Tittensor, D. P. et al. Global patterns and predictors of marine biodiversity across taxa. Nature 466, 1098–1101 (2010).
Google Scholar
González, C. E., Medellín-Mora, J. & Escribano, R. Environmental gradients and spatial patterns of calanoid copepods in the southeast pacific. Front. Ecol. Evol. 8, 1–16 (2020).
Google Scholar
Rombouts, I. et al. Global latitudinal variations in marine copepod diversity and environmental factors. Proc. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 276, 3053–3062 (2009).
Google Scholar
Brandão, M. C. et al. Macroscale patterns of oceanic zooplankton composition and size structure. Sci. Rep. 11, 1–19 (2021).
Mcclain, C. R. & Barry, J. P. Habitat heterogeneity, disturbance, and productivity work in concert to regulate biodiversity in deep submarine canyons. Ecology 91, 964–976 (2010).
Google Scholar
Escribano, R. & Rodriguez, L. Life cycle of Calanus chilensis Brodsky in Bay of San Jorge, Antofagasta Chile. Hydrobiologia 292–293, 289–294 (1994).
Google Scholar
Strub, P. T., Mesías, M. J., Montecino, V., Rutllant, J. & Salinas, S. Coastal ocean circulation off western South America coastal segment. Sea 11, 273–313 (1998).
Montecino, V. & Lange, C. The Humboldt current system: Ecosystem components and processes, fisheries, and sediment studies. Prog. Oceanogr. 83, 65–79 (2009).
Google Scholar
Miloslavich, P. et al. Marine biodiversity in the Atlantic and Pacific coasts of South America: Knowledge and gaps. PLoS ONE 6, e14631 (2011).
Google Scholar
Marín, V., Espinoza, S. & Fleminger, A. Morphometric study of Calanus chilensis males along the Chilean coast. Hydrobiologia 292, 75–80 (1994).
Google Scholar
Escribano, R. & McLaren, I. Production of Calanus chilensis in the upwelling area of Antofagasta Northern Chile. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 177, 147–156 (1999).
Google Scholar
Escribano, R. & Hidalgo, P. Spatial distribution of copepods in the north of the Humboldt Current region off Chile during coastal upwelling. J. Mar. Biol. Assoc. U. K. 80, 283–290 (2000).
Google Scholar
Hirche, H. J., Barz, K., Ayon, P. & Schulz, J. High resolution vertical distribution of the copepod Calanus chilensis in relation to the shallow oxygen minimum zone off northern Peru using LOKI, a new plankton imaging system. Deep Res. I Oceanogr. Res. Pap. 88, 63–73 (2014).
Google Scholar
Sabatini, M., rez, F. & Martos, P. Distribution pattern and population structure of Calanus australis Brodsky, 1959 over the southern Patagonian Shelf off Argentina in summer. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 57, 1856–1866 (2000).
Google Scholar
Escribano, R. Population dynamics of Calanus chilensis in the Chilean Eastern Boundary Humboldt Current. Fish. Oceanogr. 7, 245–251 (1998).
Google Scholar
Hidalgo, P. et al. Patterns of copepod diversity in the Chilean coastal upwelling system. Deep Sea Res. Part II Top. Stud. Oceanogr. 57, 2089–2097 (2010).
Google Scholar
Hidalgo, P., Escribano, R., Fuentes, M., Jorquera, E. & Vergara, O. How coastal upwelling influences spatial patterns of size-structured diversity of copepods off central-southern Chile (summer 2009). Prog. Oceanogr. 92–95, 134–145 (2012).
Google Scholar
Giraldo, A., Escribano, R. & Marin, V. Spatial distribution of Calanus chilensis off Mejillones Peninsula (northern Chile): Ecological consequences upon coastal upwelling. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 230, 225–234 (2002).
Google Scholar
Gonzalez, A. & Marin, V. Distribution and life cycle of Calanus chilensis and Centropages brachiatus (Copepoda) in Chilean coastal waters: A GIS approach. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 165, 109–117 (1998).
Google Scholar
Parmesan, C. & Yohe, G. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421, 37–42 (2003).
Google Scholar
Parmesan, C. Influences of species, latitudes and methodologies on estimates of phenological response to global warming. Glob. Change Biol. 13, 1860–1872 (2007).
Google Scholar
Visser, M. E. & Both, C. Shifts in phenology due to global climate change: The need for a yardstick. Proc. R. Soc. B Biol. Sci. 272, 2561–2569 (2005).
