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Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the NetherlandsPieter A. Zuidema & Ute Sass-KlaassenSchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USAFlurin BabstLaboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USAFlurin Babst, Valerie Trouet, Zakia Hassan Khamisi, Paul R. Sheppard & Ramzi TouchanDepartment of Plant Biology, Institute of Biology, University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, BrazilPeter Groenendijk & José Roberto Vieira AragãoWorld Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Addis Ababa, EthiopiaAbrham AbiyuDepartment of Microbiology and Parasitology, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, MexicoRodolfo Acuña-SotoLaboratory of Protection and Forest Management, Department of Forest Engineering, Universidade Regional de Blumenau, Santa Catarina, BrazilEduardo Adenesky-FilhoDepartment of Biology, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, Ontario, CanadaRaquel Alfaro-SánchezDepartment of Forest Sciences, Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture, University of Sao Paulo, Piracicaba, BrazilGabriel Assis-Pereira, Claudia Fontana & Mario Tomazello-FilhoTree-Ring Laboratory, Forest Science Department, Federal University of Lavras, Lavras, BrazilGabriel Assis-Pereira & Ana Carolina BarbosaCAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, ChinaXue Bai, Ze-Xin Fan, Shankar Panthi & Zhe-Kun ZhouDepartment of Environmental, Biological and Pharmaceutical Sciences and Technologies, University of Campania “L. Vanvitelli”, Caserta, ItalyGiovanna BattipagliaService of Wood Biology, Royal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, BelgiumHans Beeckman, Camille Couralet & Benjamin ToirambeBrazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa), Embrapa Forestry, Colombo, BrazilPaulo Cesar BotossoU.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, NWCG Member Agency, Washington, DC, USATim BradleyInstitute of Geography, Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Erlangen, GermanyAchim Bräuning, Mahmuda Islam, Mulugeta Mokria & Mizanur RahmanSchool of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UKRoel Brienen & Emanuel GloorLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USABrendan M. Buckley & Rosanne D’ArrigoInstituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, SpainJ. Julio CamareroCentre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, Faculty of Sciences and Technology, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, PortugalAna Carvalho & Cristina NabaisDepartment of Botany, Institute of Biosciences, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, BrazilGregório Ceccantini, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra & Giuliano Maselli LocosselliInstituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias (INIFAP), Centro Nacional de Investigación Disciplinaría en Relación Agua-Suelo-Planta-Atmósfera (CENID-RASPA), Gómez Palacio, MéxicoLibrado R. Centeno-Erguera, Julián Cerano-Paredes & Jose Villanueva-DiazInstituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias (INIFAP), Campo Experimental Centro – Altos de Jalisco, Tepatitlán de Morelos, MéxicoÁlvaro Agustín Chávez-DuránDepartment of Geosciences, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, USAMalcolm K. Cleaveland & Daniela Granato-SouzaDepartment of Forest Sciences, Universidad Nacional de Colombia – Sede Medellín, Medellín, ColombiaJorge Ignacio del ValleMaster School for Carpentry and Cabinetmaking, Ebern, GermanyOliver DünischDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USABrian J. EnquistSanta Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM, USABrian J. EnquistDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Joinville Region ‐ UNIVILLE, Joinville, BrazilKarin Esemann-QuadrosPostgraduate Program in Forestry, Regional University of Blumenau – FURB, Blumenau, BrazilKarin Esemann-QuadrosCollege of Life Science, Climate Science Center and Department of Earth Science, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaZewdu EshetuDepartamento de Dendrocronología e Historia Ambiental, IANIGLA, CCT-CONICET-Mendoza, Mendoza, ArgentinaM. Eugenia Ferrero, Lidio Lopez, Fidel Alejandro Roig & Ricardo VillalbaLaboratorio de Dendrocronología, Universidad Continental, Huancayo, PerúM. Eugenia