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Literature search and study selectionA systematic literature search was conducted in the ISI Web of Science database for observational and experimental studies published from 1975 to 13 January 2020 using the following search terms: TOPIC: (grassland* OR prairie* OR steppe* OR shrubland* OR scrubland* OR bushland*) AND TOPIC: (drought* OR ‘dry period*’ OR ‘dry condition*’ OR ‘dry year*’ OR ‘dry spell*’) AND TOPIC: (product* OR biomass OR cover OR abundance* OR phytomass). The search was refined to include the subject categories Ecology, Environmental Sciences, Plant Sciences, Biodiversity Conservation, Multidisciplinary Sciences and Biology, and the document types Article, Review and Letter. This yielded a total of 2,187 peer-reviewed papers (Supplementary Fig. 1). At first, these papers were screened by title and abstract, which resulted in 197 potentially relevant full-text articles. We then examined the full text of these papers for eligibility and selected 87 studies (43 experimental, 43 observational and 1 that included both types) on the basis of the following criteria:

(1)

The research was conducted in the field, in natural or semi-natural grasslands or shrublands (for example, artificially constructed (seeded or planted) plant communities or studies using monolith transplants were excluded). We used this restriction because most reports on observational droughts are from intact ecosystems, and experiments in disturbed sites or using artificial communities would thus not be comparable to observational drought studies.

(2)

In the case of observational studies, the drought year or a multi-year drought was clearly specified by the authors (that is, we did not arbitrarily extract dry years from a long-term dataset). Please note that some observational data points are from control plots of experiments (of any kind), where the authors reported that a drought had occurred during the study period. We did not involve gradient studies that compare sites of different climates, which are sometimes referred to as ‘observational studies’.

(3)

The paper reported the amount or proportion of change in annual or growing-season precipitation (GSP) compared with control conditions. We consistently use the term ‘control’ for normal precipitation (non-drought) year or years in observational studies and for ambient precipitation (no treatment) in experimental studies hereafter. Similarly, we use the term ‘drought’ for both drought year or years in observational studies and drought treatment in experimental studies. In the case of multi-factor experiments, where precipitation reduction was combined with any other treatment (for example, warming), data from the plots receiving drought only and data from the control plots were used.

(4)

The paper contained raw data on plant production under both control and drought conditions, expressed in any of the following variables: ANPP, aboveground plant biomass (in grassland studies only) or percentage plant cover. In 79% of the studies that used ANPP as a production variable, ANPP was estimated by harvesting peak or end-of-season AGB. We therefore did not distinguish between ANPP and AGB, which are referred to as ‘biomass’ hereafter. We included the papers that reported the production of the whole plant community, or at least that of the dominant species or functional groups approximating the abundance of the whole community.

(5)

When multiple papers were published on the same experiment or natural drought event at the same study site, the most long-term study including the largest number of drought years was chosen.

