Ecology

Genome’s collection and phylogenetic analysisThe study examined the genomes of 139 isolates, 61 of environmental samples (ENV) and 78 clinical (CLI) (Supplementary Table 1, Supplementary Fig. 1), with origin in 21 countries: USA (23/139, 17%), UK, Portugal and Spain (each 15/139, 33%), China (14/139, 10%), Germany (13/139, 9%), Thailand (11/139, 8%) and other countries (each  More

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Experimental design and crop managementField experiments were conducted at Chengyang Agricultural Experimental Station, Qingdao, China (36°18′ 11″/N, 120°21′ 13″/E) in 2019 and 2020. The soil type in the field was brown loam that contained 22.76 g kg−1 organic matter, 82.39 mg kg−1 alkali-hydrolysable N, 25.10 mg kg−1 Olsen-P and 94.89 mg kg−1 exchangeable K. The test cultivars of maize were Jinhai5 with strong lodging resistance and Xundan20 with weak lodging resistance, which were repeated four times in plots laying out in randomized block designs. Plant density was 7.5 plants / m2 with the row spacing of 60 cm. the plot consisted of 8 rows length of 15 m. Two–three seeds per hole were manually sowed at 5 cm on 20 April 2019 and 24 April 2020, and the seedlings were thinned to the target planting density at V2, and harvested on 10 September and 14 September, respectively. Fertilization and irrigation management followed local production practices in maize.Sampling and measurementPlant samples were taken at V8, V12, R1, R2 and R6. Ten typical plants of each tested cultivars were selected to be subjected to mechanical and above-ground morphological measurements at each sampling. The other three maize plants were used to measure morphological traits of roots. Xundan20 was seriously damaged due to the storm in the late stage of maize growth in 2020, resulting in the missing data for physiological maturity.Determination of leaf area vertical distributionLeaf area of expanded leaves each was computed by the coefficient method: Single leaf area = length * width * 0.75. Leaf area for unexpanded leaves was estimated by the leaf weight method. Leaf area per plant was the sum of all individual green leaf areas. Leaf height is the height from the ground to the leaf collar position of maize.Determination of max root side-pulling resistanceSample plants were surrounded with water-proof steel devices inserted into underground, and watered to soil moisture over saturation at one day before mechanical testing. When measured, due to the limited space, all leaves of sample plants are removed in order to improve the measurement accuracy. The defoliated stalks were immobilized by a pair of lengthwise steel clamps to prevent stalks from bending (Fig. 7). After the digital pole dynamometer18 with a 1.5 m long slider and a main unit was linked to the stalks at a height of 80 cm away from the ground, the operator by hand pulled at a slow and uniform speed until the roots were pulled out. Records of load force, declination angle and sensor position were automatically stored in main unit during this operation. The peak value of forces, extracted from records, was taken as the max root side-pulling resistance.Figure 7Schematic diagram for measuring max root side-pulling resistance.Full size imageRoot anti-lodging indexBased on the method of Cui et al.6, the force value comparison is changed to the moment value comparison to calculate root anti-lodging index:$${text{AL}}_{root} = M_{root} / , M_{wind} = F_{root} / , F_{wind}$$
(1)
where M root is the root failure moment, M wind is the wind resultant moment. Root anti-lodging index indicates the ability of plants to resist root lodging. The larger its value is, the stronger the resistance is, and vice versa.$${text{M}}_{root} = F , *d$$
(2)
where F is the max root side-pulling resistance, d is moment arm, i.e., the length of force arm. As a component of root anti-lodging index, the root failure moment represents the ability of the root system to resist lateral pulling. The greater its value is, the better the resistance is, and vice versa.With the base of the stem as the fulcrum,$${text{M}}_{wind} = sum 0.{5}CA_{i} rho V^{2} h_{i}$$
(3)
where C is coefficient of air resistance, ρ is air mass density ,V is the wind speed , Ai is the area of a single leaf , hi is the height of leaf, ∑ represents to sum up over all leaves. C value is set to be 0.219. When encountering wind speed at grade 6 or higher, maize is more prone to lodging. Unless stated explicitly, the following analysis was limited to the upper wind speed for grade 6 wind20.Root morphological traitsThe number and length of all primary nodal roots were measured. Root-soil balls each of two or three tested plants were obtained after lateral root-pulling testing. The images of the three frontal sides, 120 degrees apart from each other, of the root-soil balls were taken using a digital camera. Ball volumes were then evaluated by considering them to be rotationally symmetric. Average volumes were used for further analysis.Single root tensile resistanceRoots after counting the number of nodal roots were used to measure the single root tensile resistance. First, clean the dust off roots. Then, diameters of roots were determined with a vernier caliper. Single root tensile resistance was measured by HF-500 digital push–pull apparatus. Fixed the upper and lower ends of the root, then one end moved slowly and uniformly, the other end was still