IPCC. Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri and L.A. Meyer (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 151 pp. (2014).
Pinsky, M. L., Selden, R. L. & Kitchel, Z. J. Climate-driven shifts in marine species ranges: Scaling from organisms to communities. Ann. Rev. Mar. Sci. 12, 153–179 (2020).
Google Scholar
Poloczanska, E. S. et al. Global imprint of climate change on marine life. Nat. Clim. Change 3(10), 919–925 (2013).
Google Scholar
Edwards, M. & Richardson, A. J. Impact of climate change on marine pelagic phenology and trophic mismatch. Nature 430(7002), 881–884 (2004).
Google Scholar
Weatherdon, L. V., Magnan, A. K., Rogers, A. D., Sumaila, U. R. & Cheung, W. W. Observed and projected impacts of climate change on marine fisheries, aquaculture, coastal tourism, and human health: an update. Front. Mar. Sci. 3, 48 (2016).
Google Scholar
Mawdsley, J. R., O’Malley, R. & Ojima, D. S. A review of climate-change adaptation strategies for wildlife management and biodiversity conservation. Conserv. Biol. 23(5), 1080–1089 (2009).
Google Scholar
Cañadas, A. & Hammond, P. S. Abundance and habitat preferences of the short-beaked common dolphin Delphinus delphis in the southwestern Mediterranean: Implications for conservation. Endanger. Species Res. 4(3), 309–331 (2008).
Google Scholar
Franco, A. M., Catry, I., Sutherland, W. J. & Palmeirim, J. M. Do different habitat preference survey methods produce the same conservation recommendations for lesser kestrels?. Anim. Conserv. 7(3), 291–300 (2004).
Google Scholar
Spotila, J. R., Reina, R. D., Steyermark, A. C., Plotkin, P. T. & Paladino, F. V. Pacific leatherback turtles face extinction. Nature 405(6786), 529–530 (2000).
Google Scholar
Wallace, B. P. et al. Impacts of fisheries bycatch on marine turtle populations worldwide: Toward conservation and research priorities. Ecosphere 4(3), 1–49 (2013).
Google Scholar
Dunn, D. C., Boustany, A. M. & Halpin, P. N. Spatio-temporal management of fisheries to reduce by-catch and increase fishing selectivity. Fish Fish. 12(1), 110–119 (2011).
Google Scholar
Senko, J., White, E. R., Heppell, S. S. & Gerber, L. R. Comparing bycatch mitigation strategies for vulnerable marine megafauna. Anim. Conserv. 17(1), 5–18 (2014).
Google Scholar
Howell, E. A., Kobayashi, D. R., Parker, D. M., Balazs, G. H. & Polovina, J. J. TurtleWatch: A tool to aid in the bycatch reduction of loggerhead turtles Caretta caretta in the Hawaii-based pelagic longline fishery. Endanger. Species Res. 5(2–3), 267–278 (2008).
Google Scholar
Swimmer, Y. et al. Sea turtle bycatch mitigation in US longline fisheries. Front. Mar. Sci. 4, 260 (2017).
Google Scholar
Saba, V. S., Stock, C. A., Spotila, J. R., Paladino, F. V. & Tomillo, P. S. Projected response of an endangered marine turtle population to climate change. Nat. Clim. Change 2(11), 814–820 (2012).
Google Scholar
Santidrián Tomillo, P. et al. Global analysis of the effect of local climate on the hatchling output of leatherback turtles. Sci. Rep. 5, 16789 (2015).
Google Scholar
Patel, S. H. et al. Climate impacts on sea turtle breeding phenology in Greece and associated foraging habitats in the wider Mediterranean region. PLoS ONE 11(6), e0157170 (2016).
Google Scholar
Shoop, C. R. & Kenney, R. D. Seasonal distributions and abundances of loggerhead and leatherback sea turtles in waters of the northeastern United States. Herpetol. Monogr. 6, 43–67 (1992).
Google Scholar
Coles, W. & Musick, J. A. Satellite sea surface temperature analysis and correlation with sea turtle distribution off North Carolina. Copeia 2000(2), 551–554 (2000).
Google Scholar
Kleisner, K. M. et al. Marine species distribution shifts on the US Northeast Continental Shelf under continued ocean warming. Prog. Oceanogr. 153, 24–36 (2017).
Google Scholar
Tyberghein, L. et al. Bio-ORACLE: A global environmental dataset for marine species distribution modelling. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 21(2), 272–281 (2012).
Google Scholar
Stoneburner, D. L. Satellite telemetry of loggerhead sea turtle movement in the Georgia Bight. Copeia 1982, 400–408 (1982).
