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    Grass species identity shapes communities of root and leaf fungi more than elevation

    Study sitesWe sampled foliar fungal endophytes and root fungi (root endophytes and AM fungi) in the Colorado Rockies at the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory, Gunnison Co., Colorado, USA (38°57’N, 106°59’W). This region has predictable decreases in air temperature (c. 0.8 °C per 100 m; [40]) and declines in soil nutrients with altitude [41], but increases in precipitation, mainly as snow [42]. The entire region is warming at rates of 0.5–1.0 °C per decade [43].To capture environmental, spatial, and grass-host specific variation in fungal guilds, we sampled 66 sites encompassing 9–13 elevations from each of six altitudinal gradients in July 2014 (Supplementary Table S1, Supplementary Fig. S1). Elevational gradients represented separate mountains in the Gunnison Basin and were located within 20 km of each other. We created a regional climate model to interpolate average number of growing degree days (GDD, base 0 °C), mean annual temperature (MAT), maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), mean annual precipitation (MAP), and mean snow depth (MSD) for each site based on data from 29 local meteorological stations [44]. At each site, soil edaphic parameters were measured on dried soil at the UC Davis soils lab (see [24] for more details) and soil nutrients at Western Ag (Saskatoon, Canada). Soil pH was measured in a 1:1 solution with diH2O, and soil moisture was measured gravimetrically. Physical characteristics of each site (e.g., aspect, soil depth, elevation) were measured as described in Lynn et al. [44]. Environmental variation across sites was large. For example, MAT varied from 7.1 to 13.3 °C, MAP from 563 to 1171 mm, and Total N from 2 to 316 ug/g dry soil (Table S1).Host plant speciesWe focused on grasses because grasslands cover ~20% of Earth’s land surface [45] and dominate subalpine meadows of the Rocky Mountains. In addition, individual grass species spanned the entire elevational range of our study system [46], whereas tree, shrub, and forb species did not. At each location, we sampled nine adult individuals from up to 13 grass species representing five genera (Poaceae, subfamily Pooideae; Supplementary Table S1). Many sites had fewer than 13 grass species present, but all sites, except for two, had at least two grass species. Samples were composited by tissue type (leaves v. roots) and grass species within each site.Fungal compositionCollected root and leaf samples were surface sterilized (1 min in 95% ethanol, 2 min in 1% sodium hypochlorite solution, and 2 min in 70% ethanol) over ice to focus on the endophytic fungal community [34]. Following surface sterilization, samples were rinsed in purified water (Milli-Q Integral Water Purification System, EMD Millipore Corporation, Billerica, MA), stored in RNAlater, and refrigerated. All samples were then frozen in liquid nitrogen and ground using a mortar and pestle. Total DNA was extracted from ~50 mg of ground sample using QIAGEN DNeasy plant extraction kits (QIAGEN Inc., Valencia, CA).Fungal composition was characterized using barcoded primers targeting the ITS2 region for leaf and root endophytes [47], and FLR3-FLR4 primers targeting ~300 bp in the 28S region for AMF [48]. Each PCR contained 5 μL of ~1–10 ng/μL DNA template, 21.5 μL of Platinum PCR SuperMix (Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., Waltham, MA), 1.25 μL of each primer (10 μM), 1.25 μL of 20 mg/mL BSA, and 0.44 μL of 25 mM MgCl2. For the ITS2 primers, the reactions included an initial denaturing step at 96 °C for 2 min, followed by 24 cycles of 94 °C for 30 sec, 51 °C for 40 s, and 72 °C for 2 min, with a final extension at 72 °C for 10 min. For the 28S primers, reactions started with an initial denaturing step at 93 °C for 5 min, followed by 33 cycles of 93 °C for 1 min, 55 °C for 1 min, and 72 °C for 1 min, with a final extension at 72 °C for 10 min.Three PCR replicates from each sample were pooled and then cleaned and concentrated using a ZR-96 DNA Clean & Concentrator-5 (Zymo Research Corporation, Irvine, CA). PCR was then carried out on all samples to add dual indexes and Illumina sequencing adaptors; each reaction began with an initial denaturing step at 98 °C for 30 s, followed by 7 cycles of 98 °C for 30 s, 62 °C for 30 s, and 72 °C for 30 s, with a final extension at 72 °C for 5 min. Sequencing was performed by the Genomic Sequencing and Analysis Facility at The University of Texas at Austin using paired-end 250 base