until the root breaks. The peak tension force displayed by the instrument was taken as the single root tensile resistance.Statistical analysisBased on variance analysis, the Tukey method was used to compare the differences among means. The logarithmic transformation of variables was carried out to improve the homogeneity of error variance if appropriate.The substantive effect or influence of various factors on the response variable can be expressed by effect size of factors, which can be calculated under the framework of variance analysis. Effect size is the proportion of the effect of a certain factor in the total effect, which is a dimensionless number21,22,23.The formula for calculating effect size of factors is:$$omega^{2} = frac{{df_{effect} times left( {MS_{effect} – MS_{error} } right)}}{{SS_{total} + MS_{error} }}$$
(4)
where df is the degree of freedom, MS represents mean square.Two conceptual models were used when dealing with effect size. One model was of components, i.e., taking the logarithm of both sides of Eq. (1):$${text{LOG}}left( {{text{AL}}_{{{text{root}}}} } right) , = {text{ LOG}}left( {{text{M}}_{{{text{root}}}} } right) , + {text{ LOG}}left( {{text{M}}_{{{text{wind}}}} } right)$$
(5)
where LOG denotes logarithmic transformation.The other was the factorial model, i.e.,$${text{factors affecting AL}}_{{{text{root}}}} = {text{ wind grade }} + {text{ cultivar }} + {text{ growth stage}}$$
(6)
Experimental research and field studies on plants including the collection of plant materialThe authors declare that the cultivation of plants and carrying out study in Chengyang Agricultural Experimental Station complies with all relevant institutional, national and international guidelines and treaties.Statement of permissions and/or licenses for collection of plant or seed specimensThe authors declare that the seed specimens used in this study are publicly accessible seed materials and we were given explicit written permission to use them for this research. More

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More than three billion people rely on the ocean to make a living, most of whom are in developing countries. For some 17% of the world’s population, fisheries and aquaculture provide the main source of animal protein. For the least-developed countries, fish contributes about 29% of animal protein intake; in other developing countries, it accounts for 19%1.As the global population increases, the demand for seafood is expected to rise, too. Already, Africa and Asia have seen fish production double over the past few decades. Globally, fish consumption is set to rise by around 15% by 20302.Although ocean ecosystems are strained by climate change, overfishing and more, studies nevertheless suggest that seafood can be expanded sustainably to meet future food demands3. Last year, international efforts promoting this approach included the Blue Food Assessment (a joint initiative of 25 research institutions) and the United Nations Food Systems Summit.Success will depend on small-scale fisheries. Small operations tend to deliver both food and income directly to the people who need them most, and locals have a strong incentive to make their practices sustainable. What’s more, these fisheries can be remarkably efficient. Almost everything that hand-to-mouth fisheries catch is consumed. By contrast, around 20% of the fish caught by industrial fleets is estimated to be wasted, mainly because of unwanted by-catch4. So, whereas large-scale operators land more fish, small-scale fisheries provide a larger share of the fish that is actually consumed.Small fishers rarely have the right resources to expand their operations, or even to survive. If they do scale up, they might lose some of their current advantages or engage in the same harmful practices as do large commercial fisheries. Managed with care, however, small fisheries could provide win–wins for livelihoods and the environment. Making this happen should be high on the agenda at the UN Ocean Conference in Lisbon this month.As someone who has studied food security and policymaking for decades, here I suggest ways to support and strengthen artisanal fishing operations.Small reformsThe potential and importance of small-scale fisheries has been increasingly recognized over the past decade. In 2014, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) provided voluntary guidelines to support sustainable small-scale fisheries, aimed at improving food security and eradicating poverty. A forthcoming report by the FAO, Duke University in Durham, North Carolina, and the non-profit organization WorldFish, headquartered in Penang, Malaysia, will conclude a remarkable initiative to collate case studies, questionnaire results and data sets to help get fishers a seat at policymakers’ tables. The UN General Assembly has declared 2022 the International Year of Artisanal Fisheries and Aquaculture.Most nations already have management policies for marine ecosystems that provide for small-scale fisheries. In India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Sri Lanka, for example, there is a ban on trawling within about 8 kilometres of the coastline to prevent industrial fishers from scooping up large catches, which protects those regions for local fishers. Countries such as Costa Rica ease access by exempting small-scale fisheries from licences, and Angola exempts subsistence and artisanal fishers from paying