Ferrero, Janet G. Inga & Edilson Jimmy Requena-RojasDepartment of Crop Sciences, Tropical Plant Production and Agricultural Systems Modelling, Göttingen University, Göttingen, GermanyEsther FichtlerInstitute of Pacific Islands Forestry, USDA Forest Service Pacific Southwest Research Station, Hilo, HI, USAKainana S. Francisco & Mulugeta MokriaWorld Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Nairobi, KenyaAster GebrekirstosFlanders Heritage Agency, Brussels, BelgiumKristof HanecaDepartment of Geography and Geological Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, USAGrant Logan HarleyGerman Archaeological Institute DAI, Berlin, GermanyIngo HeinrichGeography Department, Humboldt University Berlin, Berlin, GermanyIngo HeinrichGFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, GermanyIngo Heinrich & Gerd HelleDepartment of Forestry and Environmental Science, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, BangladeshMahmuda Islam & Mizanur RahmanFaculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech RepublicYu-mei JiangUS Fish and Wildlife Service, Albuquerque, NM, USAMark KaibDepartment of Ecology and Biogeography, Faculty of Biological and Veterinary Sciences, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, PolandMarcin KoprowskiCentre for Climate Change Research, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toruń, PolandMarcin KoprowskiWater Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, the NetherlandsBart KruijtInstituto Nacional de Innovación Agraria, Programa Nacional de Investigación Forestal, Huancayo, PerúEva LaymeEnvironmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, the NetherlandsRik LeemansDepartment of Natural Resource Management, South Dakota State University, Brookings, USA, SDA. Joshua LefflerLaboratory of Plant Anatomy and Dendrochronology, Department of Biology, Universidade Federal de Sergipe, Sergipe, BrazilClaudio Sergio Lisi, Mariana Alves Pagotto & Adauto de Souza Ribeiro Department of Geography, Swansea University, Swansea, UKNeil J. Loader & Iain RobertsonDepartamento Forestal, Universidad Autónoma Agraria Antonio Narro, Saltillo, MexicoMaría I. López-HernándezCITAB – Department of Forestry Sciences and Landscape (CIFAP), University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro, Vila Real, PortugalJosé Luís Penetra Cerveira LousadaEscuela de Ciencias Biológicas, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia (UPTC), Tunja, ColombiaHooz A. MendivelsoBrazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa), Embrapa Amazônia Ocidental, Manaus, BrazilValdinez Ribeiro MontóiaIHE Delft, Delft, the NetherlandsEddy MoorsVU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the NetherlandsEddy MoorsDepartment of Biomaterials Science and Technology, School of Natural Resources, The Copperbelt University, Kitwe, ZambiaJustine NgomaLaboratory of Ecology and Dendrology of the Federal Institute of Sergipe, São Cristovão, BrazilFrancisco de Carvalho Nogueira JúniorLaboratory of Plant Ecology, Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos (UNISINOS), São Leopoldo, BrazilJuliano Morales Oliveira & Gabriela Morais OlmedoBIOAPLIC, Departamento de Botánica, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, EPSE, Lugo, SpainGonzalo Pérez-De-LisLaboratorio de Dendrocronología, Carrera de Ingeniería Forestal, Universidad Nacional de Loja, Loja, EcuadorDarwin Pucha-CofrepFaculty of Environment and Resource studies, Mahidol University, Nakhon Pathom, ThailandNathsuda PumijumnongFacultad de Ciencias Agrarias, Universidad del Cauca, Popayán, ColombiaJorge Andres RamirezHémera Centro de Observación de la Tierra, Escuela de Ingeniería Forestal, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Mayor, Santiago, ChileFidel Alejandro Roig & Alejandro Venegas-GonzálezInstituto Nacional de Investigaciones Forestales, Agrícolas y Pecuarias (INIFAP), Centro de Investigación Regional Pacífico Centro – Campo Experimental, Centro Altos de Jalisco, MéxicoErnesto Alonso Rubio-CamachoNational Institute for Amazon Research, Petrópolis, Manaus, BrazilJochen SchöngartDepartment of Earth Sciences, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, GermanyFranziska SlottaDepartment of Earth and Environmental Systems, Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN, USAJames H. SpeerDepartment of