Google Scholar
Chaudhary, C., Richardson, A. J., Schoeman, D. S. & Costello, M. J. Global warming is causing a more pronounced dip in marine species richness around the equator. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 118, e2015094118 (2021).
Google Scholar
Ferrier, S., Drielsma, M., Manion, G. & Watson, G. Extended statistical approaches to modelling spatial pattern in biodiversity in northeast New South Wales. II. Community-level modelling. Biodivers. Conserv. 11, 2309–2338 (2002).
Google Scholar
Jetz, W., Wilcove, D. S. & Dobson, A. P. Projected impacts of climate and land-use change on the global diversity of birds. PLoS Biol. 5, e157 (2007).
Google Scholar
Peterson, A. T. et al. Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions (MPB-49) (Princeton University Press, 2011). https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctt7stnh.
Google Scholar
Franklin, J. Spatial Inference and Prediction. Mapping Species Distributions Vol. 141 (Cambridge University Press, 2010).
Google Scholar
Guisan, A., Thuiller, W. & Zimmermann, N. E. Habitat Suitability and Distribution Models: With Applications in R. Ecology Biodiversity and Conservation (Cambridge University Press, 2017). https://doi.org/10.1017/9781139028271.
Google Scholar
Freer, J. J., Partridge, J. C., Tarling, G. A., Collins, M. A. & Genner, M. J. Predicting ecological responses in a changing ocean: The effects of future climate uncertainty. Mar. Biol. 165, 7 (2017).
Google Scholar
Robinson, N. M., Nelson, W. A., Costello, M. J., Sutherland, J. E. & Lundquist, C. J. A systematic review of marine-based species distribution models (SDMs) with recommendations for best practice. Front. Mar. Sci. 4, 421 (2017).
Google Scholar
Pennino, M. G. et al. Accounting for preferential sampling in species distribution models. Ecol. Evol. 9, 653–663 (2019).
Google Scholar
Coll, M., Pennino, M. G., Steenbeek, J., Sole, J. & Bellido, J. M. Predicting marine species distributions: Complementarity of food-web and Bayesian hierarchical modelling approaches. Ecol. Model. 405, 86–101 (2019).
Google Scholar
Stock, B. C. et al. Comparing predictions of fisheries bycatch using multiple spatiotemporal species distribution model frameworks. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 77, 146–163 (2019).
Google Scholar
Lezama-Ochoa, N. et al. Spatio-temporal distribution of the spinetail devil ray mobula mobular in the Eastern tropical Atlantic ocean. Endanger. Species Res. 43, 447–460 (2020).
Google Scholar
Marshall, C. E., Glegg, G. A. & Howell, K. L. Species distribution modelling to support marine conservation planning: The next steps. Mar. Policy 45, 330–332 (2014).
Google Scholar
Hunt, T. N., Allen, S. J., Bejder, L. & Parra, G. J. Identifying priority habitat for conservation and management of Australian humpback dolphins within a marine protected area. Sci. Rep. 10, 1–14 (2020).
Google Scholar
Champion, C., Brodie, S. & Coleman, M. A. Climate-driven range shifts are rapid yet variable among recreationally important coastal-pelagic fishes. Front. Mar. Sci. 8, 1–13 (2021).
Google Scholar
Przeslawski, R., Falkner, I., Ashcroft, M. B. & Hutchings, P. Using rigorous selection criteria to investigate marine range shifts. Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. 113, 205–212 (2012).
Google Scholar
Januario, S. M., Estay, S. A., Labra, F. A. & Lima, M. Combining environmental suitability and population abundances to evaluate the invasive potential of the tunicate Ciona intestinalis along the temperate South American coast. PeerJ 3, e1357. https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.1357 (2015).
Google Scholar
Pinochet, J., Rivera, R., Neill, P. E., Brante, A. & Hernández, C. E. Spread of the non-native anemone Anemonia alicemartinae Häussermann & Försterra, 2001 along the Humboldt-current large marine ecosystem: An ecological niche model approach. PeerJ https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.7156 (2019).
Google Scholar
Lh, G., Rj, R. & Brante, A. One step ahead of sea anemone invasions with ecological niche modeling: Potential distributions and niche dynamics of three successful invasive species. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 690, 83–95 (2022).
Google Scholar
Allynid, A. J. et al. Comparing and synthesizing quantitative distribution models and qualitative vulnerability assessments to project marine species distributions under climate change. PLoS ONE 15, 1–28 (2020).
Pennino, M. G. et al. Current and future influence of environmental factors on small pelagic fish distributions in the northwestern mediterranean sea. Front. Mar. Sci. 7, 1–20 (2020).