licensing fees5.But this is not enough. Small-scale fishers’ rights to access are often poorly defined, ineffectively enforced or unfairly distributed4. The boundaries of exclusive economic zones (EEZs) — the parts of the coast belonging to a given nation — are often poorly policed, and large-scale vessels regularly swoop in and take sea life through bottom trawling, something that small fishers seldom practice. Large-scale bottom-trawlers account for 26% of the global fisheries catch, with more than 99% of that occurring in the EEZs of coastal countries6. Even when there are well-meaning policies to protect local fishers, foreign vessels can take advantage. For instance, a 2018 investigation by the Environmental Justice Foundation in London found that around 90% of Ghana’s industrial fishing fleet was linked to Chinese ownership, despite Ghanaian laws expressly forbidding foreign ownership or control of its boats. Clearer definitions of the terms fisher, fishing and fishing vessel to make provisions for small-scale operators could help, in part, to avoid such abuse.Government subsidies also require reform. One estimate found that large-scale fishers receive about three-and-a-half times more subsidies than small-scale fishers do7. This widens the existing advantages of large operations in terms of vessels and gear, infrastructure (including cold storage), processing capacity and access to cheap fuel. By giving large-scale fishers the capacity to catch even more, it can have the perverse effect of encouraging overfishing8. Instead, subsidies and other funds should be directed towards small-scale fishers to let them expand their access to markets, while keeping them from adopting the negative practices of large-scale operations.More for consumptionThe total global loss and waste from fisheries is estimated at between 30% and 35% annually1. This could increase as smaller operations broaden their markets. A 2015 estimate of the Volta Basin coast in West Africa attributed 65% of fish-production losses to a lack of technology and good manufacturing practices, and to a lack of infrastructure such as decent roads and cold storage9. The study found that fish were rarely lost to physical damage during the process; most waste resulted from spoilage. Such losses limit the sale of fish locally and to distant markets.Public and private investment in cold-storage facilities and processing equipment (such as for drying, fermentation, pickling or smoking) could help. Current funding for fishery conservation projects comes from development partners, regional banks, the World Bank, private foundations and other agencies — with some entities also providing microloans to small-scale fisheries — but these efforts are uncoordinated and inadequate.One promising strategy is to pair international or national funding with direct contracts for feeding programmes linked to schools, hospitals and similar facilities. Such arrangements would provide small fisheries with large, consistent markets and storage infrastructure that boosts local consumption and does not incentivize overfishing.

Artisanal fishers at a fish-processing cooperative in Santa Rosa de Salinas, Ecuador.Credit: Camilo Pareja/AFP/Getty

Other strategies pair local fishers with conservation efforts. As fishing operations scale up, fish entrails and other waste cannot simply be thrown into the sea: care must be taken not to contaminate the environment. One option is to fund ecosystem-restoration projects that also benefit local fisheries. For example, the Mikoko Pamoja (Mangroves Together) project in Gazi Bay, Kenya, restores and conserves degraded mangrove forests, which act as nurseries for young fish. The restoration thus earns saleable carbon credits while enhancing nearby fishery grounds for the local community.Consumers could support small fisheries by buying local, because shorter supply chains mean more income for the fishers. The use of ecolabels — which seek to promote sustainably managed fisheries by certifying that a product has a reduced environmental impact — could also encourage consumer adoption, and help consumers to make informed choices.However, such certification is costly to obtain and maintain, and requires compliance, monitoring and reporting. Certification can distort market opportunities, effectively excluding small enterprises from entering international markets. These programmes can also have unintended consequences: most certification programmes focus on environmental sustainability and pay less attention to social responsibility elements, such as fairness in access to resources, markets and wages.Instead, simple incentive programmes could be implemented by funders, managers and local governments trying to promote sustainable fisheries. For example, local markets could display a rating system for individual fishers or small entrepreneurs. This could include various elements of sustainability other than environmental ones — such as providing information on the type of fishing gear, location of the catch and freshness. Promoting the rating as a social responsibility concept would inform consumers of the need to support sustainable fisheries. The rating system could be conducted by community members trained in inspection and enforcement.Local controlDiverse efforts are needed to protect small fisheries’ access and to boost local consumption and reduce waste, and must be tailored to local community