,23,24, Venice, Grado-Marano and Faro in Italy25,26,27, Bizerte in Tunisia24 are considered the last healthy shelters for P. nobilis populations in the Mediterranean Sea22. These systems seem to offer a degree of resistance against the disease and are all characterized by high seasonal fluctuations of environmental parameters, such as temperature and salinity. It has been supposed that the effect of these fluctuations could make these environments less suitable for the spread of the disease and reduce the rate of transmission21,22. In the present study, two lagoon systems were also investigated, but no live specimens were found. These systems are strongly affected by the saltwater intrusion and the freshwater inputs became very low during the dry season. Hence, we can assume that during the summer season, when P. nobilis become susceptible to the disease, no salinity barrier against the pathogen spread persists in these lagoons systems.Considering that the lagoon refuges currently represent the main source of larval production for P. nobilis recruitment22,28, the collapse of these populations confirms the severity of the situation for species conservation. For the Italian coast, the last live populations are those in the lagoons located in the northen Adriatic Sea (Venice and Grado-Marano lagoon). These environments can act as larval exporters for the Adriatic Sea taking advantage of the mobility of the larvae that can spread over hundreds of kms28.Regarding the timeframe of the spread of the MME along the Apulian coast, the first report of the infection dates back to 201818, in the Mar Piccolo di Taranto. Compared to the first MME event observed in the Spanish coast in 20165,7, the disease has spread from the western to the eastern basin of the Mediterranean Sea over a period of 2 years. Our surveys, carried out in 2020, showed that 91% of the shells were still undamaged and with joined valves. Based on the state of conservation of the shells29 it is possible to hypothesize that the death of the specimens was a recent phenomenon that had occurred in Apulia in the two years preceding our surveys, and most probably it should be dated back to 2019.Kersting and Ballesteros30 have suggested that other species, such as P. rudis, could benefit from the collapse of the P. nobilis population. During our surveys, only 5 specimens of P. rudis were found, located in 2 sites, but it must be considered that the survey was carried out only a short time after the MME of P. nobilis. Further studies aimed at assessing an increase in P. rudis in the investigated areas would be of great interest to corroborate this hypothesis.In these surveys, P. nobilis showed transverse distribution among habitat types occurring both in marine and lagoon systems, inside and outside seagrass meadows, on sandy, rocky, and maerl beds substrate. Nevertheless, on a spatial macro (from a few kilometers to tens of kilometers) and mesoscale (from hundreds to thousands of meters), an overlap with the distributional range of seagrass meadows emerges. A clear cross-boundary subsidy trend was evidenced by the data collected on P. nobilis distribution in association with seagrasses. The specimens inside seagrass meadows were almost double than those detected nearby and a gradual decrease was observed with the increase of the distance from the seagrass patches (Fig. 2). This is particularly evident along the northern Adriatic coast of the region, where extended seagrass meadows are absent and, no trace of P. nobilis was encountered, except in the Tremiti archipelago where both P. oceanica meadows and pen shells were found. By contrast, present data reporting P. nobilis as associated with various seagrass species, such as P. oceanica, C. nodosa, and Zostera sp., are consistent with the macroscale and mesoscale association between P. nobilis and seagrass meadows sensu lato and most literature reporting ubiquitous distribution of P. nobilis both in lagoon-estuarine21,22,24,25,26,31 and in marine ecosystems4,7,9,14,16,24.However, regarding their microscale distribution, the pen shells in our surveys were recorded also outside the seagrass meadows boundaries, at times up to 1 km away. Hence, seagrass sheltering can potentially be ruled out as the sole explanatory factor for the distribution pattern of the species. The pattern emerging from this study led us to hypothesize that a trophic link with the seagrass detritus food-chain may explain both the macroscale–mesoscale association with seagrass species and the microscale cross-boundary distribution. In fact, seagrass detritus is highly refractory, since it is largely exported to the nearby areas where it can represent the major food source for other invertebrates32,33,34. This hypothesis is consistent with the stomach contents observations reported by Davenport et al.3 indicating detritus as the bulk component, accounting for 95% of the total ingested material.One of the main factors underlying the distribution pattern in benthic invertebrates is indeed food availability35,36. According to the Ideal Free Distribution (IFD) theory, the individuals in a population disperse to different resource patches within their environment, minimizing competition and maximizing fitness37. When the IFD assumptions are met, the number of individuals who aggregate in patches is proportional to the amount of food resource available in each one. Accordingly, the distribution of large, long life, and sessile organisms such as P. nobilis would be expected to depict the species trophic supply, by analyzing the resources available in those patches.Studies on the seagrass system energy flow have shown that seagrass debris must be fractionated before entering the food chain33. In this way, plant material becomes fine particulates moving in the boundary layer over the sediment–water interface38,39. These processes take time, and while the matter is transported, heterotrophic bacteria grow exponentially, turning it into a high quality and protein-enriched food for consumers. Hence, bacteria adhering to seagrass detritus may play a key role in this benthic food chain and sediment–water interface consumers may incorporate more energy from associated microbes than from the detritus itself32,38. On the basis of these considerations, it is reasonable to hypothesize that the quantity, composition and origin of the suspended particles are regulated by a drift mechanism and that this mechanism may explain local densities of P. nobilis as a response to sinking rates and resuspension effects. This hypothesis explain also the species distribution in systems, characterized by strong dominant current and