Perry, A. L., Low, P. J., Ellis, J. R. & Reynolds, J. D. Climate change and distribution shifts in marine fishes. Science 308, 1912–1915 (2005).
Denny, M. W., Hunt, L. J. H., Miller, L. P. & Harley, C. D. G. On the prediction of extreme ecological events. Ecol. Monogr. 79, 397–421 (2009).
Lane, J. E., Kruuk, L. E. B., Charmantier, A., Murie, J. O. & Dobson, F. S. Delayed phenology and reduced fitness associated with climate change in a wild hibernator. Nature 489, 554–557 (2012).
McCain, C. M. & King, S. R. B. Body size and activity times mediate mammalian responses to climate change. Glob. Change Biol. 20, 1760–1769 (2014).
Morley, S. A., Barnes, D. K. A. & Dunn, M. J. Predicting which species succeed in climate-force polar seas. Front. Mar. Sci. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00507 (2019).
Jenni, L. & Kéry, M. Timing of autumn bird migration under climate change: advances in long-distance migrants, delays in short-distance migrants. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B. 270, 1467–1471 (2003).
Barbraud, C. et al. Contrasted demographic responses to facing future climate change in Southern Ocean seabirds. J. Anim. Ecol. 80, 89–100 (2010).
Chambers, L. E. et al. Determining trends and environmental drivers from long-term marine mammal and seabird data: examples from Southern Australia. Reg. Environ. Change 15, 197–209 (2015).
Soldatini, C., Albores-Barajas, Y. V., Massa, B. & Gimenez, O. Forecasting ocean warming impacts on seabird demography: a case study on the European storm petrel. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 552, 255–269 (2016).
Hays, G. C., Broderick, A. C., Glen, F. & Godley, B. J. Climate change and sea turtles: a 150-year reconstruction of incubation temperatures at a major marine turtle rookery. Glob. Change Biol. 9, 642–646 (2003).
Barange, M. et al. Impacts of climate change on fisheries and aquaculture: synthesis of current knowledge, adaptation and mitigation options. FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Technical Paper No. 627: Rome. https://www.fao.org/3/i9705en/i9705en.pdf (2018).
Hoegh-Guldberg, O. & Bruno, J. F. The impact of climate change on the world’s marine ecosystems. Science 328, 1523–1528 (2010).
Martínez, C. et al. Coastal erosion in central Chile: A new hazard?. Ocean Coast. Manag. 156, 141–155 (2018).
Neumann, J. E. et al. Climate change risk to US infrastructure: impacts on roads, bridges, coastal development, and urban drainage. Clim. Change 131, 97–109 (2015).
Frederiksen, M., Daunt, F., Harris, M. P. & Wanless, S. The demographic impact of extreme events: stochastic weather drives survival and population dynamics in a long-lived seabird. J. Anim. Ecol. 77, 1020–1029 (2008).
Schumann, N., Gales, N. J., Harcourt, R. G. & Arnould, J. P. Impacts of climate change on Australian marine mammals. Aust. J. Zool. 61, 146–159 (2013).
Galbraith, H., DesRochers, D. W., Brown, S. & Reed, J. M. Predicting vulnerabilities of North American shorebirds to climate change. PLoS ONE 9, e108899 (2014).
Bartholomew, G. A. A model for the evolution of pinniped phylogeny. Evolution 24, 546–559 (1970).
Antonelis, G. A. Rookeries. In Encyclopedia of marine mammals (eds. Perrin, W. F., Würsig, B. & Thewissen, J. G. M) 1051–1052 (San Diego, CA: Academic Press, 2002).
Ban, S. & Trites, A. W. Quantification of terrestrial haul-out and rookery characteristics of Steller sea lions. Mar. Mamm. Sci. 23, 496–507 (2007).
Arnould, J. P. & Littnan, C. L. Pup production and breeding areas of Australian fur seals. Aust. Mammal. 22, 51–55 (2000).
