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Study areaSituated in western India’s southwestern part of the Gujarat state, the Saurashtra region typically represents the semi-arid Gujarat-Rajputana province 4B23, which covers 11 out of 33 districts of the state. The region forms a rocky tableland (altitude 300–600 m) fringed by coastal plains with an undulating central plain broken by hills and dissected by various rivers that flow in all directions24. With the longest coastline (~ 1600 km) in India, Gujarat is endowed with rich coastal biodiversity25,26. The Saurashtra coast in Gujarat is encircled by the open sea between two Gulfs (68° 58′–71° 30′ N and 22° 15′–20° 50′ E) and divided into two segments, viz. the southwestern coast from Dwarka to Diu (~ 300 km stretch) and south-eastern coast from Diu to Bhavnagar (~ 250 km stretch)26.The Asiatic Lion Landscape covers an area of ~ 30,000 km2 (permanent lion distribution range: ~ 16,000 km2; visitation record range: ~ 14,000 km2) of varied habitat types within Saurashtra. The landscape includes five protected areas (Gir National Park, Gir Wildlife Sanctuary, Paniya Wildlife Sanctuary, Mitiyala Wildlife Sanctuary, and Girnar Wildlife Sanctuary) and other forest classes (reserved forests, protected forests, and unclassed forests).The coastal habitats extend across the districts of Bhavnagar, Amreli, Gir-Somnath, and Junagadh (Fig. 1). Within these districts (Fig. 1), the tehsils (sub-divisions/taluka) of Mangrol, Malia, Patan-Veraval, Sutrapada, Kodinar and Una are categorized under the southwestern coast (hereafter western coastal habitat), Jafrabad, Rajula, form the south-eastern coast and Mahuva and Talaja constitute the Bhavnagar coast and represent distinct lion range units (Fig. 1). The total area covered in the study is 2843 km2 on the eastern coast and 1413 km2 on the western coast (Fig. 1).The Saurashtra region is bestowed with three distinct seasons, viz. dry and hot summer (March–June), monsoon (July–October), and primarily dry winter (November–February). It receives a mean annual rainfall of ~ 600 mm, with most rainfall during the southwest monsoon27. The mean maximum and minimum temperatures are 34 °C and 19 °C, respectively28. There is a 110 km2 stretch of forests along the coast. The rest of the areas are multi-use consisting of private, industrial, pastoral and wastelands of varied ownerships. The natural vegetation primarily consists of Prosopis juliflora and Casuarina equistsetifolia. On the beach and dune areas, vegetation such as Ipomea pescaprae, Sporobolus trinules, Fimrystylis sp., Crotalaria sp., and Euphorbia nivuleria29. The mudflats along the coast are restricted to Talaja, Mahuva, Pipavav Port, Jafrabad creek, and Porbandar, sparsely covered by the Avicennia marina29. Fisheries, agriculture, horticulture, livestock rearing, and some large- and small-scale industries are the leading economies in the coastal belt.Coastal segments are characterized by the variety of vegetation, sandy beaches, small cliffs, wave-cut platforms, open and submerged dunes, minor estuaries, embankments, and transition from the open sea to gulf environment with tidal mud26,29 and also support a diverse assemblage of biodiversity25. This biodiversity is further enriched by several perennial/ephemeral rivers originating from the Gir PA (Shetrunji, Machundari, Raval, Ardak, Bhuvatirth, Shinghoda, Hiran, Saraswati, etc.)12. These rivers meet the sea at different sections of the coast, forming prominent coastal ecosystems25. The riverine tracts act as important corridors for wildlife movement9,12,30. Dispersing through these corridors, lions have started inhabiting these coastal habitats30,31.MethodsAll the research activities involved in this study on Asiatic lions were carried out after taking due permission from the Ministry of Environment, Forests & Climate Change (MoEF&CC), Government of India (Letter No.: F. No. 1-50/2018 WL) and Principal Chief Conservator of Forests (Wildlife) & Chief Wildlife Warden, Gujarat State, Gandhinagar (Letter No.: WLP 26B 781-83/2019-20). Procedures and protocols were followed as per the Standard Operating Procedures of the Gujarat Forest Department, Government of Gujarat, concerning the handling of wild animals. Qualified and experienced veterinarians and their team carried out all procedures related to radio-collaring. Moreover, the study is reported in accordance with ‘Animal Research: Reporting of In Vivo Experiments’ (ARRIVE) guidelines as applicable.A long-term lion monitoring project was initiated in 2019 by the Gujarat Forest Department to understand the movement patterns and ecology of lions in the Asiatic Lion Landscape. Looking at the heterogeneity and vastness of the coastal areas, ten individuals