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    Physiological responses to low CO2 over prolonged drought as primers for forest–grassland transitions

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    Mild movement sequence repetition in five primate species and evidence for a taxonomic divide in cognitive mechanisms

    Study subjectsWe conducted foraging experiments on strepsirrhines (Nindividuals = 18) at the Duke Lemur Center (DLC), North Carolina, from February to November 201513. Our sample includes six fat-tailed dwarf lemurs (3–16 years of age, 3 males, 3 females), six gray mouse lemurs (3–7 years of age, all female), and six aye-ayes (17–32 years of age, 2 males, 4 females). Because these species are solitary and nocturnal, most animals were housed singly and were kept on a reversed light cycle such that they were active and could be tested during the day. Housing conditions were similar for all individuals, and they were all fed daily in a similar manner with a diet that included fruits, vegetables, meal worms, and monkey chow (details in13).All vervet data were collected on wild animals (Nindividuals = 12) at Lake Nabugabo, Uganda (0°22′–12° S and 31°54′ E) during four separate field seasons (April-June 2013, Double Trapezoid array, M group15; June–September 2013, Pentagon array, M group24; August–September 2015, Z-array, M group12; July–August 2017, Pentagon array, KS group25). M group was composed of between 21–28 individuals, containing 2–3 adult males, 7–9 adult females, 2 subadult males, 1–3 subadult females, and 9–12 juveniles and infants. KS group was composed of 39–40 individuals including 5 adult males, 11 adult females, 3 sub-adult males, 5 sub-adult females, and 15–16 juveniles and infants. All individuals were reliably identified based on natural features (details in12,15,24,25). Outside of foraging experiments, wild vervets were not provision fed.All Japanese macaque data (Nindividuals = 10) were collected at the Awajishima Monkey Centre (AMC), Awaji Island, Japan (34°14′43.6″ N and 134°52′59.9″ E) between July and August 2019 (Z-array26). AMC is a privately-run tourist and conservation center visited by a large group of free-ranging Japanese macaques (~ 400 individuals) called the “Awajishima group”47. The group is composed of different-aged individuals of both sexes, with bachelor males and bachelor male groups living around the periphery48. The Awajishima group forages on wild foods for much of their dietary requirements but is also provision-fed a combination of wheat and soybeans, supplemented with peanuts, fruits, and vegetables twice daily for ~ 10 months of the year (details in47,49,50).Study designNavigation arraysThe strepsirrhines and vervets were tested on a “double-trapezoid” shaped multi-destination array with six feeding platforms13,15, modified from17 (Fig. 1a), where there were 720 possible routes (6!). Three different double-trapezoid arrays were built to account for differences in body size: one for the smaller dwarf and mouse lemurs, one for the mid-sized aye-ayes, and one for the larger, wild vervets. Arrays were scaled such that the distance from platform 1–2 (the shortest distance between targets) was approximately twice the body length of the subject species. Vervets were additionally tested on a Z-shaped array with six feeding platforms (720 possible routes, Fig. 1b12), and a pentagon-shaped array with five feeding platforms (120 possible routes, Fig. 1c24,25,46). Japanese macaques were tested on an identically sized Z-array26.Figure 1Design of the navigational arrays used, with (a) the Double Trapezoid array used for Cheirogaleus medius, Microcebus murinus, Daubentonia madagascariensis, and Chlorocebus pygerythrus. Three different arrays were built and scaled to the body size of animals (see “Methods”). (b) The Z-array used for C. pygerythrus and Macaca fuscata. The same size array was used for both species because they are similar in adult body lengths (vervet mean range from four sites: 34.5–42.6 cm51, Japanese macaque mean range from six sites: 48.9–59.7 cm52. (c) The Pentagon used for C. pygerythrus. Distances here are unitless but roughly proportional to the body size of each species tested. Created in R version 4.0.4 and ProCreate.Full size imageFor strepsirrhine trials, DLC staff captured individuals in their enclosures and transported them in padded crates to the testing room. The dwarf and mouse lemur array was set up in a specially designed box (0.91 × 1.83 m) with a small compartment to contain strepsirrhines for rebaiting between trials. The aye-aye array was set up on the ground in a room measuring 2.44 × 4.27 m, where subjects stayed during the duration of their daily trials13. Vervet and macaque