In addition to the systematic literature search, we included 27 studies (9 experimental, 17 observational and 1 that included both types) meeting the above criteria from the cited references of the Web of Science records selected for our meta-analyses, and from previous meta-analyses and reviews on the topic. In total, this resulted in 114 studies (52 experimental, 60 observational and 2 that included both types; Supplementary Note 9, Supplementary Fig. 2 and ref. 25).Data compilationData were extracted from the text or tables, or were read from the figures using Web Plot Digitizer26. For each study, we collected the study site, latitude, longitude, mean annual temperature (MAT) and precipitation (MAP), study type (experimental or observational), and drought length (the number of consecutive drought years). When MAT or MAP was not documented in the paper, it was extracted from another published study conducted at the same study site (identified by site names and geographic coordinates) or from an online climate database cited in the respective paper. We also collected vegetation type—that is, grassland when it was dominated by grasses, or shrubland when the dominant species included one or more shrub species (involving communities co-dominated by grasses and shrubs). Data from the same study (that is, paper) but from different geographic locations or environmental conditions (for example, soil types, land uses or multiple levels of experimental drought) were collected as distinct data points (but see ‘Statistical analysis’ for how these points were handled). As a result, the 114 published papers provided 239 data points (112 experimental and 127 observational)25.For the observational studies, normal precipitation year or years specified by the authors was used as the control. If it was not specified in the paper, the year immediately preceding the drought year(s) was chosen as the control. When no data from the pre-drought year were available, the year immediately following the drought year(s) (14 data points) or a multi-year period given in the paper (22 data points) was used as the control. For the experimental studies, we also collected treatment size (that is, rainout shelter area or, if it was not reported in the paper, the experimental plot size).For the calculation of drought severity, we used yearly precipitation (YP), which was reported in a much higher number of studies than GSP. We extracted YP for both control (YPcontrol) and drought (YPdrought). For the observational studies, when a multi-year period was used as the control or the natural drought lasted for more than one year, precipitation values were averaged across the control or drought years, respectively. Consistently, in the case of multi-year drought experiments, YPcontrol and YPdrought were averaged across the treatment years. When only GSP was published in the paper (63 of 239 data points), we used this to obtain YP data as follows: we regarded MAP as YPcontrol, and YPdrought was calculated as YPdrought = MAP − (GSPcontrol − GSPdrought). From YPcontrol and YPdrought data, we calculated drought severity as follows: (YPdrought − YPcontrol)/YPcontrol × 100.For production, we compiled the mean, replication (N) and, if the study reported it, a variance estimate (s.d., s.e.m. or 95% CI) for both control and drought. In the case of multi-year droughts, data only from the last drought year were extracted, except in five studies (17 data points) where production data were given as an average for the drought years. When both biomass and cover data were presented in the paper, we chose biomass. For each study, we consistently considered replication as the number of the smallest independent study unit. When only the range of replications was reported in a study, we chose the smallest number.To quantify climatic aridity for each study site, we used an aridity index (AI), calculated as the ratio of MAP and mean annual PET (AI = MAP/PET). This is a frequently used index in recent climate change research27,28. AI values were extracted from the Global Aridity Index and Potential Evapotranspiration (ET0) Climate Database v.2 for the period of 1970–2000 (aggregated on annual basis)29.Because we wanted to prevent our analysis from being distorted by a strongly unequal distribution of studies between the two study types regarding some potentially important explanatory variables, we left out studies from our focal meta-analysis in three steps. First, we left out studies that were conducted at wet sites—that is, where site AI exceeded 1. The value of 1 was chosen for two reasons: above this value, the distribution of studies between the two study types was extremely uneven (22 experimental versus 2 observational data points with AI  > 1)25, and the AI value of 1 is a bioclimatically meaningful threshold, where MAP equals PET. Second, we left out shrublands, because we had only 14 shrubland studies (out of 105 studies with AI  More