conditions. The 2021 UN Food Systems Summit was a ‘people’s summit’ that elevated roles for Indigenous peoples and civil-society groups, yet the voice of fishing communities was notably absent.Few governments take an integrated approach to the development, implementation and enforcement of policies. For example, policies governing urban development tend not to consider the implications on the ocean, fish and fishers. In the late 2000s, for instance, fishers were initially denied access to traditional public fishing zones along the beach front in Durban, South Africa, following upgrades to the port and the development of a private marina and hotel. (Fishers later reclaimed some of the zones after protests and engagement with the authorities10.)Cooperatives can help on several fronts: by coordinating fishing activities, sharing information (about weather, sea conditions or fish movement) and advocating effectively for human and social rights. For instance, CoopeSoliDar, a small-scale fisheries management cooperative in San José, Costa Rica, has helped to strengthen collective action to sustainably use molluscs, alleviate poverty and strengthen the representation of women and young people in community decision-making. Governments can help by creating a legal framework to establish cooperatives and include them in decisions to manage marine resources.Local communities can also stand up for themselves. For example, a class action by a group of 5,000 artisanal fishers in South Africa in 2004 argued against a policy they said did not give them recognition or access to food and fishing rights that were established in the country’s constitution. The court ruled in the group’s favour in 2007, and the resulting legal framework granted small-scale fishers collective community fishing rights, recognizing community members as bona fide fishers11.Integrated inputsSmall fisheries do not operate in isolation. Unlike terrestrial resources, the ocean is an extensive, global commons without clear territorial boundaries. Issues as diverse as climate change, ocean acidification, overfishing and pollution by nutrients and plastics and other chemicals all affect local fishers. But such system interactions get scant attention when fisheries policies focus on a single seafood stock or individual fishing area.Whereas the concept of integrated land management has been part of the development agenda for a few decades, integrated marine management is only now emerging. To work, it must involve all relevant stakeholders, including small-scale fishers.A context-specific strategy in the Seychelles is a leading example of such integration. Communities, financing partners and the government worked together to create the Seychelles Marine Spatial Plan Initiative, which protects 30% of the archipelago’s waters and boosts climate resilience. The Seychelles faces significant threats from rising sea levels and warmer air and water temperatures that put fisheries, infrastructure, tourism and its rich biodiversity at risk.In an example in the Coral Triangle region (encompassing Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, the Philippines, the Solomon Islands and East Timor), local communities gave their input to a marine protection plan. This led to a greater understanding of how practices such as overfishing and taking undersized stock sustains marine and coastal resources, and how managing these helps to address food security, climate change and threats to marine biodiversity. Such cooperation between fishing communities and governments in managing marine protected areas is essential to the preservation of future fish stocks (see go.nature.com/3xvkqxj).Fishers should be actively engaged in relevant meetings held by the UN and national and local councils, so that they can weigh in on matters that affect fishing access, their livelihoods and environmental concerns. Both fishers and organizers must help to build empowerment mechanisms to make sure their voices are heard, such as providing translation services and scheduling meetings at accessible locations. This is important not just for the fishers’ human rights, but also because much can be learnt from artisanal fishers’ local knowledge.Moves that would, for instance, restrict the fishing season or areas so that stocks or biodiversity can recover should include compensation mechanisms that will secure fishers’ cooperation and livelihoods. Social-protection measures such as food and income assistance can also help to tide fishers over.When fish swim in schools, they move more efficiently, forage better and are protected from predators. The same might be said for small-scale fishers, but those networks should extend to local and international communities, too. Collaborative problem-solving and an integrated food system can deliver seafood protein, sustainably, to a world that increasingly needs it. More

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In our simulations for the autotrophs, we varied two of the three trade-off properties (level of defence, plasticity costs and defence costs; see Fig. 1b) at a time and kept the third one constant. This results in three constellations reflecting three different trade-offs between these properties (Table 1):

parallel: trade-off between defence and plasticity costs;

crossing: trade-off between defence costs and plasticity costs;

angle: trade-off between defence and defence costs.