Google Scholar
Hart, K. M. & Hyrenbach, K. D. Satellite telemetry of marine megavertebrates: The coming of age of an experimental science. Endanger. Species Res. 10, 9–20 (2009).
Google Scholar
Hebblewhite, M. & Haydon, D. T. Distinguishing technology from biology: A critical review of the use of GPS telemetry data in ecology. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 365(1550), 2303–2312 (2010).
Google Scholar
Hays, G. C. & Hawkes, L. A. Satellite tracking sea turtles: Opportunities and challenges to address key questions. Front. Mar. Sci. 5, 432 (2018).
Google Scholar
Hawkes, L. A., Broderick, A. C., Coyne, M. S., Godfrey, M. H. & Godley, B. J. Only some like it hot—Quantifying the environmental niche of the loggerhead sea turtle. Divers. Distrib. 13(4), 447–457 (2007).
Google Scholar
Hazen, E. L. et al. Predicted habitat shifts of Pacific top predators in a changing climate. Nat. Clim. Chang. 3(3), 234–238 (2013).
Google Scholar
Roe, J. H. et al. Predicting bycatch hotspots for endangered leatherback turtles on longlines in the Pacific Ocean. Proc. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 281(1777), 20132559 (2014).
Google Scholar
Winton, M. V. et al. Estimating the distribution and relative density of satellite-tagged loggerhead sea turtles using geostatistical mixed effects models. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 586, 217–232 (2018).
Google Scholar
Araújo, M. B. & Townsend, P. A. Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modeling. Ecology 93(7), 1527–1539 (2012).
Google Scholar
Gilman P, et al. National offshore wind strategy: facilitating the development of the offshore wind industry in the United States. National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States) (2016).
Northeast Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC) and Southeast Fisheries Science Center (SEFSC). Preliminary summer 2010 regional abundance estimate of loggerhead turtles (Caretta caretta) in northwestern Atlantic Ocean continental shelf waters. US Dept Commer, Northeast Fish Sci Cent Ref Doc. 11–03; 33 p (2011).
Ceriani, S. A., Weishampel, J. F., Ehrhart, L. M., Mansfield, K. L. & Wunder, M. B. Foraging and recruitment hotspot dynamics for the largest Atlantic loggerhead turtle rookery. Sci. Rep. 7(1), 1–3 (2017).
Google Scholar
Fofonoff, N. P. The Gulf Stream. In Evolution of Physical Oceanography: Scientific Surveys in Honor of Henry Stommel (eds. Warren, B. A., & Wunsch, C.) 112–139 (MIT Press, 1981) Cambridge, MA.
Patel, S. H., Miller, S. & Smolowitz, R. J. Understanding impacts of the sea scallop fishery on loggerhead sea turtles through satellite tagging. Final report for 2015 Sea Scallop Research Set-Aside (RSA). NOAA grant: NA15 NMF 4540055. Coonamessett Farm Foundation, East Falmouth, MA (2016).
Patel, S. H. et al. Loggerhead turtles are good ocean-observers in stratified mid-latitude regions. Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. 213, 128–136 (2018).
Google Scholar
Crowe, L. M., Hatch, J. M., Patel, S. H., Smolowitz, R. J. & Haas, H. L. Riders on the storm: loggerhead sea turtles detect and respond to a major hurricane in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean. Mov. Ecol. 8(1), 1–3 (2020).
Google Scholar
Kristensen, K., Nielsen, A., Berg, C. W., Skaug, H. & Bell, B. M. TMB: Automatic differentiation and Laplace approximation. J. Stat. Softw. 70(5), 1–21 (2016).
Google Scholar
R Core Team. R: A language and environment for statistical computing (2017).
Johnson, D. S., London, J. M., Lea, M.-A. & Durban, J. W. Continuous-time correlated random walk model for animal telemetry data. Ecology 89(5), 1208–1215 (2008).
Google Scholar
Albertsen, C. M., Whoriskey, K., Yurkowski, D., Nielsen, A. & Flemming, J. M. Fast fitting of non-Gaussian state-space models to animal movement data via Template Model Builder. Ecology 96(10), 2598–2604 (2015).
Google Scholar
Bivand, R. & Piras, G. Comparing implementations of estimation methods for spatial econometrics. American Statistical Association (2015).
Turtle Expert Working Group (TEWG). An assessment of the loggerhead turtle population in the western North Atlantic Ocean. NOAA Tech. Mem. NMFS-SEFSC. 575(131), 744 (2009).
Clay, P. M. Management regions, statistical areas and fishing grounds: Criteria for dividing up the sea. J. Northwest Atl. Fish. Sci. 19, 103–126 (1996).