shallow seabeds where the seagrass detritus can be spread/drift several kilometers away from the meadows. An example of this condition is encountered in the north Adriatic Sea (e.g., Gulf of Trieste) where extensive population of P. nobilis develops on several sink areas even kilometers downstream from the meadows. The assumption of the species’ ability to feed on seagrass detritus, together with the high biomasses reached (large size specimens and high density), lead us to suppose that P. nobilis may play a key role in the processing of matter and in the energy pathway deriving from seagrass detritus in Mediterranean coastal areas. This makes the repercussions of the MME not only a problem of conservation, but also and above all, an ecological-functional issue.We can, therefore, conclude that Mediterranean seagrass meadows not only constitute a habitat for P. nobilis, but probably also a food source through refractory detritus generation which is transferred and transformed outside the meadows. Unfortunately, literature is lacking on this topic and further investigations are needed to define the trophic role and function of these filter feeders in the different seagrass meadows.The density values that emerged were significantly different among basins. In the Adriatic Sea, where all the coastal values were recorded, the densities were consistently lower than those reported in the Ionian Sea, except for the two southernmost areas. In the Adriatic basin, it was also possible to recognize a north-south trend when considering the densities of pen shells in the coastal areas. Although the values recorded along the southern coast of the region were much greater than those recorded in the central coast, they were far lower than those reported by Čižmek et al.40 in the Croatian coast (North Adriatic Sea). Similar values to ours within the same basin were reported by Celebicic et al.41 in Bosnian waters (0.12 individuals/100 m2).On the other hand, in the Ionian areas, the values recorded were consistently >0.1 individuals/100 m2. The values recorded in the Mar Grande di Taranto were higher than those reported by Centoducati et al.17 (0.1–0.7 ind/ha2). From interviews with fishermen, it emerged that illegal trawling in this area has strongly impacted the natural populations of the Mar Grande di Taranto, and a partial reduction of this activity, in recent years could explain the slight increase in density compared to the 2004 survey data17.In interpreting our data, it should be considered that the surveys were carried out employing an extensive sampling protocol conceived to assess wide surface densities on coastal areas investigating across several habitat types. Therefore, literature density values focused only on local areas or habitat patchiness that were not randomly selected must be contextualized when compared with these data. In addition, given the scale of the presented surveys, emphasis must be given to P. nobilis absence data of which the literature appears poor. Indeed, contrary to the data on presence, reliable absence data are difficult to obtain requiring much greater effort to rule out a rare occurrence42. The absence data obtained in this study derive from the merger of two different data types. The first come from the local ecological knowledge obtained from interviews with the local fishermen, which allowed us to confirm our data, excluding spot occurrences in the same areas. Furthermore the interviews allowed us to collect information on a historical series of species presence/absence in the areas, which was helpful to confirm local absence when no P. nobilis specimens were recorded in our surveys. The second derives from the complete vision of divers during the field surveys. Indeed the scuba diver’s view was at least 10 times wider than 50 cm from the side around the rope and hence, the perception of absence can be extended over a much larger surface area investigated. By merging these two sources of information, we can assume that the absence data collected in exhaustive and complete.In conclusion, this study investigated different basins, habitat types, and bathymetries along the Apulian coast. The shells spatial distribution that arise from this study allowed to obtain important information on the species trophic ecology. Indeed, the species distributional pattern showed a strong overlap with seagrass meadows on meso and macro geographical scale, however this was not the case on a micro scale. This result indicates that although there is a strong relationship between P. nobilis and seagrass meadows, it is not limited to the habitat patch but crosses the boundaries of seagrass. This result led us to hypothesize that the distribution of P. nobilis displays a trophic link through the cross-boundary subsidy occurring from seagrass meadows to the nearby habitat, by means of the refractory detrital pathway. However, further investigations taking into account other factors such as hydrodynamics, are needed to investigate this topic.No live specimens of P. nobilis were found in >800 km of coastal line, leading us to the conclusion that the coastal and lagoon population had totally collapsed in the region after the MME. The seriousness of the situation on the Apulian coasts, just as in the other Mediterranean ecoregions, indicates that the MME that began in 2016 is still in progress, and no local population can be considered safe. Given the gravity of the current situation, it is vital for species preservation to extend the survey across the entire Italian coast to gain a overall picture of the status of the P. nobilis population on a national scale. Indeed, other regions may reveal the existence of natural shelters, where live populations of P. nobilis may still persist. If this is the case, it is essential to identify and protect them in time. As already suggested by Kersting et al.9, this initiative should be conducted in parallel by all the nations of the Mediterranean basin to implement standard guidelines for the monitoring, protection, and recovery of this critically endangered species. More

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ResultsSoil physiochemical propertiesThe preliminary status of the soil analyzed before the commencement of the field preparatory activities revealed that the soil was subtlety fertile with regard to the physical and chemical properties (Table 1).Table 1 Physicochemical properties of the soil.Full size tableAssessment of disease incidence at sowing dates during each year in the trial studyIn the trial study, very low and statistically significant (p  More

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