Pemberton, D. & Gales, R. Australian fur seals (Arctocephalus pusillus doriferus) breeding in Tasmania: population size and status. Wildlife Res. 31, 301–309 (2004).
Crespo, E. A., Oliva, D., Dans, S. L. & Sepúlveda, M. Estado de situación del lobo marino común en su área de distribución (Editorial Universidad de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, Chile, 2012).
Venegas, C. et al. Distribución y abundancia de lobos marinos (Pinnipedia: Otariidae) en la Región de Magallanes. Chile. An. Inst. Pat. Ser. Cienc. 30, 67–82 (2002).
Oliva, D. et al. Estimación poblacional de lobos marinos e impacto de la captura incidental. Informe Final Proyecto FIPA 2018–54, 1–150 (2020).
Bailys, A. M. M. et al. Diving deeper into individual foraging specializations of a large marine predator, the Southern sea lion. Oecologia 179, 1053–1065 (2015).
Sepúlveda, M. et al. Rol ecológico del lobo marino común en el territorio y aguas jurisdiccionales chilenas. Infome Final Proyecto FIPA 2014–28, 1–160 (2016).
Acevedo, J., Aguayo-Lobo, A. & Sielfeld, W. Eventos reproductivos del león marino común Otaria flavescens (Shaw 1800), en el norte de Chile (Pacífico suroriental). Rev. Biol. Mar. Oceanog. 38, 69–75 (2013).
Rivas, M. & Trimble, M. Aggregation behaviour in South American sea lion (Otaria flavescens) pups at Isla de Lobos. Uruguay. Aquat. Mamm 35, 55–71 (2009).
McLean, L. J., George, S., Lerodiaconou, D., Kirkwood, R. J. & Arnould, J. P. Y. Impact of rising sea levels on Australian fur seals. PeerJ 6, e5786 (2018).
Reeves, R. R. Speculations on the impact of global warming on aquatic mammals. Proceedings of the American Cetacean Society, Monterrey, CA. American Cetacean Society, San Pedro (1990).
Boyd, I. L., Lunn, N. J. & Barton, T. Time budgets and foraging characteristics of lactating Antarctic fur seals. J. Anim. Ecol. 60, 577–592 (1991).
Muñoz, L., Pavez, G., Inostroza, P. & Sepúlveda, M. Foraging trips of female South American sea lions (Otaria flavescens) from isla Chañaral. Chile. Lat. Am. J. Aquat. Mamm. 9, 140–144 (2011).
Milette, L. L. & Trites, A. W. Maternal attendance patterns of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) from stable and declining populations in Alaska. Can. J. Zool. 81, 340–348 (2003).
Jiménez, J., Armaroli, C. & Bosom, E. Preparing for the Impact of Coastal Storms, A Coastal Manager-oriented Approach. In Coastal Storms, Processes and Impacts (eds. Ciavola, P. & Coco, G) 217–239 (Wiley Blackwell, 2017).
Oliveira, L. R. et al. Ancient female philopatry, asymmetric male gene flow, and synchronous population expansion support the influence of climatic oscillations on the evolution of South American sea lion (Otaria flavescens). PLoS ONE 12(6), e0179442 (2017).
Grandi, M. F., Dans, S. L. & Crespo, E. A. Social composition and spatial distribution of colonies in an expanding population of South America sea lion. J. Mamm. 89, 1218–1228 (2008).
Hoffman, J. I. & Forcada, J. Extreme natal philopatry in female Antarctic fur seals (Arctocephalus gazella). Mamm. Biol. 77, 71–73 (2012).
Hofmeyr, G. J. G., Bester, M. N., Makhado, A. B. & Pistorius, P. A. Population changes in subantarctic and antarctic fur seals at Marion Island. S. Afr. J. Wildl. Res. 36, 55–68 (2006).
Raum-Suryan, K. L., Pitcher, K. W., Calkins, D. G., Sease, J. L. & Loughlin, T. R. Dispersal, rookery fidelity, and metapopulation structure of Steller sea lions (Eumetopias jubatus) in an increasing and a decreasing population in Alaska. Mar. Mamm. Sci. 18, 746–764 (2002).
