Jenkins, P. T. Free trade and exotic species introductions. Conserv. Biol. 10, 300–302 (1996).
Google Scholar
Sharov, A. A. Bioeconomics of managing the spread of exotic pest species with barrier zones. Risk Anal. 24, 879–892 (2004).
Google Scholar
Lodge, D. M. et al. Biological invasions: Recommendations for U.S. policy and management. Ecol. Appl. 16, 2035–2054 (2006).
Google Scholar
Yemshanov, D. et al. Optimizing surveillance strategies for early detection of invasive alien species. Ecol. Econ. 162, 87–99 (2019).
Google Scholar
Hauser, C. E. & Mccarthy, M. A. Streamlining “search and destroy”: Cost-effective surveillance for invasive species management. Ecol. Lett. 12, 683–692 (2009).
Google Scholar
Gottwald, T. R., da Graça, J. V. & Bassanezi, R. B. Citrus Huanglongbing: The pathogen and its impact. Plant Health Prog. https://doi.org/10.1094/PHP-2007-0906-01-RV (2007).
Google Scholar
Anderson, D. P. et al. Bio-economic optimisation of surveillance to confirm broadscale eradications of invasive pests and diseases. Biol. Invasions 19, 2869–2884 (2017).
Google Scholar
Russell, J. C., Binnie, H. R., Oh, J., Anderson, D. P. & Samaniego-Herrera, A. Optimizing confirmation of invasive species eradication with rapid eradication assessment. J. Appl. Ecol. 54, 160–169 (2017).
Google Scholar
Moffitt, L. J., Stranlund, J. K. & Osteen, C. D. Robust detection protocols for uncertain introductions of invasive species. J. Environ. Manag. 89, 293–299 (2008).
Google Scholar
Knight, F. H. Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit (Houghton Mifflin Company, 1921).
Ben-Haim, Y. Uncertainty, probability and information-gaps. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 85, 249–266 (2004).
Google Scholar
Johnson, D. R. & Geldner, N. B. Contemporary decision methods for agricultural, environmental, and resource management and policy. Annu. Rev. Resour. Econ. 11, 19–41 (2019).
Google Scholar
Baker, C. M. & Bode, M. Recent advances of quantitative modeling to support invasive species eradication on islands. Conserv. Sci. Pract. 3, e246. https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.246 (2021).
Google Scholar
Bertsimas, D. & Sim, M. The price of robustness. Oper. Res. 52, 35–53 (2004).
Google Scholar
Ben-Haim, Y. & Demertzis, M. Decision making in times of knightian uncertainty: An info-gap perspective. Economics 10, 1–29 (2016).
Google Scholar
Ben-Haim, Y. Management of invasive species: Info-gap perspectives. in Invasive Species: Risk Assessment and Management (eds. Robinson, A., Walshe, T., Burgman, M. A., Nunn, M.) 266–286 (Cambridge University Press, 2017).
Davidovitch, L. et al. Info-gap theory and robust design of surveillance for invasive species: The case study of Barrow Island. J. Environ. Manag. 90, 2785–2793 (2009).
Google Scholar
Rout, T. M., Thompson, C. J. & McCarthy, M. A. Robust decisions for declaring eradication of invasive species. J. Appl. Ecol. 46, 782–786 (2009).
Google Scholar
Foxcroft, L. C. Developing thresholds of potential concern for invasive alien species: Hypotheses and concepts. Koedoe. https://doi.org/10.4102/koedoe.v51i1.157 (2009).
Google Scholar
Pitt, J. P. W. Modelling the Spread of Invasive Species Across Heterogeneous Landscapes. (Lincoln University, 2008).
Mehta, S. V., Haight, R. G., Homans, F. R., Polasky, S. & Venette, R. C. Optimal detection and control strategies for invasive species management. Ecol. Econ. 61, 237–245 (2007).