General characteristics of study soilsTable 2 presents the descriptive statistics regarding the soil characteristics. Significant changes were observed in the distribution of sand (110–850 g kg−1), silt (50–530 g kg−1), clay (100–610 g kg−1), and soil textural class (7 texture classes) showing the diversity of natural and human processes involved in the formation and development of these soils28. Almost all soil samples were alkaline (with reaction at a range of 7.4–8.1) and calcareous (with CCE at a range of 5.5–35%). The EC of some soils was  > 4 dS/m (about 7% of the soil samples), indicating the partial salinity of the study soils. The organic carbon and total N contents of the soils were, on average, 2% (0.8–3.1%) and 0.28% (0.05–0.51%), respectively, placing them within the range of the moderate class. Likewise, the mean CEC of the soil, which is an effective indicator of soil fertility and quality, was in the moderate class of 12–25 cmol kg−129. The CEC was found to be highly correlated with clay (r = 0.76 P  Pb (58 mg kg−1)  > Ni (55.4 mg kg−1)  > Cu (38.8 mg kg−1)  > Cd (0.88 mg kg−1). In most soil samples, these ranges are comparable with data reported for other urban soils around the world—e.g. Ref.30 in Poland, Ref.31 in China, and Ref.32 in Greece. The values of Cd, Cu, and Zn were below their acceptable ranges as per the international standards4 in all soil samples. Nonetheless, the Pb and Ni contents were higher than their acceptable ranges in 13.1% and 17.4% of the samples, respectively. Furthermore, the concentrations of the five elements were higher than their background values in all urban soil samples. This difference was considerable for Cd, Pb, and Ni. The heavy metals had CV in the order of Cd (53%)  > Pb (51%)  > Ni (46%)  > Zn (21%)  > Cu (18%). This CV variation implies great variations in Cd, Pb, and Ni, which is linked to anthropogenic activities33. The background values of the metals, estimated by the median absolute deviation method10,14, were 52.3, 18.7, 0.45, 29.1, and 30.8 mg kg−1 for Zn, Cu, Cd, Pb, and Ni, respectively.We compared the concentrations of the heavy metals between urban and non-urban soils and found significant increases in the concentration of the metals in most soil types (Fig. 2). The urban soils had 17–36%, 14–21%, 41–70%, 43–69%, and 13–24% higher Zn, Cu, Cd, Pb, and Ni contents than the non-urban soils. The effluent and waste entry from multiple food processing and storage units, dying plants, metal plating facilities, and plastic production in close proximity of the study area is believed to be the reason for the high concentration of these trace elements. Research in various parts of the world, e.g., Ref.34 in India, Ref.35 in Brazil, and Ref.36 in China, has documented that the facilities have introduced significant quantities of heavy metals to soils. However, traffic and agrochemicals also play a key role in the accumulation of heavy metals in this region10.Figure 2The comparison of the mean values of Zn (a), Cu (b), Cd (c), Pb (d), and Ni (e) between urban and non-urban soils in different soil types. Different letters indicate significant differences in metal content within each soil type at P  Ni  > Cu. These findings are comparable to the results reported by37 and12. The highest EF for all five elements was observed in the Fluvisols soil type, reflecting that this soil type had been exposed to element pollution induced by urban activities to a greater extent than the other soil types. In a study on the pollution potential of four soil types in Central Greece, Ref.38 reported different ranges of element pollution across different soil types.Figure 3The comparison of the mean enrichment factor of Zn (a), Cu (b), Cd (c), Pb (d), and Ni (e) between urban and non-urban soils in different soil types. Different letters indicate significant differences in enrichment factor within each soil type at P  Pb (1.89)  > Ni (1.86)  > Cu (1.73)  > Zn (1.51). Mean PI for non-urban soils followed the order Cd (1.5)  > Zn (1.4)  > Cu (1.33)  > Pb (1.31)  > Ni (1.29). Nearly 7% and 16% of the urban soils showed moderate pollution (MP, PI = 2–3) and high pollution classes (HP, PI  > 3) of PI for Cd and 39% and 4% showed the MP and HP class of PI for Pb, respectively. However, the PI class was low pollution (PI = 1–2) for all soil samples and soil types in the non-urban soils. The results on the pollution index indicate a widespread intensification of soil pollution in urban soils across all studied heavy metals.Table 3 The level and terminology of PI and Ei of the analyzed heavy metals in urban and non-urban soils.Full size tableEcological risk, Ei was similarly found to be significantly higher in the urban soils than in the non-urban soils, even though the concentration of all elements except Cd fell within the low-risk class (Ei ≤ 40) in both urban and non-urban soils (Table 3). The mean Ei for Cd was 58.7 (moderate-risk class) and 39.2 (low-risk class) in the urban and non-urban soils, respectively. This means that urban activities have enhanced the ecological risk class of Cd by one grade. Overall, Cd had the highest EF, PI, and Ei among all heavy metals and in all soil samples, indicating a greater risk potential by Cd than Zn, Cu, Pb, and Ni across the water-soil–plant-human domain. Elevated Cd pollution by anthropogenic activities has been widely reported in the literature10,12,39. Cadmium as a Group 1 carcinogen element40 can accumulate in plant tissue without exhibiting visual symptoms. Therefore, Cd generally transfers from soil to the food chain covertly. Cadmium pollution can also influence soil quality and reduce crop yields and grain quality3.Similar to EF, PI, and Ei, the mean ER was significantly elevated in all urban soil types than the non-urban soils (Fig. 4). Among different soil types, the ER magnitude was in the order of Fluvisols (66.6%)  > Regosols (66.1%)  > Cambisols (59.8%)  > Calcisols (47%). These results indicate that Fluvisols carry a higher ecological risk potential for heavy metal accumulations than other soil types. In the study region, Fluvisols due to higher fertility and productivity are subject to more intense and extensive agronomic operations than other soil types13. Heavy application of agrochemicals (e.g., pesticides, herbicides, insecticides, and chemical fertilizers), accelerate the heavy metal input to the Fluvisols. Widespread application of nitrogen fertilizers and subsequent reduction in average soil pH markedly increases the solubility of certain heavy metals (e.g., Zn, Cu, Cd) which can be another factor increasing the ecological risk of heavy