Geography, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, USAMatthew D. TherrellDepartment of Civil, Environmental and Geodetic Engineering, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USAMax C. A. TorbensonDepartment of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, GermanyMax C. A. TorbensonDepartment of Plant and Environmental Sciences, School of Natural Resources, The Copperbelt University, Kitwe, ZambiaRoyd VinyaForest and Nature Management, Van Hall Larenstein University of Applied Sciences, Velp, the NetherlandsMart VlamSchool of Teacher Training for Secondary Education Tilburg, Fontys University of Applied Sciences, Tilburg, the NetherlandsTommy WilsP.A.Z., P.G. and V.T. initiated the tropical tree-ring network; P.A.Z., F.B., P.G. and V.T. designed the study; all co-authors except F.B. contributed tree-ring data; F.B. and P.G. analysed the data, with important contributions from P.A.Z.; P.A.Z. and V.T. wrote the manuscript, with important contributions from F.B. and P.G. All co-authors read and approved the manuscript. More

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Study systemThe cuckoo catfish (Synodontis multipunctatus) belongs to the African catfish family Mochokidae. The genus Synodontis, with 131 species distributed across African freshwaters57, gave rise to a small radiation in Lake Tanganyika, with 10 described endemic species58. The taxonomy of the group is not well established59 and we use the name S. multipunctatus as this species is confirmed as a brood parasite30 and the name was used in previous studies4,30,32,37,42. Cuckoo catfish primarily parasitise mouthbrooding cichlids from the tribe Tropheini30, but species from other lineages can also be parasitised59.Experimental designAll experiments took place between January and August 2020 at the Institute of Vertebrate Biology, Czech Republic. Prior to experimental use, fish were housed in mixed-sex groups in tanks equipped with shelter and internal filtration. Cuckoo catfish were F1 generation of commercially imported wild-caught parents (10 pairs). Host cichlids were descendant of wild fish imported from Kalambo, Zambia. Experimental tanks (420 L; length 150 cm, depth 70 cm, height 40 cm) were equipped with internal filtration, fine gravel (2–4 mm diameter), half a clay pot as a shelter on each side of the tank, and one artificial plant in the centre of each tank. Water temperature was maintained at 27 °C (±1 °C) and the dark – light regime was set to 11 h:13 h. In total, we stocked 18 tanks with 4 males and 12 females of the mouthbrooding cichlid Astatotilapia burtoni and introduced 3 cuckoo catfish pairs of one of three different experience levels. Naïve catfish (n = 36 individuals) had no prior experience with cichlids. Experienced catfish (n = 36) were housed together with reproductive cichlids for 12 months prior to the experiment and were age-matched to naïve catfish (5 years old). Highly experienced catfish (n = 36) were raised, coexisted and reproduced with cichlids for 7 years (and were on average 7–8% larger than both naïve and experienced catfish; mean ± SE, naïve: 116.2 ± 1.9 mm, experienced: 117.1 ± 1.5 mm, highly experienced: 125.6 ± 1.4 mm; Linear Model (LM): experienced vs. highly experienced, estimate ± S.E = 8.44 ± 2.29, t = 3.68, P = 0.0004, experienced vs. naïve, estimate ± S.E = −0.94 ± 2.29, t = −0.41, P = 0.681, n = 108). Additionally, both naïve and experienced cuckoo catfish were bred using in-vitro fertilisation32 to avoid cichlid imprinting (i.e., priming with cichlid cues), while highly experienced catfish were bred under natural conditions within the buccal cavities of their hosts. Each experimental tank contained catfish with the same experience level. Due to space limitations, we split the experiment into two consecutive phases with 3 replicate tanks for each treatment within both phases (in total 9 experimental tanks per phase). Between the two experimental phases, host cichlids were placed together and haphazardly assigned to new experimental tanks. During the second phase, we removed some cichlids from the tanks because of injuries caused by their intraspecific aggression (3 males and 3 females in total), and those hosts were not replaced. Over an experimental phase, cuckoo catfish and cichlids freely interacted for 15–16 weeks. During this period, each tank was checked for mouthbrooding cichlids twice