Harcourt, R. Factors affecting early mortality in the South American fur seal (Arctocephalus australis) in Peru: Density-related effects and predation. J. Zool. 226, 259–270 (1992).
Sillmann, J., Kharin, V. V., Zwiers, F. W., Zhang, X. & Bronaugh, D. Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: Part 2. Future climate projections. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 118, 2473–2493 (2013).
Fuentes, M. et al. Adaptive management of marine mega-fauna in a changing climate. Mitig. Adapt. Strat. Glob. Chang. 21, 209–224 (2016).
Hofmeyr, G. J. G., du Toit, M. & Kirkman, S. P. Early post-release survival of stranded Cape fur seal pups at Black Rocks, Algoa Bay. S. Afr. Afr. J. Mar. Sci. 33, 463–468 (2011).
Fink, S. Loss of habitat: impacts on pinnipeds and their welfare. In Marine Mammal Welfare (ed. Butterworth, A.) 241–252 (Springer, Berlin, 2017).
Adame, K., Pardo, M. A., Salvadeo, C., Beier, E. & Elorriaga-Ver-Plancken, F. Detectability and categorization of California sea lions using an unmanned aerial vehicle. Mar. Mamm. Sci. 33, 913–925 (2017).
McIntosh, R., Holmberg, R. & Dann, P. Looking without landing—using remote piloted aircraft to monitor fur seal populations without disturbance. Front. Mar. Sci. 5, 1–13 (2018).
Tolman, H. User manual and system documentation of WAVEWATCH III version 4.18. Environmental Modeling Center Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch (2014).
Ardhuin, F. et al. Semiempirical Dissipation Source Functions for Ocean Waves. Part I: Definition, Calibration, and Validation. J. Phys. Oceanogr 40, 1918–1941 (2010).
Stopa, J. & Cheung, K. Intercomparison of wind and wave data from the ECMWF Reanalysis Interim and the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis. Ocean Model. 75, 65–83 (2014).
Saha, S. et al. The NCEP climate forecast system reanalysis. B. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 19, 1015–1057 (2010).
Smith, W. & Sandwell, D. Global seafloor topography from satellite altimetry and ship depth soundings. Science 277, 1957–1962 (1997).
Wessel, P. & Smith, W. A global, self-consistent, hierarchical, high-resolution shoreline database. J. Geophys. Res. 101, 8741–8743 (1996).
Beyá, J., Hidalgo, H., Winckler, P., Gallardo, A. & Alvarez, M. Generation and validation of the Chilean Wave Atlas database. Ocean Model. 116, 16–32 (2017).
Massey, T., Anderson, M., Smith, J. M., Gomez, J. & Jones, R. ERDC/CHL SR-11-1: STWAVE: Steady-State Spectral Wave Model User’s Manual for STWAVE, Version 6.0.Washington DC: USACE: Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory. Flood and Coastal Storm Damage Reduction Research and Development Program (2011).
SHOA. Atlas Hidrográfico de Chile. Valparaíso: SHOA (2017).
Hasselmann, K. et al. Measurements of wind-wave growth and swell decay during the Joint North Sea Wave Project (JONSWAP). Deutschen Hydrographischen Zeitschrift 12, 1–95 (1973).
Pawlowicz, R., Beardsley, B. & Lentz, S. (2002) Classical tidal harmonic analysis including error estimates in MATLAB using T_TIDE. Comput. Geosci. 28, 929–937 (2002).
Herbich, J. B. Handbook of coastal engineering (McGraw-Hill, New York, 2000).
Goda, Y. Random seas and design of maritime structures, 2nd Ed. Advanced Series on Ocean Engineering – Volume 15. World Scientific Publishing Co (2000).
R Core Team. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Found Stat Comput 3 (2013).
Source: Ecology - nature.com