Google Scholar
Melo-Merino, S. M., Reyes-Bonilla, H. & Lira-Noriega, A. Ecological niche models and species distribution models in marine environments: A literature review and spatial analysis of evidence. Ecol. Model. 415, 108837 (2020).
Google Scholar
Rosa, R., Dierssen, H. M., Gonzalez, L. & Seibel, B. A. Ecological biogeography of cephalopod molluscs in the Atlantic Ocean: Historical and contemporary causes of coastal diversity patterns. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 17, 600–610 (2008).
Google Scholar
Barton, A. D., Dutkiewicz, S., Flierl, G., Bragg, J. & Follows, M. J. Patterns of diversity in marine phytoplankton. Science 327, 1509–1511 (2010).
Google Scholar
Rodríguez-Ramos, T., Marañón, E. & Cermeño, P. Marine nano- and microphytoplankton diversity: Redrawing global patterns from sampling-standardized data. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 24, 527–538 (2015).
Google Scholar
Righetti, D., Vogt, M., Gruber, N., Psomas, A. & Zimmermann, N. E. Global pattern of phytoplankton diversity driven by temperature and environmental variability. Sci. Adv. 5, eaau6253 (2022).
Google Scholar
Busseni, G. et al. Large scale patterns of marine diatom richness: Drivers and trends in a changing ocean. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 29, 1915–1928 (2020).
Google Scholar
Ruz, P. M., Hidalgo, P., Yáñez, S., Escribano, R. & Keister, J. E. Egg production and hatching success of Calanus chilensis and Acartia tonsa in the northern Chile upwelling zone (23°S) Humboldt Current System. J. Mar. Syst. 148, 200–212 (2015).
Google Scholar
Ashlock, L., García-Reyes, M., Gentemann, C., Batten, S. & Sydeman, W. Temperature and patterns of occurrence and abundance of key copepod taxa in the Northeast Pacific. Front. Mar. Sci. 8, 1–10 (2021).
Google Scholar
Campbell, M. D. et al. Testing Bergmann’s rule in marine copepods. Ecography 44, 1283–1295 (2021).
Google Scholar
Soberón, J. Grinnellian and Eltonian niches and geographic distributions of species. Ecol. Lett. 10, 1115–1123 (2007).
Google Scholar
Soberón, J. & Nakamura, M. Niches and distributional areas: Concepts, methods, and assumptions. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 106, 19644–19650 (2009).
Google Scholar
Morales, C. E. et al. Mesoscale structure of copepod assemblages in the coastal transition zone and oceanic waters off central-southern Chile. Prog. Oceanogr. 84, 158–173 (2010).
Google Scholar
Gonzalez, R. R. & Quiñones, R. A. Ldh activity in Euphausia mucronata and Calanus chilensis: Implications for vertical migration behaviour. J. Plankton Res. 24, 1349–1356 (2002).
Google Scholar
Escribano, R., Hidalgo, P. & Krautz, C. Zooplankton associated with the oxygen minimum zone system in the northern upwelling region of Chile during March 2000. Deep Sea Res. Part II Top. Stud. Oceanogr. 56, 1083–1094 (2009).
Google Scholar
Fernández-Urruzola, I. et al. Plankton respiration in the Atacama Trench region: Implications for particulate organic carbon flux into the hadal realm. Limnol. Oceanogr. 66, 3134–3148 (2021).
Google Scholar
Steinberg, D. K. & Landry, M. R. Zooplankton and the ocean carbon cycle. Ann. Rev. Mar. Sci. 9, 413–444 (2017).
Google Scholar
Tutasi, P. & Escribano, R. Zooplankton diel vertical migration and downward~C flux into the oxygen minimum zone in the highly productive upwelling region off northern Chile. Biogeosciences 17, 455–473 (2020).
Google Scholar
Gonzalez, A. & Marín, V. H. Distribution and life cycle of Calanus chilensis and Centropages brachiatus (Copepoda) in chilean coastal waters: A GIS approach. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 165, 109–117 (1998).
Google Scholar
Pulliam, H. R. Sources, sinks, and population regulation. Am. Nat. 132, 652–661 (1988).
Google Scholar
Dias, P. C. Sources and sinks in population biology. Trends Ecol. Evol. 11, 326–330 (1996).
Google Scholar
Ding, M., Lin, P., Liu, H., Hu, A. & Liu, C. Lagrangian eddy kinetic energy of ocean mesoscale eddies and its application to the Northwestern Pacific. Sci. Rep. 10, 12791 (2020).