Google Scholar
Murray, K. T. & Orphanides, C. D. Estimating the risk of loggerhead turtle Caretta caretta bycatch in the US mid-Atlantic using fishery-independent and-dependent data. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 477, 259–270 (2013).
Google Scholar
Saba, V. S. et al. Enhanced warming of the Northwest Atlantic Ocean under climate. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans 121(1), 118–132 (2016).
Google Scholar
Amante, C. & Eakins, B. W. ETOPO1 arc-minute global relief model: procedures, data sources and analysis. NOAA Technical Memorandum NESDIS NGDC-24 (2009).
Reynolds, R. W. & Smith, T. M. Improved global sea surface temperature analyses using optimum interpolation. J. Clim. 7(6), 929–948 (1994).
Google Scholar
Chamberlain, S. rerddap – General purpose client for ‘ERDDAP’ servers. R Package (2016).
Akaike, H. Maximum likelihood identification of Gaussian autoregressive moving average models. Biometrika 60(2), 255–265 (1973).
Google Scholar
Maunder, M. N. & Punt, A. E. Standardizing catch and effort data: a review of recent approaches. Fish. Res. 70(2–3), 141–159 (2004).
Google Scholar
Zuur, A., Ieno, E. N., Walker, N., Saveliev, A. A. & Smith, G. M. Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Springer, 2009).
Google Scholar
Benjamin, M. A., Rigby, R. A. & Stasinopoulos, D. M. Generalized autoregressive moving average models. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 98(461), 214–223 (2003).
Google Scholar
Wickham, H. et al. Welcome to the Tidyverse. J. Open Source Softw. 4(43), 1686 (2019).
Google Scholar
Tanaka, K. R., Torre, M. P., Saba, V. S., Stock, C. A. & Chen, Y. An ensemble high‐resolution projection of changes in the future habitat of American lobster and sea scallop in the Northeast US continental shelf. Diversity and Distributions (2020).
McHenry, J., Welch, H., Lester, S. E. & Saba, V. Projecting marine species range shifts from only temperature can mask climate vulnerability. Glob. Change Biol. 25(12), 4208–4221 (2019).
Google Scholar
Selden, R. L., Batt, R. D., Saba, V. S. & Pinsky, M. L. Diversity in thermal affinity among key piscivores buffers impacts of ocean warming on predator–prey interactions. Glob. Change Biol. 24(1), 117–131 (2018).
Google Scholar
Griffin, D. B. et al. Foraging habitats and migration corridors utilized by a recovering subpopulation of adult female loggerhead sea turtles: Implications for conservation. Mar. Biol. 160(12), 3071–3086 (2013).
Google Scholar
Unal I. Defining an optimal cut-point value in ROC analysis: an alternative approach. Computational and mathematical methods in medicine (2017).
Sing, T., Sander, O., Beerenwinkel, N. & Lengauer, T. ROCR: visualizing classifier performance in R. Bioinformatics 21(20), 7881 (2005).
Google Scholar
Link, J. et al. The Northeast US continental shelf Energy Modeling and Analysis exercise (EMAX): Ecological network model development and basic ecosystem metrics. J. Mar. Syst. 74(1–2), 453–474 (2008).
Google Scholar
Bane, J. M. Jr., Brown, O. B., Evans, R. H. & Hamilton, P. Gulf Stream remote forcing of shelfbreak currents in the Mid-Atlantic Bight. Geophys. Res. Lett. 15(5), 405–407 (1988).
Google Scholar
Hawkes, L. A. et al. Home on the range: spatial ecology of loggerhead turtles in Atlantic waters of the USA. Divers. Distrib. 17(4), 624–640 (2011).
Google Scholar
Mansfield, K. L., Saba, V. S., Keinath, J. A. & Musick, J. A. Satellite tracking reveals a dichotomy in migration strategies among juvenile loggerhead turtles in the Northwest Atlantic. Mar. Biol. 156(12), 2555–2570 (2009).
Google Scholar
Lentz, S. J. Seasonal warming of the Middle Atlantic Bight Cold Pool. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans 122(2), 941–954 (2017).
Google Scholar
Iverson, A. R., Fujisaki, I., Lamont, M. M. & Hart, K. M. Loggerhead sea turtle (Caretta caretta) diving changes with productivity, behavioral mode, and sea surface temperature. PLoS ONE 14(8), e0220372 (2019).
Google Scholar
Braun-McNeill, J., Sasso, C. R., Epperly, S. P. & Rivero, C. Feasibility of using sea surface temperature imagery to mitigate cheloniid sea turtle–fishery interactions off the coast of northeastern USA. Endanger. Species Res. 5(2–3), 257–266 (2008).
Google Scholar
Murray, K. T. Characteristics and magnitude of sea turtle bycatch in US mid-Atlantic gillnet gear. Endanger. Species Res. 8(3), 211–224 (2009).