trials occurred when individual monkeys voluntarily left their group to participate in foraging experiments alone. Vervet arrays were set up using wooden feeding platforms (0.75 m long, 0.75 m wide × 0.75 m high) placed in an outdoor clearing measuring roughly 10 × 14 m in the home range of the study group. Japanese macaque arrays were also set up using small wooden feeding tables (0.40 m long, 0.30 m wide, 0.21 m high), covered in green plastic labeled with the platform number. Two identical arrays were built in neighbouring provision-feeding fields at the AMC (Near Lower Field: ~ 10 × 35 m, and Far Lower Field: ~ 15 × 45 m).In these studies, all platforms were baited with a single food item. The reward used varied by species (strepsirrhines: grape piece, apple piece, honey, agave nectar, or nut butters, vervets: slice of banana, piece of popcorn; macaques: single peanut or piece of sweet potato). Strepsirrhines have sensory adaptations for using olfaction to locate food53, while the cercopithecoids are heavily reliant on vision to locate resources54, so we ensured that each platform was baited with identical food items within a trial that smelled and looked the same to avoid biasing where the animals chose to go. Platforms for the wild monkeys were not rebaited between trials until all animals were ≥ 20 m away and the entire sequence could be rebaited before their return15,24,25,26.For all species, we started a trial when the tested individual entered the array and took the reward at a platform. We then recorded each successive platform visit (including revisits to empty platforms) until all rewards had been collected ending the trial. In our analyses, we included a total of 852 trials collected over six navigational experiments, completed by 40 unique individuals (18 lemurs, 12 vervets, 10 macaques) (Table 2).Table 2 Individuals and trial sample size included in the analysis.Full size tableData simulationsIn addition to empirically collected data, we simulated agents learning to travel efficiently in the same set of arrays using a simple iterative-reinforcement learning model based on the one used by Reynolds et al.6 to test for traplining behavior in bumblebees. In this model, agents move randomly between locations in an array until they visit all locations, then reset for another trial. If the agent completed a trial by travelling less distance than on previous trials, the probability of the agent repeating location-to-location transitions that occurred in that trial increased for future trials by a reinforcement factor. Initial transition probabilities were inversely proportional to the distance between two locations. Unlike Reynolds et al.6 our simulated agents started at a random location and were not required to return to that location to complete the trial. This matches the trial structure used in our experiments (open-TSP), and reflects multiple central place foraging patterns in primates55. Finally, agents could not return to the location they had just come from, using an “avoid the last location” behavioral heuristic observed in nectivores56,57, which prevented agents from getting stuck in “loops” between two locations (S1 Simulation Validation).Within each of the arrays used to collect empirical data, we ran simulations with reinforcement factors of 1 (no reinforcement), 1.2 (mild reinforcement), and 2 (strong reinforcement). For each array and reinforcement factor combination, we ran 100 agents that each completed 120 trials, where there was an equal probability of starting each trial at any location. Then, for each array and reinforcement factor combination, we ran 100 additional simulations per species tested in the given array, where the probability of starting a trial at any location was equal to the empirically observed location-starting probabilities of the respective species.These simulations were designed to help us test predictions of our two hypotheses regarding primate learning and decision making within the arrays. If primates learn to solve navigational arrays efficiently by reinforcing movements between platform pairs, they should exhibit overall greater receptiveness in their sequences of location visits than reinforcement factor 1 simulations, and a greater decrease over time in total distance travelled to complete the arrays. If primates are pre-disposed to navigate arrays using heuristics, they should exhibit shorter distances travelled on initial trials than in simulations.Data analysisFrom the raw sequences of locations visited in each trial, we calculated two metrics: minimum distance traveled, and the proportion of platform revisits that occurred within identical 3-platform visit sequences (determinism-DET)18. All calculations were done