Google Scholar
Morales, C. E. et al. The distribution of chlorophyll-a and dominant planktonic components in the coastal transition zone off Concepción, central Chile, during different oceanographic conditions. Prog. Oceanogr. 75, 452–469 (2007).
Google Scholar
Escribano, R. & Rodriguez, L. Life cycle of Calanus chilensis Brodsky in Bay of San Jorge, Antofagasta Chile. Hydrobiologia 292, 289–294 (1994).
Google Scholar
Hidalgo, P. & Escribano, R. Coupling of life cycles of the copepods Calanus chilensis and Centropages brachiatus to upwelling induced variability in the central-southern region of Chile. Prog. Oceanogr. 75, 501–517 (2007).
Google Scholar
Sobarzo, M., Bravo, L., Donoso, D., Garcés-Vargas, J. & Schneider, W. Coastal upwelling and seasonal cycles that influence the water column over the continental shelf off central Chile. Prog. Oceanogr. 75, 363–382 (2007).
Google Scholar
Carlson, C. J. embarcadero: Species distribution modelling with Bayesian additive regression trees in r. Methods Ecol. Evol. 11, 850–858 (2020).
Google Scholar
Gelfand, A. et al. Explaining species distribution patterns through hierarchical modeling. Bayesian Anal. https://doi.org/10.1214/06-BA102 (2006).
Google Scholar
Hortal, J. et al. Seven shortfalls that beset large-scale knowledge of biodiversity. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 46, 523–549 (2015).
Google Scholar
Wisz, M. S. et al. Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models. Divers. Distrib. 14, 763–773 (2008).
Google Scholar
van Proosdij, A. S. J., Sosef, M. S. M., Wieringa, J. J. & Raes, N. Minimum required number of specimen records to develop accurate species distribution models. Ecography 39, 542–552 (2016).
Google Scholar
Gaul, W. et al. Data quantity is more important than its spatial bias for predictive species distribution modelling. PeerJ 8, e10411 (2020).
Google Scholar
Beck, J., Böller, M., Erhardt, A. & Schwanghart, W. Spatial bias in the GBIF database and its effect on modeling species’ geographic distributions. Ecol. Inform. 19, 10–15 (2014).
Google Scholar
Breiner, F. T., Guisan, A., Bergamini, A. & Nobis, M. P. Overcoming limitations of modelling rare species by using ensembles of small models. Methods Ecol. Evol. 6, 1210–1218 (2015).
Google Scholar
Breiner, F. T., Nobis, M. P., Bergamini, A. & Guisan, A. Optimizing ensembles of small models for predicting the distribution of species with few occurrences. Methods Ecol. Evol. 9, 802–808 (2018).
Google Scholar
Yasuhara, M. et al. Past and future decline of tropical pelagic biodiversity. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 117, 12891–12896 (2020).
Google Scholar
Richardson, A., Schoeman, D., Richardson, A. J. & Schoeman, D. S. Climate impact on plankton ecosystems in the Northeast Atlantic. Science 305, 1609–1612 (2004).
Google Scholar
Chiba, S., Sugisaki, H., Nonaka, M. & Saino, T. Geographical shift of zooplankton communities and decadal dynamics of the Kuroshio-Oyashio currents in the western North Pacific. Glob. Change Biol. 15, 1846–1858 (2009).
Google Scholar
Reygondeau, G. & Beaugrand, G. Future climate-driven shifts in distribution of Calanus finmarchicus. Glob. Change Biol. 17, 756–766 (2011).
Google Scholar
Beaugrand, G., Lindley, J. A., Helaouet, P. & Bonnet, D. Macroecological study of Centropages typicus in the North Atlantic Ocean. Prog. Oceanogr. 72, 259–273 (2007).
Google Scholar
Hirche, H. J., Barz, K., Ayon, P. & Schulz, J. High resolution vertical distribution of the copepod Calanus chilensis in relation to the shallow oxygen minimum zone off northern Peru using LOKI, a new plankton imaging system. Deep Sea Res. I Oceanogr. Res. Pap. 88, 63–73 (2014).
Google Scholar
Spalding, M. D. et al. Marine ecoregions of the world: A bioregionalization of coastal and shelf areas. Bioscience 57, 573–583 (2007).
Google Scholar
Barve, N. et al. The crucial role of the accessible area in ecological niche modeling and species distribution modeling. Ecol. Model. 222, 1810–1819 (2011).
Google Scholar
Riquelme-Bugueño, R. et al. The influence of upwelling variation on the spatially-structured euphausiid community off central-southern Chile in 2007–2008. Prog. Oceanogr. 92–95, 146–165 (2012).