metal contamination in Fluvisols41. In addition, these Fluvisols are located on the margin of open urban wastewater channels, which are sometimes used for irrigation. A combination of mentioned processes can be implicated for higher ER of Fluvisols than that of other soil types as for BF, PI, and Ei.Figure 4The comparison of the mean ecological risk of selected heavy metals between urban and non-urban soils in different soil types. Different letters indicate significant differences in ecological risk within each soil type at P  Cu  > Ni  > Cd  > Pb in the roots, partially differing from that of the grain—Zn  > Cu  > Pb  > Ni  > Cd. Heavy metals concentrations observed in the corn roots and grains are almost comparable with those reported by42 in China and43 in Peru.Table 4 Summary statistical attributes of the concentration of heavy metals in corn root (R) and grain (G) along with their BCF and TF.Full size tableThe accumulation of heavy metals in the edible parts of corn is of higher importance. In the present study, the concentrations of these metals were lower than the acceptable level in the corn grains based on international references44. So, the consumption of corns grown in the regions should not threaten human and animal health in the short term, but caution should be exercised in their long-term consumption because some of these elements, especially Cd and Pb, which have long decomposition half-lives, gradually accumulate in body organs, especially in kidneys and livers45. Besides, the ratio of Zn, Cu, Cd, Pb, and Ni of the corn grain to their acceptable standard concentration, known as the pollution index of crop heavy metals, Ref.12 was lower than 0.7 for most corn samples, indicating the unpolluted risk class.The mean concentrations of Cd, Pb, and Ni were 5, 3.1, and 9.2 times as great in the corn roots as in their grains. This observation exhibits a notable phytoremediatory function of corn roots through restriction of radial translocation of heavy metals to the xylems and eventually into the grains. A similar trend of heavy metal accumulation in different plant organs has been reported in previous observations46,47. Based on Kabata-Pendias4 and Adriano22, plant cells can use the defensive tools of the roots to cope with heavy metals, especially Cd and Pb—highly toxic metals to plant cytosols. Accordingly, plant cells can fix these elements in the root system by such approaches as precipitating on cell walls, storing in vacuoles, and/or chelating by phytochelatins, thereby alleviating their toxic effects and inhibiting their translocation to plant shoots. For Zn, Cu, and Cd metals, a significant correlation was observed between their concentration in corn roots and grains. But, a less significant correlation (P  Cu (0.17)  > Zn (0.12)  > Ni (0.02)  > Pb (0.01). This implies that Cd, and to a smaller extent Cu is taken up by corn roots from the soil more readily, but Pb and Ni are less absorbable. These results are consistent with the reports of48 and46. The greater value of BCF-Cd may be related to a combination of the specific factors e,g., Cd concentration and chemistry, as well as soil characteristics (e.g., soil texture, pH, and calcium carbonate content)4. As was already discussed, the examined soils were characterized by high alkaline (pH = 7.4–8.1) and calcareous properties (CCE = 5.5–35%) with a high concentration of Soluble salts (EC = 0.7–6.6 dS m−1). These characteristics can result in the formation of complex Cd ions, especially CdOH+, CdCl20, CdCl+, CdSO40, and CdHCO3+4,22. These ions are plant-available, resulting in a further increase in Cd BCF. Regarding Ni and Pb, the alkaline and calcareous properties of the soils may have motivated insoluble compounds such as NiHCO3+ and NiCO30 (for Ni) and Pb(OH)2, PbCO3, PbSO4, and PbO (for Pb)4,22. These compounds cannot be uptake by plant roots, which may have resulted in a significant decrease in the BCF of these metals versus the other analyzed elements.Like BCF, the heavy metals had TF of  Pb (0.21)  > Cd (0.2)  > Ni (0.15). This implies that Zn and Cu are translocated from roots to grains readily, about four times as great as the other metals, while Ni, Cd, and Pb are translocated in smaller concentrations.The comparison of BCF and TF of Cd showed that less than 30% of Cd, on average, accumulated in the corn roots were translocated to the grains. This states that Cd is immobilized by various mechanisms before it can find its way into the grains. Some of the important mechanisms include (i) the antagonistic effects of Cd with other equivalent elements, especially Zn, Fe, and Ca, in the vascular system of corn, which reduces its mobility in the corn root-stem-grain system22, (ii) Cd sequestration in active exchange sites on the cell wall in the corn root-stem pathway10, and (iii) the binding of Cd with some specific compounds, e.g., phytochelatins of root vacuoles, which immobilizes it before its translocation to grains4,22. Lin and Aarts52 remarked that Cd mostly tends to be trapped in root vacuoles, which reduces its translocation to the upper parts of the plants. In general, it was found that corn plants have a high potential to absorb and accumulate Cd in their roots and Zn in their grains, which is consistent with previous studies41. For the majority of heavy metals, the values of BCF and TF in different soil types were in the order of Fluvisols  > Regosols  > Cambisols  > Calcisols, indicating that the great variety of soil types for the uptake and translocation of heavy metals in the soil-root-grain of the corn (Fig. 5).Figure 5Effect of soil type on the mean bioconcentration factor (a) and translocation factor (b) of selected heavy metals in urban soils. Different letters indicate significant differences in bioconcentration and translocation factors among soil types for each metal at P  Zn  > Cu  > Pb  > Ni for children, differing from that for adults (Cu  > Cd  > Pb  > Zn  > Ni). The values of HQ was  1 in over 87% of the samples, implying the low non-carcinogenic risk of this metal for corn-consuming children in the study region53. Rapidly developing children’s nervous system are highly sensitive to environmental factors, including heavy metals, so even a relatively low concentration of Cd in children’s blood may irreversibly affect their mental growth and functioning54.The highest HI was observed in children (min = 1.16, max = 2.31, mean = 1.63) followed by women and men which was similar to the found pattern of HQ (Table 7). These data show a moderate non-carcinogenic health risk (1 ≤ HI  More

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