using R version 4.0.458 and packages rstan59 and tidyverse60. A fully reproducible data notebook containing this work, as well as all analyzed data, is available at https://github.com/aqvining/Do-Primates-Trapline. All figures were created by AQV in R version 4.0.4 and ProCreate.Distance traveledTo calculate minimum distance traveled, we created a distance matrix for each resource array containing the relative linear distance between any two resource locations. These minimum linear distances approximate the distances traveled by the animals, which may not necessarily be linear. We then summed the linear distances for all transitions made in a trial. Because resource arrays were scaled to the subject species’ body size, these relative distances were standardized.DeterminismGiven a sequence of observations, Ayers et al.63 defines determinism (DET) as the proportion of all matching observation-pairs (recurrences) that occur within matching sub-sequences of observations (repeats) of a given length (minL). This metric has been previously used to distinguish sequences of resource visitation generated by traplining behaviour from sequences generated by known processes of random movement within a given resource array18,61,62. It has several advantages in the analysis of foraging patterns, including the ability to detect repeated sequences between non-consecutive foraging bouts, imperfect repeats in sequences (i.e., omission or addition of a particular site), and distinguishing between forward- and reverse-order sequence repeats63.We adapted the methods of63 to calculate the number of recurrences and repeats generated by the sequence of location visits in each trial of our experiments and simulations. Based on an analysis of the sensitivity of DET scores to the parameterization of minL, we set minL to three for our calculations (S2 Sensitivity Analysis).Statistical analysesLearning ratesWe modelled distance travelled as a function of trial number, species, and individual. Metrics of animal performance on learned tasks are known to follow power functions over time and experience64, so we a priori applied log transformations to distance travelled and trial number, then fit a linear model. Thus, in the resulting model, the intercept can be interpreted as an estimated distance travelled on the first trial and the slope can be interpreted as the exponent of a learning curve. We modelled species and individual effects on the intercept by summing an estimated grand mean (µ0), species level deviation (µsp,j), and individual level deviation (µid,i). We treated species and individual level effects on the learning rate parameter (slope) the same way, summing a grand mean (b0), species level deviation (bsp,j), and individual level deviation (bid,i). We estimated additional parameters for the variance of individual level deviations in intercept and slope (σµID and σbID, respectively). Finally, after finding residuals in an initial analysis to have variances predicted by trial number and species, we estimated a separate error variance for each species (σε,sp) and weighted the standard deviations of the resulting error distributions by dividing them by the square root of one plus the trial number.We set regularizing priors on the model parameters, assuming distances travelled would remain within one order of magnitude of the most efficient route, but not setting any strict boundaries. For the grand mean of the intercept, we used a normal distribution centered around twice the minimum possible distance required to visit all platforms in the array, with a variance of one. For the grand mean of the slope and all species and individual level deviations to the slope and intercept, we used normal distributions centered at zero with variance of one. For all error terms, we used half-cauchy priors with a location parameter of zero and a scale parameter of one. The full, hierarchical definition of the model is given in Eq. (1).$$Distance sim {mu }_{0}+ {mu }_{sp,j}+ {mu }_{id, i}+left({b}_{0}+ {b}_{sp, j}+ {b}_{id,i}right)Trial+ epsilon$$$${mu }_{0} sim mathrm{N}(4.78, 1)$$$${mu }_{sp}, {b}_{0}, {b}_{sp} sim mathrm{N}(mathrm{0,1})$$$${mu }_{id} sim mathrm{N}(0, {sigma }_{mu ID})$$$${b}_{id} sim mathrm{N}(0, {sigma }_{bID})$$$$epsilon sim mathrm{N}(0, {sigma }_{epsilon ,sp}/sqrt[2]{1+Trial})$$$${sigma }_{mu ID}, {sigma }_{bID}, {sigma }_{epsilon } sim mathrm{Half Cauchy}(mathrm{0,1})$$DeterminismTo compare DET between species, and between empirical and simulated data, we created a binomial model of expected repeats generated in a trial given the number of recurrences (Eq. 2).