each week (Tuesday and Friday). We caught the mouthbrooding females, gently washed the eggs out of their mouths using a jet of water from a Pasteur pipette, measured their body size to the nearest mm, and released them back to their experimental tank. For each female, we counted the number of cichlid eggs and cuckoo catfish eggs (if present). At the end of each experimental phase, we measured body size of all cuckoo catfish to the nearest mm. There was no significant difference between the number of cichlid spawnings between naïve and experienced catfish treatments (Generalised Linear Models with negative binomial error distribution, estimate ± S.E.: −0.093 ± 0.145, z = −0.644, P = 0.519), nor between naïve and highly experienced catfish (estimate ± S.E.: −0.269 ± 0.148, z = −1.810, P = 0.070).Behavioural recordingOver the experimental period, we successfully recorded 18 videos of spawning events (Lamax x3.1 ATLAS cameras; naïve catfish treatment, n = 9; experienced catfish treatment, n = 6; highly experienced catfish treatment, n = 3). One camera was placed near the spawning site approximately 20 cm away from spawning activity and a second camera was placed outside the experimental tank to obtain an overall view. Nine spawnings were recorded from the start (n = 7 naïve catfish experiments and 2 experienced catfish experiments) and nine spawnings were recorded from the timepoint when we recognised ongoing spawning activity (n = 2 naïve, 4 experienced, and 3 highly experienced catfish experiments). From the video footage taken for each spawning, we scored all overt aggression that host cichlids directed towards cuckoo catfish, counted the number of intruding catfish during each distinct cichlid spawning behaviour (i.e., male and female cichlid interact in a repeated succession of quivering and T-positions), measured the delay of intruding catfish to each distinct spawning behaviour (i.e., the time from the start of spawning behaviour until the first catfish directly approaches the spawning cichlids), and recorded the presence or absence of catfish during each spawning behaviour. Additionally, we recorded whether cichlids used the available shelters for spawning as this might have impeded catfish recognition of the spawning activity. When spawning was recorded from the start, scoring started 100 s before we detected the first egg laid (cichlid or cuckoo catfish). When spawning was already ongoing, the scoring started immediately after the cameras were in place. Mounting of the cameras did not interrupt the normal behaviour of cichlids or catfish. For all video footage, scoring ended 100 s after the last male-female interaction within the spawning site. To estimate the duration of male T-positions during spawnings, we measured the time period from the start of male nuzzling near female genital papilla until the female turned around either to collect eggs or start nuzzling near the male´s genital papilla (n = 115 male T-positions from 12 cichlid spawnings).Statistical analysisWe used R v. 3.5.1 (R Development Core Team, 2018) for all statistical analyses. All statistical tests were two-sided. First, we compared body size among the three cuckoo catfish experience levels using a Linear Model with catfish size (mm) as response variable and ‘treatment’ (naïve, experienced, and highly experienced catfish) as predictor variable. Second, we formally tested whether the number of host spawnings varied between the treatment groups (total numbers: naïve = 191 spawnings, experienced = 174 spawnings, highly experienced = 146 spawnings). To obtain an insight into temporal dynamics of cichlid spawning, we calculated the number of cichlid spawnings for each treatment in each quarter of the duration of the experimental period. We fitted a GLM with a negative binomial error distribution (to account for slightly overdispersed data) with the number of cichlid spawnings as the response variable and our treatment groups as predictors.To test how experience with host spawning (treatment) affected cuckoo catfish ability to place their eggs in the care of the host, we compared (1) the number of parasitised cichlid clutches among the three catfish experience groups (prevalence of parasitism), (2) the mean number of catfish eggs introduced into cichlid clutches among the three treatment levels (mean parasite egg abundance, the mean number