Google Scholar
Mcdonald-madden, E., Peter, W. J. B. & Possingham, H. P. Making robust decisions for conservation with restricted money and knowledge. J. Appl. Ecol. 45, 1630–1638 (2008).
Google Scholar
Rout, T. M., Moore, J. L. & Mccarthy, M. A. Prevent, search or destroy? A partially observable model for invasive species management. J. Appl. Ecol. 51, 804–813 (2014).
Google Scholar
Yemshanov, D. et al. Robust surveillance and control of invasive species using a scenario optimization approach. Ecol. Econ. 133, 86–98 (2017).
Google Scholar
Rödder, D., Solé, M. & Böhme, W. Predicting the potential distributions of two alien invasive Housegeckos (Gekkonidae: Hemidactylus frenatus, Hemidactylus mabouia). North-West. J. Zool. 4, 236–246 (2008).
Hoskin, C. J. The invasion and potential impact of the Asian House Gecko (Hemidactylus frenatus) in Australia. Austral. Ecol. 36, 240–251 (2011).
Google Scholar
García-Díaz, P., Ross, J. V., Vall-llosera, M. & Cassey, P. Low detectability of alien reptiles can lead to biosecurity management failure: A case study from Christmas Island (Australia). NeoBiota 45, 75–92 (2019).
Google Scholar
Scott, J. K. et al. Zero-tolerance biosecurity protects high-conservation-value island nature reserve. Sci. Rep. 7, 772–779 (2017).
Google Scholar
Commonwealth Government of Australia. Approval—Gorgon Gas Development (EPBC Reference: 2008/4178). (2009).
Jarrad, F. C. et al. Improved design method for biosecurity surveillance and early detection of non-indigenous rats. N. Z. J. Ecol. 35, 132–144 (2011).
Metlay, D. From tin roof to torn wet blanket: Predicting and observing ground water movement at a proposed nuclear waste site. in Prediction: Science, Decision Making, and the Future of Nature (eds. Sarewitz, D. R., Byerly, R., Pielke, R. A.). 276–319. (Island Press, 2000).
Wintle, B. & Burgman, M. Expert Elicitation for Barrow Island Surveillance System Revision, Project Report. (2015).
Vanderduys, E. & Kutt, A. Is the Asian house gecko, Hemidactylus frenatus, really a threat to Australia’s biodiversity?. Aust. J. Zool. 60, 361–367 (2013).
Google Scholar
McGinnis, S. M. & Stebbins, R. C. A Field Guide to Western Reptiles and Amphibians. 4th edn. (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018).
Whittle, P., Jarrad, F., Edwards, K. & Mengersen, K. Design of the quarantine surveillance for non-indigenous species of invertebrates on Barrow Island. Rec. West. Aust. Mus. Suppl. 83, 113–130 (2013).
Google Scholar
Ben-Haim, Y. Info-gap Decision Theory: Decisions Under Severe Uncertainty. 2nd edn. (Academic Press, 2006).
MathWorks. MATLAB R2018b. (MathWorks, 2018).
Bogich, T. L., Liebhold, A. M. & Shea, K. To sample or eradicate? A cost minimization model for monitoring and managing an invasive species. J. Appl. Ecol. 45, 1134–1142 (2008).
Google Scholar
Epanchin-Niell, R. S., Haight, R. G., Berec, L., Kean, J. M. & Liebhold, A. M. Optimal surveillance and eradication of invasive species in heterogeneous landscapes. Ecol. Lett. 15, 803–812 (2012).
Google Scholar
Trebitz, A. S. et al. Early detection monitoring for aquatic non-indigenous species: Optimizing surveillance, incorporating advanced technologies, and identifying research needs. J. Environ. Manag. 202, 299–310 (2017).
Google Scholar
Molina, R., Horton, T., Trappe, J. & Marcot, B. Addressing uncertainty: How to conserve and manage rare or little-known fungi. Fungal Ecol. 4, 134–146 (2011).
Google Scholar
Source: Ecology - nature.com