$$Repeats sim binom(Recursions, DET)$$$$DET= {logit}^{-1}(alpha)$$$$alpha={a}_{0}+Sp+Src+ Int+ID$$$${a}_{0}, Sp, Src, Int sim mathrm{N}(0, 1)$$$$ID sim mathrm{N}(0, {sigma }_{ID})$$$${sigma }_{ID}sim mathrm{Half Cauchy}(mathrm{0,1})$$where a0 is the mean intercept, Sp is one of four coefficients determined by the species (simulations are of the “species” which was used to assign its starting-location probabilities), Src is one of four coefficients determined by the source (empirical data and each level of reinforcement factor), Int is one of 16 interaction coefficients (each possible combination of Sp and Src), and ID is a varying effect of the individual. Because the length of a sequence affects DET, we limit our analysis of DET to the sequences generated by a subject’s or an agent’s first ten trials. Subjects that completed fewer than ten trials were excluded from this portion of the analysis. More

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    Initial community composition determines the long-term dynamics of a microbial cross-feeding interaction by modulating niche availability

    The generalist accumulates extracellular nitriteWe first tested whether the generalist accumulates substantial extracellular nitrite under our experimental conditions, and thus creates a niche for the specialist. To accomplish this, we grew the generalist alone in bioreactors with anoxic ACS medium amended with 12 mM nitrate as the growth-limiting substrate and measured the extracellular concentrations of nitrate and nitrite over time. We performed these experiments at pH 6.5 (strong nitrite toxicity) and 7.5 (weak nitrite toxicity).We observed a substantial accumulation of extracellular nitrite regardless of the pH (Fig. 3A, B). When grown at pH 6.5 (strong nitrite toxicity), extracellular nitrite accumulated to a concentration comparable to the initial nitrate concentration (measured maximum extracellular nitrite concentration, 11.8 mM; measured initial nitrate concentration, 12.0 mM) and was subsequently consumed to below the detection limit (Fig. 3A). When grown at pH 7.5 (weak nitrite toxicity), extracellular nitrite again accumulated to a concentration comparable to the initial nitrate concentration (measured maximum extracellular nitrite concentration, 11.7 mM; measured initial nitrate concentration, 12.9 mM) and was subsequently consumed to below the detection limit (Fig. 3B). During growth at pH 6.5, substantial nitrite consumption did not begin until a prolonged period of time after nitrate consumption was complete, resulting in a relatively long duration of nitrite availability (Fig. 3A). During growth at pH 7.5, in contrast, substantial nitrite consumption began immediately after nitrate consumption was complete, resulting in a relatively short duration of nitrite availability (Fig. 3B). The longer duration of nitrite availability at pH 6.5 indicates that the duration of the niche created by the generalist for the specialist depends on pH.Fig. 3: Growth and nitrogen oxide dynamics of the generalist in batch culture.We grew the generalist alone in a bioreactor at A pH 7.5 (weak nitrite toxicity) or B pH 6.5 (strong nitrite toxicity) under anoxic conditions with nitrate as the growth-limiting substrate. Blue squares are measured extracellular nitrate concentrations, yellow triangles are measured extracellular nitrite concentrations, and black circles are measured cell densities. We measured extracellular nitrate and nitrite concentrations with IC and cell densities with FC. C Measured durations of nitrite availability for the generalist growing in batch culture. We grew the generalist alone in 96-well microtiter plates under anoxic conditions with nitrate as the growth-limiting substrate. Open symbols are durations of nitrite availability at pH 6.5 and closed symbols are durations of nitrite availability at pH 7.5. Each symbol is an independent biological replicate.Full size imageTo routinely quantify the duration of nitrite availability, we grew the generalist alone with varying amounts of nitrate as the growth-limiting substrate. We then quantified the length of time from when the growth rate with nitrate was maximum to when the growth rate with nitrite was maximum. This cell density-based proxy measure is valid because the growth of the generalist is directly linked to the consumption of nitrate and nitrite (Fig. 3A, B). The cell density of the generalist was initially linearly correlated with nitrate consumption at both pH 6.5 (strong nitrite toxicity) (two-sided Pearson correlation test; r = −0.96, p = 1.5 × 10–8, n = 15) (Fig. 3A) and 7.5 (weak nitrite toxicity) (two-sided Pearson correlation test; r = −1.00, p = 2.2 × 10–16, n = 30) (Fig. 3B). After nitrate was depleted, the cell density of the generalist became linearly correlated with nitrite consumption at both pH 6.5 (strong nitrite