Google Scholar
Murray, K. T. Interactions between sea turtles and dredge gear in the US sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) fishery, 2001–2008. Fish. Res. 107(1–3), 137–146 (2011).
Google Scholar
Witt, M. J., Hawkes, L. A., Godfrey, M. H., Godley, B. J. & Broderick, A. C. Predicting the impacts of climate change on a globally distributed species: The case of the loggerhead turtle. J. Exp. Biol. 213(6), 901–911 (2010).
Google Scholar
Alerstam, T., Hedenström, A. & Åkesson, S. Long-distance migration: evolution and determinants. Oikos 103(2), 247–260 (2003).
Google Scholar
Saunders, M. A. & Lea, A. S. Large contribution of sea surface warming to recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity. Nature 451(7178), 557–560 (2008).
Google Scholar
McClellan, C. M. & Read, A. J. Complexity and variation in loggerhead sea turtle life history. Biol. Lett. 3(6), 592–594 (2007).
Google Scholar
McClellan, C. M., Braun-McNeill, J., Avens, L., Wallace, B. P. & Read, A. J. Stable isotopes confirm a foraging dichotomy in juvenile loggerhead sea turtles. J. Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol. 387(1–2), 44–51 (2010).
Google Scholar
Hatase, H. et al. Size-related differences in feeding habitat use of adult female loggerhead turtles Caretta caretta around Japan determined by stable isotope analyses and satellite telemetry. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 233, 273–281 (2002).
Google Scholar
Hatase, H., Omuta, K. & Tsukamoto, K. Bottom or midwater: Alternative foraging behaviours in adult female loggerhead sea turtles. J. Zool. 273(1), 46–55 (2007).
Google Scholar
Hawkes, L. A. et al. Phenotypically linked dichotomy in sea turtle foraging requires multiple conservation approaches. Curr. Biol. 16(10), 990–995 (2006).
Google Scholar
Reich, K. J. et al. Polymodal foraging in adult female loggerheads (Caretta caretta). Mar. Biol. 157(1), 113–121 (2010).
Google Scholar
Smolowitz, R. J., Patel, S. H., Haas, H. L. & Miller, S. A. Using a remotely operated vehicle (ROV) to observe loggerhead sea turtle (Caretta caretta) behavior on foraging grounds off the mid-Atlantic United States. J. Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol. 471, 84–91 (2015).
Google Scholar
Patel, S. H., Dodge, K. L., Haas, H. L. & Smolowitz, R. J. Videography reveals in-water behavior of loggerhead turtles (Caretta caretta) at a foraging ground. Front. Mar. Sci. 3, 254 (2016).
Google Scholar
James, M. C., Andrea Ottensmeyer, C. & Myers, R. A. Identification of high-use habitat and threats to leatherback sea turtles in northern waters: new directions for conservation. Ecol. Lett. 8(2), 195–201 (2005).
Google Scholar
Dodge, K. L., Galuardi, B., Miller, T. J. & Lutcavage, M. E. Leatherback turtle movements, dive behavior, and habitat characteristics in ecoregions of the Northwest Atlantic Ocean. PLoS ONE 9(3), e91726 (2014).
Google Scholar
Smolowitz, R., Milliken, H. O. & Weeks, M. Design, evolution, and assessment of a sea turtle deflector dredge for the US Northwest Atlantic Sea scallop fishery: Impacts on fish bycatch. North Am. J. Fish. Manag. 32(1), 65–76 (2012).
Google Scholar
Hart, D. R. & Chute, A. S. Essential fish habitat source document: Sea scallop, Placopecten magellanicus, life history and habitat characteristics. NOAA Tech. Mem. NMFS NE 189, 21 (2004).
Rheuban, J. E., Doney, S. C., Cooley, S. R. & Hart, D. R. Projected impacts of future climate change, ocean acidification, and management on the US Atlantic sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) fishery. PLoS ONE 13(9), e0203536 (2018).
Google Scholar
Framework Adjustment 23 to the Scallop Fisheries Management Plan. NOAA-NMFS-2011-0255 (2012).
Murray, K. T. Estimated magnitude of sea turtle interactions and mortality in US Bottom Trawl Gear, 2014–2018 (2020).
Houghton, J. D., Doyle, T. K., Wilson, M. W., Davenport, J. & Hays, G. C. Jellyfish aggregations and leatherback turtle foraging patterns in a temperate coastal environment. Ecology 87(8), 1967–1972 (2006).
Google Scholar
Nelson, D. A. Life history and environmental requirements of loggerhead turtles. Fish and Wildlife Service, US Department of the Interior (1988).
Source: Ecology - nature.com