were carefully selected for satellite radio-collaring based on their frequent movement in different coastal habitats and monitored from 2019 to 2021.The lions were deployed with Vertex Plus GPS Collars (Vectronics Aerospace GmbH, Berlin, Germany) that weighed less than three per cent of the individual’s body weight, irrespective of age and sex. The lions were immobilized using a combination of Ketamine hydrochloride (2.2 mg per kg body weight; Ketamine, Biowet, Pulawy) and Xylazine hydrochloride (1.1 mg per kg body weight; Xylaxil, Brilliant Bio Pharma Pvt. Ltd., Telangana)32 administered intramuscularly using a gas-powered Telinject™ G.U.T 50 (Telinject Inc., Dudenhofen, Germany) dart delivery system. A blindfold was placed to protect the eyes and decrease visual stimuli33,34. Each sedated individual was sexed, aged, and measured as per the standard operating procedure (SOP) of the Gujarat Forest Department, Government of Gujarat, and recorded the data in the trapping datasheet. The radio-collars were deployed considering the neck girth of the individual, ensuring free movement of it so as not to hamper the individual’s routine activities. After deploying the radio-collar, we used the specific antidote for Xylazine, i.e., Yohimbine hydrochloride (0.1–0.15 mg per kg body weight; Yohimbe, Equimed, USA) intravenously, resulting in the total recovery of immobilized individuals32 within 5–10 min. The individuals were intensively monitored for 72 h and, after that, regularly monitored throughout the functional period of the radio-collars. The entire radio-collaring exercise was carried out by trained and experienced veterinary officers and their teams that constituted wildlife health care personnel and field staff.Each collar had a unique VHF and UHF frequency. The radio-collars were equipped with a programmable GPS schedule and configured to record the location fixes at every hour and provided the data through the constellation of low-earth-orbit Iridium satellite data service (Iridium Communications Inc., Virginia, USA) at four-hour intervals after getting activated. The data logs included location fixes in degree decimal format (latitude/longitude), speed (km/hour), altitude (meters above mean sea level), UTC timestamp (dd-mm-yyyy h:m:s), direction (degrees), and temperature (Celsius). Radio-collars were equipped with mortality sensors and a programmable drop-off activation system. Gir Hi-Tech Monitoring Unit, Sasan-Gir, Gujarat, monitored and coordinated these activities. The location data from each radio-collar was downloaded using the GPS Plus X software (Vectronics Aerospace GmbH, Berlin, Germany) in the Gir Hi-Tech Monitoring Unit (a technology-driven scientific monitoring initiative in the landscape established in 2019 at Sasan-Gir, Gujarat).Data analysisIn this study, we calculated the home range of lions resident in the coastal region using the Fixed Kernel method. We expressed them as 90% and 50% Fixed Kernel (FK) to summarize the overall home range and core area, respectively35,36,37. Additionally, the home range of lions categorized as “link lions” and lions of the protected area was summarized for comparison (Table 1).MaxEnt (version 3.4.1) stand-alone software38 was applied for fine-scaled lion distribution modelling39,40. The logistic output format was set for the MaxEnt output. 30% random lion occurrence points were used as test data to evaluate model performance. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the discriminative ability of the model based on the values of sensitivity (correct discrimination of true positive location points) and specificity (correct discrimination of true negative absence points)41. The Jackknife regularised training gain for the species was used to understand the effect of each variable in model building. The logical output by the MaxEnt was presented in a table format as “percent contribution” and “permutation importance” values (from 0 to 100%). Spatial inputs were prepared on the GIS platform using ArcMap (version 10.8.1, ESRI, Redlands, USA)42. Input data for MaxEnt were categorized as (i) lion occurrence data, (ii) model variables were prepared as described below:

i.

Occurrence data
At the first level, inconsistent location fixes (records with missing coordinates, time stamps, and elevation) and outliers were filtered out. Next, each lion’s hourly GPS location fixes obtained from remotely monitored radio-telemetry data were randomized to overcome spatial and temporal biases. The data was reduced by taking every three-hour location fix43,44. The data was further categorized season-wise, viz. summer, monsoon and winter. This consolidated data was then subject to spatial thinning of one kilometre using SDMtoolbox (version 2.0)45,46.

ii.