Table 1 Description of the three constellations parallel, crossing, and angle defining the position of the four phenotypes in the trait space of defence and growth rate.Full size tableIn all three constellations, the autotrophic species B spanned the entire defence range, i.e. it had a completely undefended phenotype Bu and a maximally defended phenotype Bd. A either had a more limited defence range (in constellations parallel and angle) or spanned the entire range as well (in constellation crossing), representing three distinct ways that the trade-off between defence, growth rate, and plasticity range may play out. For each constellation, we varied the maximum switching rate χmax over 5 orders of magnitude to investigate the effect of plasticity (Table 1, middle row). This parameter determines how rapidly a species can switch between phenotypes (see “Methods”, “Exchange rates”); higher values indicate faster adaptation. These results were also compared with a non-plastic baseline scenario where both phenotypes of each species are presented but χmax = 0 (Table 1, upper row), as well as a rigid scenario where the species have only a single phenotype (Table 1, bottom row). All parameters and their values can be found in Supplementary Table S1.In the following, we give a detailed description of the results for constellation parallel, where the autotroph species A and B have the same defence costs resulting in parallel trade-off lines between defence and growth rate, while varying the level of defence for A and varying the plasticity costs for B (Table 1, left column). We start with examining patterns for the phenotype biomasses, coexistence and community stability in the non-plastic baseline scenario “parallel 0”, and then compare the corresponding scenarios with a low exchange rate (“parallel 0.01”) and a high exchange rate (“parallel 1”). We next discuss the other two constellations (crossing and angle, Table 1) more briefly. Finally, we generalize across all scenarios and focus on the coexistence, the degree of maladaptive switching, and the consumer and total autotroph biomasses.Non-plastic baseline dynamics: scenario parallel 0
In this scenario, four single phenotypes unconnected by exchange compete with each other. Thus, species coexistence here depends entirely on phenotype coexistence: the trade-offs have to be such that for each species, at least one phenotype is a good enough competitor to survive. Which phenotypes survive depend on the two trade-off parameters, defence of the defended phenotype of species A (dAu) and plasticity costs for species B (pcB), which thus determine whether coexistence is possible.The defence costs were kept constant at an intermediate value of 0.3 for both species, resulting in parallel trade-off lines (Table 1, scenario “parallel 0”). The undefended phenotype of A, Au, is a growth-specialist with the highest growth rate of all phenotypes. The defended phenotype of the same species, Ad, has a defence between 0 and 0.9 and a relatively high growth rate, and can be viewed as a generalist. Species B has variable plasticity costs that lower the growth rate of both phenotypes. The defended phenotype of species B, Bd, has the lowest growth rate of all phenotypes but is very well-defended, and thus a defence-specialist. Its undefended phenotype, Bu, is as undefended as Au but has a lower growth rate; it is thus always an inferior competitor and inevitably goes extinct (Fig. 2c).Figure 2Biomasses, coexistence and trait space for scenario parallel 0. Biomasses of the four autotrophic phenotypes (a–d), their coexistence patterns (e), the consumer biomass (f) and the autotrophs’ trait values (g–j) (higher biomasses are shown by darker colours). Lines in (a–f) separate the regions I–III of different coexistence patterns. Note that in (a–f), the y-axis is reversed to show increasing fitness along all axes. An exemplary trait combination for every region is shown in (g–j); larger symbols indicate the surviving phenotypes. Shaded areas in (e) depict oscillating systems (quarter-lag predator–prey cycles in dense shading, antiphase cycles in loose shading).Full size imageAs Bu never survives, coexistence of the autotroph species requires the survival of defence-specialist Bd. Bd can only survive if Ad is not too defended, because Ad has a higher growth rate than Bd and will outcompete Bd in the “defended” niche otherwise (region Ib; Fig. 2d,h). A second criterion is that the plasticity costs for B must not be too high, because then the benefits of the defence of Bd no longer outweigh the costs, and it will go extinct even if there are no other highly defended phenotypes around (region Ia; Fig. 2d,g). In the regions where Bd goes extinct, species coexistence is not possible (Fig. 2e). The generalist Ad either survives by itself (region Ia in Fig. 2b,g) if