of catfish eggs calculated across all cichlid broods, (3) mean parasite clutch size (the number of catfish eggs calculated only across parasitised cichlid broods), and examined (4) temporal dynamics of all three measures of parasite success within each treatment group throughout the duration of the experiment.To test for differences in prevalence of parasitism among different cuckoo catfish experience treatments, we applied a Generalised Linear Mixed-effects Model (GLMM, R package glmmTMB)60 with a binomial error distribution. We fitted the occurrence of ‘catfish parasitism’ (1 = yes, 0 = no) as the binary response variable and ‘treatment effect’ (i.e., ‘catfish experience’), ‘time progress of experiment’ (1–113 days) and ‘host female body size’ (in mm) as predictor variables. We additionally fitted an interaction between treatment (‘catfish experience’) and ‘time progress of experiment’ to the model to test whether parasitism rate changed over time at treatment-specific rates. We included tank identity (‘tank ID’) as a random intercept to account for nonindependence of data obtained from the same tank.Next, we tested whether the mean number of parasite eggs that were accepted by host females during one spawning bout differed between catfish experience treatments. We applied two GLMMs (R package glmmTMB)60 with a negative binomial error distribution (i.e., nbinom1) to account for over-dispersed count data. We applied GLMMs on the mean abundance of catfish eggs (across all host clutches) and on mean clutch size of cuckoo catfish using a subset of clutches that were parasitised. For both GLMMs, we included the ‘number of cuckoo catfish eggs per clutch’ as the response variable and treatment (‘catfish experience’), ‘time progress of experiment’, and their interaction as predictor variables. We additionally fitted ‘host female body size’ as a predictor variable because larger female cichlids are capable of laying more eggs and may appear more attractive hosts to cuckoo catfish. Further, a higher number of host eggs may increase the number of opportunities for cuckoo catfish to deposit their own eggs in the host clutch. ‘Tank ID’ was included as random intercept to account for nonindependence of data.To test whether cuckoo catfish presence affected cichlid spawning activity, we applied a GLMM (R package glmmTMB)60 with Gaussian error distribution (which provided superior model fit compared to Poisson and negative binomial distributions by ‘simulateResiduals’ and ‘testDispersion’ functions in the R package DHARMa)61. We fitted the ‘number of host eggs’ per clutch as the response variable and treatment (‘catfish experience’), ‘host female body size’, ‘time progress of experiment’, and ‘experimental phase’ (1st or 2nd phase) as predictor variables. We also included ‘tank ID’ as random intercept to account for nonindependence of data. The full model further included an interaction between treatment and ‘time progress of experiment’ to accommodate the possibility that host egg numbers may be affected differently across catfish experience treatments over time. As this full model predicted no difference in temporal aspect of host clutch size among treatments (‘catfish experience’: ‘time progress’, experienced: z = 0.92, P = 0.360, highly experienced: z = 1.46, P = 0.143), we subsequently dropped the interaction term from the final model.We used data collected from video footage to investigate whether naïve, experienced and highly experienced cuckoo catfish differed in their response to host spawnings and, additionally, if catfish from the three treatments elicited different host reactions towards them by applying Linear Mixed-effect Models using the R packages lme462 and glmmTMB60. To account for different starting times of recordings, we calculated either the rate of behaviour per minute of observation (i.e., for aggression) or their relative values (i.e., for the number of host courtships that cuckoo catfish missed).First, we tested whether host spawning pairs increased their aggressions towards cuckoo catfish over the experimental period to rule out the presence of host adaptation to cuckoo catfish intrusions, which would interfere with our aim of understanding parasite learning. We fitted a Generalised Linear Mixed-effects Model (GLMM, R package glmmTMB) with a negative binomial error distribution. The number of