Model variables

The variables used for distribution modelling broadly included different categories of land use, including both natural habitats and anthropogenic factors, namely, roads and human settlement areas. All variables were rasterized at 10 m spatial resolution.Land Use Land Cover (LULC) data of Saurashtra was obtained from Bhaskaracharya National Institute for Space Applications and Geo-informatics (BISAG-N), Gandhinagar, Gujarat. The data was then further classified into 18 sub-classes—Forest, Sandy areas, Salt-affected, Saltpan, open scrub, dense scrub (Wastelands), Waterlogged, River/Stream/Drain, Lakes and Ponds, Mining/Industrial areas, Reservoir/Tanks, Mangrove/Swamp Area, Crop Land, Agriculture Plantation (horticulture and agro-forestry), Core urban, Mixed settlement, Peri-urban, Village (Fig. 2).Roads and highways were also analyzed as separate variables in the model. Roads were classified as village roads, major district roads, and state and national highways and digitized individually to estimate Euclidean distance further (Table 2). Euclidean distance from the human settlement (Core-urban, Peri-urban, villages and mixed settlement) was analyzed and taken as a separate input variable for the model. More

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The African Development Corridors database is publicly available. The visualisation of the database that can be explored interactively here: https://dcp-unep-wcmc.opendata.arcgis.com/. The data is deposited in the Dryad Digital Repository referenced as Thorn, J. P.R., Mwangi, B.; Juffe Bignoli, D., The African Development Corridors Database, Dryad, Dataset, https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.9kd51c5hw (2022)43. The final data were compiled into an online Master database spreadsheet, using the project code data as the merging attribute of the spatial and tabular database (AfricanDevelopmentCorridorsDatabase2022.csv). The African Development Corridor Database is presented as a GeoPackage file (.gpkg) and ESRI file Geodatabase (.gdb) composed by line and point feature datasets with the 22 associated attributes for all mapped corridors, a table with corridors that could not be mapped (also with the attributes), and a table with all sources consulted for each project code.We created a data standard to ensure a systematic and standardised data collection (Supplementary Table 2). Each data record in the database represents a project within a development corridor. To group all projects within the same development corridor we used a unique identifier composed by three letters that identified the corridor plus a number unique for each project or record. For example, the Lamu port project in Kenya within the Lamu Port South Sudan Ethiopia Transport Corridor (LAPSSET) was represented as LAP000. In this corridor we identified 20 projects, from LAP0001 which is the Lamu Port to LAP0020 which is the Isiolo-Lokichar-Lodwar-Nadapal Highway in Kenya. In addition to the unique identifier for each project, the data standard includes data attributes that provide detailed information about each project. Table 1 describes the attributes included in the database. Supplementary Table 3 summarises the 79 corridors included in the database.Table 1 List of the attributes included in the African Development Corridors Database.Full size tableInfrastructure types and status of development corridors in AfricaThe data consists of a total of 79 corridors consisting of 184 projects (Fig. 2). Of the 12 infrastructure types, the most predominant form of infrastructure in Africa’s development corridors is roads (n = 64, 34.8%), followed by wet ports (n = 38, 20.7%), passenger and freight railways (n = 33, 17.9%), and airports (n = 14, 7.6%). Fewer resort cities, electricity transmission lines, dry ports, industrial parks, and water pipelines comprise development corridors (all ≤ n = 3, 1.6%) (Fig. 3). We acknowledge our study might not include many infrastructure developments that are components projects of larger programmes but are not yet labelled as corridors. A total of 107 (58.7%) projects are operational, 35 (19%) are in progress, 25 (13.6%) are planned, 25 (13.9%) are being upgraded, and 2(1%) are on hold.Fig. 2Map showing the distribution of all the development corridors included in the African Development Corridors Database and their infrastructure type.Full size imageFig. 