Illumina MiSeq v.3 chemistry (Illumina, Inc., San Diego, CA). We aimed to obtain a minimum of 30,000 reads/sample for the ITS2 region and 20,000 reads/sample for the 28S region. All sequences are deposited in the NCBI SRA database under accession number (PRJNA639093).BioinformaticsWe processed reads to generate OTUs using commands from USEARCH (v9.2.64). Reads from previous studies [24] and this study were clustered together to improve OTU delineations for a total of 36,754,931 reads. We merged paired-end reads using the fastq_mergepairs from USEARCH with “fastq_maxdiffs” set to 20 and “fastq_maxdiffpct” set to 10 to ensure proper merging at a low error rate. The merged reads and the forward unmerged reads were trimmed at the primer sites using cutadapt with “e” set to 0.2, “m” set to 200, and untrimmed reads were discarded. Merged reads were filtered using fastq_filter from USEARCH with “fastq_maxee” set to 1.0. The forward reads were first trimmed to 230 using fastx_truncate from USEARCH with “trunclen” set to 230 and then filtered by fastq_filter from USEARCH with “fastq_maxee” set to 1.0. We then concatenated the merged and forward reads into one file and de-replicated using fastx_uniques from USEARCH with “minuniquesize” set to 2. After these steps, 11,357,274 sequences remained. We clustered these sequences to form OTUs at 97% similarity [49] using cluster_otus command from UPARSE. The reads (all reads before filtering step) of each sample were mapped to OTUs with usearch_global from USEARCH with “id” set to 0.97. We determined taxonomy for the representative OTUs using sintax from USEARCH with the database set to UNITE all eukaryotes (v. 8.2) “strand” set to both and “sintax_cutoff” set to 0.8 [50]. Representative OTUs were also blasted against Genbank with “perc_identity” set to 80 and “max_target_seqs” set to 50. All OTUs identified as “fungi” were retained, and OTUs labeled as “unknown” or “unidentified” were manually inspected based on blast results to determine retention. Our filtering criteria left between 5 and 418 OTUs per sample (Supplementary Table S2).Due to low fungal abundance in leaves [34], many leaf samples were dominated by plant sequences (average ~78% plant reads). Therefore, fungal sequence numbers in leaf samples were low, despite adequate sequencing depth to capture trends in fungal endophyte communities across sites based on prior analyses [24, 34, 35]. We included only samples that contained at least 50 fungal sequences after data processing (Leaves N = 192, Roots N = 191, AMF N = 251), and most samples had much greater sequencing depth, especially for roots (Supplementary Table S2). Nevertheless, there were no correlations between sequence read depth and richness, alpha diversity, or evenness of our samples (P  > 0.05 in all cases), and plant species did not differ in the average sequencing depth for samples (P  > 0.05). Data for each fungal OTU were transformed to the proportion of total sequence abundance to minimize any differences in sampling effort [51].Diversity and compositionWe calculated the alpha diversity metrics of richness, Shannon’s Diversity, Inverse Simpson’s Diversity, and Pielou’s Evenness. For each fungal guild, differences among plant species and elevation in alpha diversity were first determined using a general linear mixed effects model with plant species (categorical) and elevation (continuous) as fixed effects and site nested within elevation gradient (e.g., mountain identity, Supplementary Table S1, Supplementary Fig. S1) as random effects to account for the lack of statistical independence among plant species sampled at the same site and among sites located within the same mountain elevation gradient (Supplementary Fig. S1). Models were constructed using the lmer function in R package lme4 [52, 53]. To address, do fungal community patterns along environmental gradients differ among guilds: leaf endophytes, root endophytes, or arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi?, we then compared alpha diversity metrics among fungal guilds using a general linear mixed effects model with fungal guild, plant species, and elevation as fixed effects and site nested within elevation gradient as random effects. In all models, we evaluated parameter fit with analysis of deviance using Wald chi-square tests and corrected for multiple comparisons using a false discovery alpha of 0.05. Differences among grass species were determined using Tukey post-hoc tests.Because elevation is a good proxy for variation in both climate and soil parameters (Supplementary Table S1), in all community analyses, we first