Google Scholar
Soberón, J. & Peterson, A. Interpretation of models of fundamental ecological niches and species’ distributional areas. Biodivers. Inform. https://doi.org/10.17161/bi.v2i0.4 (2005).
Google Scholar
Provoost, P. & Bosch, S. robis: Ocean Biodiversity Information System (OBIS) Client (2020).
Chamberlain, S. & Oldoni, D. rgbif: Interface to the Global Biodiversity Information Facility API (2021).
R Core Team. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing (2021).
Aiello-Lammens, M. E., Boria, R. A., Radosavljevic, A., Vilela, B. & Anderson, R. P. spThin: An R package for spatial thinning of species occurrence records for use in ecological niche models. Ecography 38, 541–545 (2015).
Google Scholar
ESRI. ArcGIS Desktop: Release 10.4.1 (Envrionmental Systems Research Institute, 2016).
De Marco, P. & Nóbrega, C. C. Evaluating collinearity effects on species distribution models: An approach based on virtual species simulation. PLoS ONE 13, e202403 (2018).
Google Scholar
Feng, X. et al. A checklist for maximizing reproducibility of ecological niche models. Nat. Ecol. Evol. 3, 1382–1395 (2019).
Google Scholar
Naimi, B., Hamm, N. A. S., Groen, T. A., Skidmore, A. K. & Toxopeus, A. G. Where is positional uncertainty a problem for species distribution modelling?. Ecography 37, 191–203 (2014).
Google Scholar
Zuur, A. F., Ieno, E. N. & Elphick, C. S. A protocol for data exploration to avoid common statistical problems. Methods Ecol. Evol. 1, 3–14 (2010).
Google Scholar
Allouche, O., Tsoar, A. & Kadmon, R. Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: Prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS). J. Appl. Ecol. 43, 1223–1232 (2006).
Google Scholar
Pinto-Ledezma, J. N. & Cavender-Bares, J. Predicting species distributions and community composition using satellite remote sensing predictors. Sci. Rep. 11, 16448 (2021).
Google Scholar
Ellison, A. M. Bayesian inference in ecology. Ecol. Lett. 7, 509–520 (2004).
Google Scholar
Pennino, M. G., Muñoz, F., Conesa, D., López-Quílez, A. & Bellido, J. M. Bayesian spatio-temporal discard model in a demersal trawl fishery. J. Sea Res. 90, 44–53 (2014).
Google Scholar
Di Cola, V. et al. ecospat: An R package to support spatial analyses and modeling of species niches and distributions. Ecography 40, 774–787 (2017).
Google Scholar
Engler, R., Guisan, A. & Rechsteiner, L. An improved approach for predicting the distribution of rare and endangered species from occurrence and pseudo-absence data. J. Appl. Ecol. 41, 263–274 (2004).
Google Scholar
Pearce, J. & Ferrier, S. Evaluating the predictive performance of habitat models developed using logistic regression. Ecol. Model. 133, 225–245 (2000).
Google Scholar
Boyce, M. S., Vernier, P. R., Nielsen, S. E. & Schmiegelow, F. K. A. Evaluating resource selection functions. Ecol. Model. 157, 281–300 (2002).
Google Scholar
Hirzel, A. H., Le Lay, G., Helfer, V., Randin, C. & Guisan, A. Evaluating the ability of habitat suitability models to predict species presences. Ecol. Model. 199, 142–152 (2006).
Google Scholar
Warren, D. & Dinnage, R. ENMTools: Analysis of Niche Evolution using Niche and Distribution Models (2020).
Assis, J. et al. Bio-ORACLE v2.0: Extending marine data layers for bioclimatic modelling. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 27, 277–284 (2018).
Google Scholar
Elith, J., Kearney, M. & Phillips, S. The art of modelling range-shifting species. Methods Ecol. Evol. 1, 330–342 (2010).
Google Scholar
Osorio-Olvera, L. et al. ntbox: An r package with graphical user interface for modelling and evaluating multidimensional ecological niches. Methods Ecol. Evol. 11, 1199–1206 (2020).
Google Scholar
Bosch, S., Tyberghein, L. & De Clerck, O. ‘sdmpredictors’: Species distribution modelling predictor datasets. R package version 0.2.6. R Packag. version 0.2.6 (2018).
Thuiller, W., Georges, D., Engler, R. & Breiner, F. biomod2: Ensemble platform for species distribution modeling (2020).
Zurell, D. et al. A standard protocol for reporting species distribution models. Ecography 43, 1261–1277 (2020).
Google Scholar
Source: Ecology - nature.com