its defence is low to intermediate, or together with the growth-specialist Au if its defence is high (region Ib in Fig. 2a,b,h). In the regions II and III where Bd survives, it never survives on its own, but always together with one of the phenotypes of A. It coexists with the growth-specialist Au if the plasticity costs are very low (region II in Fig. 2,i), and together with Ad if they are low to intermediate (region III in Fig. 2,j). These two regions do support species coexistence (Fig. 2e).In three of the four regions (Ib, II and III in Fig. 2f), consumer biomass is low, because the final community always contains a well-defended phenotype (Ad in region Ib, and Bd in regions II and III); the overall level of defence of the community is relatively high in these regions (Supplementary Figure S1). Conversely, consumer biomass is relatively high in region Ia, because the only surviving autotroph phenotype is relatively fast-growing and fairly undefended (Fig. 2f,g). The regions where a well-defended phenotype survives often show antiphase cycles (Ib, II and III in Fig. 2e). These cycles do not occur in the region where only Ad survives (Ia in Fig. 2e); but regular quarter-lag predator–prey cycles can be found here if Ad is almost entirely undefended.While the community defence (i.e. mean defence of the autotroph community) depends strongly on the coexisting phenotypes, the community growth rate is roughly constant because over the entire trait space, at least one phenotype with a high growth rate always survives (Supplementary Figure S1). The standing variance of the community defence was high when two phenotypes coexist as they occupy different niches along the defence axis (Fig. 2h–j). In contrast, the variance of the community growth rate was very low and almost constant across all regions.Effect of phenotypic plasticityEven a little bit of plasticity in the scenario parallel 0.01 (χmax = 0.01) can change the above patterns for coexistence, stability, and average consumer biomass (Fig. 3a–d). While the autotrophs are intuitively expected to benefit from being plastic, the effect of plasticity on consumer biomass always turned out to be positive (Fig. 3a). This may be explained by the fact that switching was always, on average, maladaptive (Fig. 3c,d), measured by the adaptation index Φ (see Eqs. (11–13) in “Methods”). This index combines information on the net “flow” of individuals due to switching (i.e. whether more undefended individuals switch to defended or vice versa) with the fitness difference between the two phenotypes, and thus measures whether overall, more individuals switch from a low-fitness to a high-fitness phenotype (adaptive) or the reverse (maladaptive). This index can approach zero, but is always negative at equilibrium (see Appendix B), indicating maladaptive switching.Figure 3Consumer biomass, autotroph coexistence and maladaptive switching for the scenarios parallel 0.01 (a–d) and parallel 1 (e–h). Consumer biomass (a,e), the autotroph coexistence patterns (b,f), and the autotrophs’ maladaptive switching Φ (c,d,g,h) (higher biomasses or more intensive maladaptive switching are shown by darker colours). Lines separate the regions I–III of different autotroph coexistence. The y-axis is reversed to follow the pattern of increasing fitness. Grey areas in (c,d,g,h) depict areas where the species was extinct. Shaded areas in b and f depict oscillating systems (quarter-lag predator–prey cycles in dense shading, antiphase cycles in loose shading).Full size imageThe most striking effect of plasticity was on coexistence, which was affected both positively and negatively by plasticity in different regions of the parameter space (Fig. 3b, Supplementary Figure S4a–d). A negative effect on coexistence is seen in region II, where the autotroph species previously coexisted (Fig. 2e), while with plasticity, B outcompeted A (Fig. 3b). Without plasticity, coexistence was possible in this region because Au and Bd survived; importantly, Au outcompeted Bu due to its higher growth rate, even though the difference between their growth rates is very small in this region (Fig. 2i). Plasticity reverses the competitive exclusion pattern between the two undefended phenotypes: Bu receives a constant flow of biomass from the well-defended Bd, which compensates for its slightly lower growth rate and allows it to outcompete Au. Thus, coexistence is reduced as a direct consequence of maladaptive switching.Plasticity can also promote coexistence, as the coexistence region now extends into former region Ib where the generalist Ad is highly defended (Fig. 2b, Supplementary Figure S1a). This is also an effect of maladaptive switching, though in this case the effect is indirect, mediated through the effect of plasticity on consumer biomass. Without plasticity, coexistence was impossible