overt aggressive behaviours that the spawning pair performed towards cuckoo catfish per minute of catfish presence at the spawning site (summed over male and female cichlid) was fitted as the response variable and treatment (‘catfish experience’) as the predictor variable. We further included ‘time progress of experiment’ and ‘experimental phase’ as predictors to account for their possible effect on host aggression. We additionally included ‘tank ID’ as random intercept in the model to account for individual variation in host aggression levels among experimental tanks.To investigate if naïve cuckoo catfish missed more opportunities to parasitise cichlids than experienced and highly experienced catfish, we fitted a GLMM (R package lme4) with a binomial error distribution. We included the proportion of missed spawning behaviours (coded as ‘missed spawnings behaviours’ versus ‘intruded spawning behaviours’, based on count data for each spawning) as the response variable (‘spawnings missed’) and treatment (‘catfish experience’) as a predictor variable. We fitted ‘tank ID’ as a random intercept to the model to account for nonindependence of data within tanks, and we additionally fitted a random intercept based on whether the spawning was covered by a shelter or not (‘sheltered spawn’, yes / no) since spawning in a shelter may have been less apparent to catfish.We tested whether cuckoo catfish experience played a role in the timing of their intrusion to specific spawning behaviours by fitting a GLMM (R package lme4) with a Gamma error distribution to account for a positive skew in the data distribution. We included the mean delay of catfish to the first appearance of cichlid T-position in seconds (‘catfish delay’, see main text and Supplementary Movie 1 for a detailed description of cichlid spawning sequence) as the response variable and ‘catfish experience’ as the predictor variable. We included ‘tank ID’ and ‘sheltered spawn’ as random intercepts.Finally, we fitted a GLMM with a Poisson error distribution to test whether cuckoo catfish learn to synchronise their intrusion behaviour as they gain experience through interactions with their hosts. We included the maximum number of catfish during a specific cichlid spawning behaviour (‘intruder number’, count data) as the response variable and ‘catfish experience’ as the predictor variable. To account for nonindependence of data within experimental tanks and spawnings, we included a random intercept where each spawning was nested within ‘tank ID’ in the model.Ethical complianceResearch adhered to all national and institutional animal care and use guidelines, was administered under permit No. CZ62760203 and was approved by ethical boards of the Institute of Vertebrate Biology and the Czech Academy of Sciences (approval No. 32-2019).Reporting summaryFurther information on research design is available in the Nature Research Reporting Summary linked to this article. More

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31 March 2022

Funding battles stymie ambitious plan to protect global biodiversity

Researchers are disappointed with the progress — but haven’t lost hope.

Natasha Gilbert

Natasha Gilbert

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Animals such as this orangutan in Indonesia are endangered because of illegal deforestation.Credit: Jami Tarris/Future Publishing via Getty

Scientists are frustrated with countries’ progress towards inking a new deal to protect the natural world. Government officials from around the globe met in Geneva, Switzerland, on 14–29 March to find common ground on a draft of the deal, known as the post-2020 global biodiversity framework, but discussions stalled, mostly over financing. Negotiators say they will now have to meet again before a highly anticipated United Nations biodiversity summit later this year, where the deal was to be signed.The framework so far sets out 4 broad goals, including slowing species extinction, and 21 mostly quantitative targets, such as protecting at least 30% of the world’s land and seas. It is part of an international treaty known as the UN Convention on Biological Diversity, and aims to address the global biodiversity crisis, which could see one million plant and animal species go extinct in the next few decades because of factors such as climate change, human activity and disease.