3Subset of highest frequencies of key attributes captured in the database.Full size imageSpatial distributionThe linear distance of development corridors in Africa is 122,294 km – which approximates to three times the Earth’s circumference, with an average of 1703.84 ± 213.19 km (mean, SE), ranging from 4–11,141 km. In terms of number of projects per country, Kenya has the most projects (n = 34, 18.5%), followed by Tanzania (n = 18, 9.8%), South Africa and Democratic Republic of the Congo (n = 17, 9.2% ea.), Ethiopia (n = 15, 8.2%), Mozambique and Zambia (n = 14, 7.6%), Angola, Uganda, Guinea and Cameroon (n = 12, 6.5%), Namibia (n = 11, 6.0%), Republic of Congo (n = 10, 5.4%), Burundi and Chad (n = 9, 4.9%), Malawi, Senegal, and Zimbabwe (n = 8, 4.4%), and Burkina Faso and Ghana (n = 7, 3.8%). Due to differences in the frequency and quality that countries publish data on infrastructure and development corridor investments, coverage may be lower for some regions, or some periods (i.e., recent, or further in the past).Investments in development corridorsAdjusting for inflation, the total investment of development corridors that is captured in the database ranges between USD 547.29–658.62 billion. The average cost of a corridor ranges between USD 3.46 ± 1.92 billion and USD 4.17 ± 2.04 billion. This is a notable sum, considering the average GDP in sub-Saharan Africa is USD 1.48 billion44. The most expensive development corridor project is the first of the nine Trans African Highway projects at USD 78.20 billion (when adjusted for inflation) – comprising transcontinental roads across Africa. We were able to capture the budget (or at least a proportion of the budget) for 84.7% of all projects.Temporal evolution of growth of development corridorsInvestments started in the 1800s and have increased exponentially (Fig. 4). Over a fifty-year period, the greatest number of investments took place between 1950 and 2000. Spikes in investments occurred particularly around 1900, which was when there was a wave of new imperialism across the continent, followed in the 1960s when many countries across sub-Saharan Africa gained independence. The third spike in investment was in the last decade, particularly since 2013, when we have seen rapid growth in foreign direct investment in Africa under initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative. According to the Ernst and Young Africa Attractiveness Survey (2019)45, the largest foreign direct investment (in terms of capital) between 2014–2018 came from China (USD 72,235 million), France (USD 34,172 million), USA (USD 30,885 million), the United Arab Emirates (USD 25,278 million) and the United Kingdom (USD 17,768 million).Fig. 4(a) Temporal evolution of investment in development corridors in Africa. (b) Annual investments per annum in development corridors in Africa (USD maximum, before adjusting for inflation).Full size imageDonors that are funding development corridorsAcross Africa, regional development banks invested the most in development corridors (30.8%), with the African Development Bank funding the majority (24.3%) of all projects. Outside of Africa, the regional development banks that invested in the most projects are the Export-Import Bank of China (n = 13, 3.8%), the European Investment Bank (n = 10, 2.8%) and the Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa (n = 4, 1.2% ea.). National governments funded about 29.8% of all projects. The Government of Kenya funded the most projects (n = 26; 7.5%), followed by the Governments of Tanzania (n = 7, 2.0%) and South Africa (n = 4, 1.2%). Multilateral banks funded 10.9% of projects – mostly from the World Bank (n = 33, 9.54%) and a few from the International Finance Corporation (n = 4, 1.6%). The international development community funded only 6.1% – of which the OPEC Fund for International Development funded four projects. Private companies continue to invest in a small percentage of development corridors (3.5%), but this is higher than national banks that invest in 3.2%. Regional Economic Community bodies have invested in 15 (4.8%) of all 184 projects. The average number of donors per corridor ranged from one to 12.Weighting of investments by donor typeIn terms capital funded per donor type, Regional Development Banks invested the most (totalling USD 30.72 billion), followed by national governments (USD 20.45 billion). The figure then drops substantially to international development agencies (USD6.17 billion) and multilateral banks (USD 3.76 billion). These results are limited by the fact that we were only able to capture the amount funded delineated by donor type for 22.58% (or USD 70.24 billion) of the minimum of all investments (USD 311.14 billion) before adjusting for inflation.Commodities transportedA total of 147 commodities were captured. The top twenty commodities traded were rice (n = 52, 28.7% of all projects), sugar (27.0%), fish and petroleum (24.3% ea.), passengers (21.6%), textiles (21.1%), maize (19.5%), coffee (18.9%), cement and timber (17.8% ea.) followed by cotton, crude petroleum, vehicle spare parts, beverages, copper, fruit, fertilisers, gold, pharmaceutical products, and tobacco.Beneficiaries and net supplier or receiverApproximately 213 different beneficiaries were identified – predominantly local communities (n = 134 of projects, 72.8%), followed by national and local governments (63.0%), traders (51.1%), agricultural farmers and livestock producers (27.7%), ports (27.2%), industries (25.5%), truck drivers (22.3%), tourists (17.4%), entrepreneurs (12.0%), and logistics companies (11.4%). Almost all (89.1%) of corridors are net receivers and suppliers of commodities, while only 13 (7.1%) are net suppliers and seven are net receivers (3.8%). More