in region Ib because Bd was always outcompeted by Ad: even though the latter had a slightly lower level of defence, this was outweighed by its higher growth rate, making Ad the superior competitor over Bd. However, plasticity changes this because maladaptive switching increases the consumer biomass, which in turn alters the cost/ benefit balance of defence: Bd derives a stronger benefit from its high level of defence, which now outweighs the cost and allows it to survive. Coexistence through this mechanism is not possible when the plasticity costs for B are too high or when Ad is too well-defended, explaining the narrowing of the coexistence “tail” for high defence of Ad (Fig. 3b).While the patterns of coexistence changed when allowing for plasticity, the patterns in the trait values were nearly indistinguishable from the previous scenario (Supplementary Figure S1, S2). Finally, plasticity had a strong impact on the community dynamics, as most of the antiphase cycles were stabilized (Ib, II, III in Fig. 3b). Their area decreased sharply as these cycles were characterized by asynchronous dynamics between the two prey phenotypes, which were reduced by plasticity. In contrast, the area of the quarter-lag predator–prey cycles remained unaffected by plasticity.All the above patterns were found to a far stronger degree with a higher amount of plasticity (χmax = 1; Fig. 3e–h, Supplementary Figure S4e–h). Consumer biomass increased strongly everywhere (cf. Fig. 3a,e), reflecting the strong increase in the degree of maladaptive switching (cf. Fig. 3c,d,g,h). The higher exchange rates led to more synchronization between the phenotypes, extinguishing the antiphase cycles completely (Fig. 3f). It also decreased the biomass of both defended phenotypes (cf. Supplementary Figure S4b,d,f,h). This in turn led to a lower community defence and a higher community growth rate (Supplementary Figure S3) both contributing to a higher consumer biomass. Finally, there was a sharp decrease in the coexistence region for high plasticity (Fig. 3e). Region II, where B outcompetes A through maladaptive switching, doubled in size due to the much higher degree of maladaptive switching (Fig. 3g,h). Region I, where A outcompetes B, now also increased, when the level of defence of Ad is relatively low (Fig. 3e). This is again an indirect effect of maladaptive switching causing a strong increase in consumer biomass, affecting the cost/ benefit balance of defence: while Bd derives a strong benefit from its high level of defence, Bu is completely undefended, and is at an extra disadvantage because of its low growth rate. Thus, while Bd would have been able to survive by itself, the high exchange rate causes a strong source-sink dynamic that drives B extinct.Effect of plasticity in constellations crossing and angle
In constellation crossing the trade-off lines of both species cross in the trait space, as the level of defence is the same for both defended phenotypes; species B has a lower growth rate for its undefended phenotype than species A due to plasticity costs, while its defence costs are low and thus the growth rate of its defended phenotype is higher than for species A (Table 1, Supplementary Figure S5). Without plasticity the crossing trade-off lines lead to coexistence of both species in all simulations as Au and Bd were always the only survivors, mostly showing antiphase oscillations (Supplementary Figure S5).Allowing for phenotypic plasticity has the same results as were observed for constellation parallel: consumer biomass sharply increases (Fig. 4a,e); antiphase cycles are dampened or absent; and the area of coexistence decreases (Fig. 4b,f). All these changes are more pronounced for higher exchange rates (cf. Fig. 4a,b,e,f). Again, the biomass of the defended phenotypes decreased for high exchange rates (Supplementary Figure S6). Switching was always maladaptive for high exchange rates (Fig. 4g,h), and mostly maladaptive for low exchange rates (Fig. 4c,d). As was seen for constellation parallel, maladaptive switching was the reason for the decrease in coexistence. B can outcompete A when B has low plasticity costs. Bd has a much higher growth rate than Ad, while the undefended phenotypes have similar growth rates. The direction of competitive exclusion between Au and Bu is thus easily reversed by Bd donating biomass to the sink Bu, allowing B to occupy both niches and outcompete A (region II in Fig. 4b,f). The same mechanism happens in reverse for high plasticity and defence costs of B: the differences in growth rate for the undefended phenotypes are high, while the defended phenotypes have very similar growth rates. Au can support Ad, and A outcompetes B (region III in Fig. 4b,f).Figure 4Coexistence and maladaptive switching for scenario crossing 0.01 (a-d) and crossing 1 (e–h). Consumer biomass (a,e), the autotroph coexistence patterns (b,f), and the autotrophs’ maladaptive switching Φ (c,d,g,h) (higher biomasses or more intensive maladaptive switching are shown by darker colours). Lines separate the regions I–III of different autotroph coexistence. The x- and y-axis are reversed to follow the pattern of increasing fitness. Shaded areas in (b) depict antiphase cycles. Grey areas in (c,d,g,h) depict areas where the species was extinct. Shaded grey areas depict areas without simulations (cf. “Methods”). Note that (c,d,g,h) have each a different colour scale.Full size imageIn constellation angle there are no plasticity costs, and thus the undefended phenotypes Au and Bu have identical growth rates. The defended phenotypes take the same places in trait space as in the parallel constellation: Ad is a generalist, with a lower level of defence and a relatively high growth rate due to low defence costs, whereas Bd is a defence-specialist with a high level of defence but a low growth rate. This leads to the trade-off lines forming an angle (see Table 1). Without phenotypic plasticity, the coexistence patterns are the same as in constellation parallel, except that no competitive exclusion occurs between the undefended phenotypes; instead, they (neutrally) coexist in regions Ib, II and III (Supplementary Figure S7; cf. Fig. 2).With plasticity, neutral coexistence vanished: the defended phenotype that survived (Ad in region Ib, Bd in region III) could support the undefended phenotype of its own species, driving the other species extinct (Fig. 5b,f). As in the other constellations, the area of coexistence and the biomasses of the defended phenotypes decreased and antiphase cycles vanished with increasing χmax (Fig. 5b,f, Supplementary Figure S8), while maladaptive switching and the consumer biomass increased (Fig. 5).Figure 5Coexistence and maladaptive switching for scenario angle 0.01 (a–d) and angle 1 (e–h). Consumer biomass (a,e), the autotroph coexistence patterns (b,f), and the autotrophs’ maladaptive switching Φ (c,d,g,h) (higher biomasses or more intensive maladaptive switching are shown by darker colours). Lines separate the regions I–III of different autotroph coexistence. The y-axis is reversed to follow the pattern of increasing fitness. Shaded areas in (b) depict antiphase cycles. Grey areas in (c,d,g,h) depict areas where the species was extinct. Note that (c,d,g,h) have each a different colour scale.Full size imageGeneral resultsAs plasticity had very similar effects across all three constellations, we here generalize our results: we compare the three constellations for exchange rates over 5 orders of magnitude, as well as the non-plastic scenario and the rigid scenario (Table 1). That is, all simulations from one scenario (e.g. parallel 0) were summarized into one bar respective point in Fig. 6.Figure 6General patterns for coexistence, maladapative switching and biomasses. Share of surviving species in percent (A, B, coexistence or neutral coexistence) (a–c), median absolute value of maladaptive switching Φ (d–f) and median of total autotroph biomass (A + B), median consumer biomass C and share of defended phenotypes ((Ad + Bd)/(A + B)) (g–i) for the three constellations and increasing maximum exchange rates χmax. χmax = 0 denotes the non-plastic scenarios; *denotes the rigid scenarios. Maladaptive switching and the share of defended phenotypes do not apply for the rigid scenarios.Full size imageFor all constellations, the fraction of simulation runs leading to coexistence was highest in the non-plastic scenario and decreased with increasing χmax (Fig. 6a–c). In constellation parallel the share of coexistence for increasing χmax continuously decreased from 51 to 3% (Fig. 6a). In crossing, the share decreased from full to no coexistence (Fig. 6b). In angle, the share of coexistence was 88% in the non-plastic scenario when taking also neutral coexistence into account (Fig. 6c). Its share decreased to 9% for a χmax of 10 and increased again to 25% for the rigid scenario. Maladaptive switching increased for both species and all constellations for increasing χmax (Fig. 6d–f). The increased plasticity led to a lower total autotroph biomass and a lower share of defended phenotypes (Fig. 6g–i), which resulted in higher consumer biomass (Fig. 6g–i).Interestingly, and counterintuitively, the above patterns show that increasing the speed of plasticity (by increasing χmax) makes the system behave more like the rigid system. The coexistence patterns in scenarios with high χmax approach those of the rigid scenarios in two of the constellations (Fig. 6a,b). Similarly, the total autotroph and consumer biomasses approach the ones in the rigid scenarios (Fig. 6g–i). Thus, we found the higher χmax make the autotrophs not more adaptive, but behave more like non-adaptive species. More