toxicity) (two-sided Pearson correlation test; r = −0.97, p = 3 × 10–4, n = 7) (Fig. 3A) and 7.5 (weak nitrite toxicity) (two-sided Pearson correlation test; r = −0.97, p = 6.8 × 10–10, n = 16) (Fig. 3B). We further validated our cell density-based approach by testing for concordance with our IC-based direct measures of the duration of nitrite availability. We observed a significant positive and linear relationship between the cell density- and IC-based measures (two-sided Pearson correlation test; r = 0.999, p = 0.023, n = 3) (linear regression model; slope = 1.19, intercept = −2.31, r2 = 0.99) (Supplementary Fig. S2), which further validates our cell density-based approach to routinely estimate the duration of nitrite availability.Using our cell density-based approach, we found that the duration of nitrite availability was significantly longer at pH 6.5 (strong nitrite toxicity) than at 7.5 (weak nitrite toxicity) regardless of the initial nitrate concentration (two-sample two-sided t-tests; Holm-adjusted p  0.92, Holm-adjusted p  0.6), and thus followed model predictions (Fig. 4A). However, when the specialist was initially rare (measured initial log rS/Gs of –3.19, –2.65, and –0.88), the relative abundances of the specialist continuously decreased between the third and twelfth transfers (Mann–Kendall trend tests; tau = –0.61 to –0.89, p  0 were dominated by phenotype C (dominant ancestral phenotype with a long time delay between nitrate and nitrite consumption), while generalist isolates from co-cultures with initial rS/Gs  More

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    Recent climate change has driven divergent hydrological shifts in high-latitude peatlands

    Hydrological changes in high-latitude peatlandsWe observed three hydrological pathways, i.e., drying, wetting, and fluctuating, for both peatland clusters, non-permafrost and permafrost peatlands (Fig. 2). Approximately 54% of the studied peatlands have shifted towards drier surface conditions since 1800 CE and more intensively since 1900 CE (Fig. 2a, d), which is in line with the post-LIA warming. The overall change point to drier conditions was dated to ca. 1950 CE for non-permafrost sites and ca. 1890 CE for the permafrost compiled group. Approximately 32% of the studied peatlands have shifted towards wetter conditions (Fig. 2b, e). The overall shifting point to wetter conditions was dated to ca. 1995 CE for non-permafrost peatlands and to ca. 1990 CE for permafrost peatlands. Wetting has been especially intensive since 1900 CE for non-permafrost peatlands and since 1950 CE for permafrost peatlands. Interestingly, the data showed that in permafrost peatlands a significant dry shift always preceded a wet shift (Fig. 2e). Approximately 14% of the studied peatlands indicated no clear trend, with fluctuating hydrological conditions (Fig. 2c, f).Non-permafrost peatlands generally showed spatially extensive drying across the northern high latitudes, apart from northeastern Canada, where a wetting trend was more frequently observed. Permafrost peatlands, however, were more variable, with some drying, some wetting, and no overall coherent regional pattern was visible (Fig.1a, b). It should be noted that peatlands synthesized here have undergone little or no direct human impact, i.e., their surface hydrology was not significantly affected by human disturbances such as drainage, when compared to, for example, central European peatlands discussed in Swindles et al. (2019)5. This implies that climate and/or local topographical forcing are the predominant hydrological drivers in this study. The dataset is to some extent biased as there are more non-permafrost records from northeastern Canada but more permafrost records from northern Sweden and this might result in regional overestimation to either wetting or drying trends. Nevertheless, the pattern of diverse timing of the hydrological shifts between the individual coring points (Fig. 2) indicates the variability in sensitivity of different regions/peatlands to climate changes.Potential links to climate change and permafrost dynamicsThe comparison of the reconstructed water table and climate data suggests that climate, especially summer temperature, has played an important role in shaping the peatland water table (Fig. 1c–f). The pattern detected here for non-permafrost peatlands, an extensive drying, is comparable to that observed for central European peatlands5. In addition to direct climate forcing, a recent acceleration of peat accumulation might partly explain the drying trend by disconnecting the peatland surface from the water table17. However, for northeastern Canada a wetting trend has been observed more often, possibly regulated by the regional climate