China takes centre stage in global biodiversity push
The COVID-19 pandemic has already slowed discussions of the deal. Over the past two years, countries’ negotiators met only virtually; the Geneva meeting was the first in-person gathering since the pandemic began. When it ended, Basile van Havre, one of the chairs of the framework negotiations working group, said that because negotiators couldn’t agree on goals, additional discussions will need to take place in June in Nairobi. The convention’s pivotal summit — its Conference of the Parties (COP15) — is expected to be held in Kunming, China, in August and September, but no firm date has been set.Anne Larigauderie, executive secretary of the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services in Bonn, Germany, who attended the Geneva gathering, told Nature: “We are leaving the meeting with no quantitative elements. I was hoping for more progress.”Robert Watson, a retired environmental scientist at the University of East Anglia, UK, says the quantitative targets are crucial to conserving biodiversity and monitoring progress towards that goal. He calls on governments to “bite the bullet and negotiate an appropriate deal that both protects and restores biodiversity”.Finance fightMany who were at the meeting say that disagreements over funding for biodiversity conservation were the main hold-up to negotiations. For example, the draft deal proposed that US$10 billion of funding per year should flow from developed nations to low- and middle-income countries to help them to implement the biodiversity framework. But many think this is not enough. A group of conservation organizations has called for at least $60 billion per year to flow to poorer nations.
Biodiversity moves beyond counting species
The consumption habits of wealthy nations are among the key drivers of biodiversity loss. And poorer nations are often home to areas rich in biodiversity, but have fewer means to conserve them.“The most challenging aspect is the amount of financing that wealthy nations are committing to developing nations,” says Brian O’Donnell, director of the Campaign for Nature in Washington DC, a partnership of private charities and conservation organizations advocating a deal to safeguard biodiversity. “Nations need to up their level of financing to get progress in the COP.”Other nations, particularly low-income ones, probably don’t want to agree “unless they have assurances of resources to allow them to implement the new framework”, Larigauderie says.Countries including Argentina and Brazil are largely responsible for stalling the deal, several sources close to the negotiations told Nature. They asked to remain anonymous because the negotiations are confidential.
The world’s species are playing musical chairs: how will it end?
No agreement could be reached even on targets with broad international support, such as protecting at least 30% of the world’s land and seas by 2030. O’Donnell says that just one country blocked agreement on this target, questioning its scientific basis.Van Havre downplayed the lack of progress, saying that the brinksmanship at the meeting was part of a “normal negotiating process”. He told reporters: “We are happy with the progress made.” Further delays ‘unacceptable’A bright spot in the negotiations, van Havre said, was a last-minute “major step forward” in discussions on how to fairly and equitably share the benefits of digital sequence information (DSI). DSI consists of genetic data collected from plants, animals and other organisms.
Why deforestation and extinctions make pandemics more likely
When pressed, however, van Havre admitted that the progress was simply an agreement between countries to continue discussing a way forward.Thomas Brooks, chief scientist at the International Union for Conservation of Nature in Gland, Switzerland, says that DSI discussions have actually been fraught. Communities from biodiverse-rich regions where genetic material is collected have little control over the commercialization of the data that come from it, and no way to recoup financial and other benefits, he explains.Like biodiversity financing, DSI rights could hold up negotiations on the overall framework. Low-income countries want a fair and equitable share of the benefits from genetic material that originates in their lands, but rich nations don’t want unnecessary barriers to sharing the information.“We are a long way from a watershed moment, and there remain genuine disagreements,” Brooks says. However, he is optimistic that progress will eventually be made.
The biodiversity leader who is fighting for nature amid a pandemic
Some conservation organizations take hope from new provisional language in the deal that calls for halting all human-caused species extinctions. The previous draft of the deal proposed only a reduction in the rate and risk of extinctions, says Paul Todd, an environmental lawyer at the Natural Resources Defense Council, a non-profit group based in New York City.Given how much work governments must do to reach agreement on the deal, Watson says the extra Nairobi meeting is a “logical” move. But he warns: “Any further delay would be unacceptable.”“This isn’t even the hard work,” Todd says. “Implementing the deal will be the real work.”

doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-00916-8

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