that shows clearly less warming in the focused period compared to other regions (Fig. 1c, d).Permafrost initiation in the past caused a peat surface uplift and is probably detected as a dry phase (Fig. 2d, e). Post-LIA warming-induced increase in evapotranspiration may have strengthened the surface drying which originally resulted from surface-uplift and probably mitigated the gradual wetting related to permafrost thawing11. The level of warming has varied among the regions. In some areas such as northeastern Canada temperature has increased less and, when combined with higher precipitation or higher effective moisture level, may have caused surface wetting in permafrost peatlands. This is a direct climate forcing rather than permafrost thawing, which is a consequence of climate warming, i.e., more indirect climate forcing. To date, it is yet challenging to estimate any one tipping point of warming that might trigger permafrost thawing, as the local conditions vary from bottom ground soil conditions to hydrology and vegetation. The consequent wetting or drying depends on evapotranspiration and ice richness etc., which further challenges the prediction of hydrological conditions of permafrost peatlands.The divergent three moisture patterns may occur in the same region and even in the same peatland, especially if the permafrost is present. This complex response pattern is well supported by the records from the Abisko region, Sweden, where replicated sampling was carried out, and captured different successional stages of local permafrost peatlands7,18. In contrast to permafrost peatlands, non-permafrost peatlands are more likely to experience a more consistent ecosystem response pattern19 as supported by the replicated records suggesting the same pattern happening simultaneously in several regions (Fig. 1a). The fluctuating pattern of many records reported here suggests that the past and recent climate has not yet caused a state change in hydrological conditions.Insights into carbon dynamics and future perspectiveGenerally, our results suggest that the recent climate warming has caused hydrological shifts in most high-latitude peatlands, highlighting its pronounced effect on shaping peatland moisture balance, and further on driving peatland C balance. It has been reported that a 1-cm water-table drawdown would increase 3.3–5.0 mg CO2 m−2 h−1 and decrease 2.2–3.6 mg CO2-eq m−2 h−1 (CH4) to the atmosphere, and the average sensitivity of CO2 and CH4 combined was 0.8–2.3 mg CO2-eq m−2 h−1 cm−1 according to a global scale analysis, including sites from high-latitudes3. However, it should be noted that the sensitivity of greenhouse gas fluxes to the magnitude of hydrological changes might vary among different regions and peatland types. It appears that most pan-Arctic peatlands are undergoing a drying trend, that may lead to a decreased C sink capacity3,19, if not compensated by increased C uptake from the atmosphere20.It is very likely that over the 21st century warming in high latitudes will continue to be more pronounced than the global average21. Precipitation is projected to increase, albeit with large regional variability. Also, extreme events with heavy rainfall and drought are becoming more frequent and intense22. It is estimated that about 20% of permafrost zone is experiencing accelerated and abrupt permafrost thaw that is likely causing wetting conditions4, while gradual permafrost thaw has been observed across the circumpolar regions23. Both an increase in precipitation and permafrost thaw might mitigate the drying pressure caused by warming and increased evapotranspiration. However, abrupt permafrost thaw in peatlands can result in a rapid (over years to decades) loss of C from the formerly frozen permafrost peat, causing these peatlands to be a net source of C to the atmosphere before post-thaw accumulation returns them to a net sink (centuries to millennia)12,13. The future C sink and source function of peatlands is a key element in contributing to climate change, but the observed divergent pathways of peatland hydrological successions further challenge the projections of high-latitude peatland C sink and source dynamics. Conversely, it clearly highlights the importance of climate forcing in peatland succession scenarios. Our study reveals that the response of high-latitude peatlands to changing climate conditions is complex. We detect variable ecohydrological trajectories, and in the future, these will determine the C sink capacity of northern peatlands. The observed patterns inevitably create challenges for the climate change modelling community. How to capture the highly heterogenic successional pathways of northern peatlands needs to be a key research focus. More