ran models with grass species and elevation to parse biotic versus abiotic influences on fungal OTUs, then secondly ran full variance partitioning models with all environmental covariates (Supplementary Table S1, climate, physical, soil) in addition to grass species identity and space (gradient location, Supplementary Fig. S1). Because leaf and root endophytes were sequenced using different primers than AM fungi, we could not compare composition among the three guilds directly. Instead, we compared the relative influence of biotic and abiotic drivers on fungal composition within each guild to compare patterns among guilds. To do so, we first used distance-based redundancy analysis (dbRDA) to analyze the effects of plant host species and elevation on fungal composition for general fungal communities in leaves and roots and separately for AM fungal communities in roots. All models were run on quantitative Jaccard indices of fungal composition for each guild and included site nested within elevation gradient (e.g., mountain side, Supplementary Fig. S1) as random effects. Second, to evaluate which environmental variables most strongly influenced fungal composition, we further partitioned variance in fungal composition due to grass species, climate variables (MAP, MAT, MSD, Tmax, Tmin, and GDD), soil variables (total nitrogen, total phosphorus, nitrate, ammonium, calcium, magnesium, potassium, iron, manganese, sulfur, aluminum, soil pH, soil gravimetric moisture content), physical variables (aspect degree, aspect category (e.g., cardinal direction), slope, soil depth, and elevation) and spatial variables (latitude and longitude) using the varpart function in Vegan v. 2–5.3 [54]. Plots of fungal composition by plant host were also generated using dbRDA separately for each fungal guild. Spatial variables were de-trended and tested for spatial autocorrelation using the ade4 package v. 1.7–16 [55]. When we detected significant spatial autocorrelation eigenvectors, we included these in the spatial variable matrix. To characterize how many fungal taxa occurred in multiple plant taxa and elevations, we used the VennDiagram package v. 1.6.20 [56].Turnover and rewiringTo evaluate whether fungal composition was driven by grasses associating with different fungal taxa or differing relative abundances of the same fungal taxa, we first performed a beta partitioning analysis using betapart v. 1.5.3 [57]. Each fungal guild was analyzed separately. Next, to examine turnover in the abundances of fungal functional groups (pathogens, saprotrophs, mutualists), we defined groups using the FungalTrait database, which merges previous databases into one cohesive framework of 17 functional trait types (referred to here as functional groups; [58]). We recognize that fungal functions are highly environmentally dependent and therefore these functional groups may represent potential function more than actual function. Functional group identity was ascribed to 60% of leaf endophyte and 62% of root endophyte fungal taxa. Then, cumulative abundance of proportionally transformed sequence reads in each functional group was analyzed using a general linear mixed effects model with grass species and elevation as fixed effects and site nested within elevation gradient as random effects, as above. Finally, we defined indicator species within the OTUs that comprised at least 1% of the total abundance of each fungal guild by grass host, gradient, and elevation classes (rounded to the nearest 100 m) using the indicspecies package v. 1.7.9 [59]. Functional group assignments using the FungalTrait database from above were assigned to each indicator taxon [58]. A large percentage of significant indicator taxa out of the total number of OTUs would confirm that turnover in the species identity of fungal associations is stronger than turnover in the relative abundances of the same fungal taxa.Network propertiesTo address does grass-fungal network structure track elevation?, we analyzed four properties that encompass different facets of ecological networks at the site level. First, we calculated network nestedness, or the propensity for specialists to interact with the same plant species as generalists, using the weighted NODF (Nestedness metric based on Overlap and Decreasing Fill; [60]). Second, we calculated complexity as linkage density or the average number of interactions per plant species [61]. Third, to characterize specialization, we used the H2’ Index [62]. Finally, network evenness was calculated as Alatalo’s interaction evenness [63]. In all cases, these network metrics were weighted indices to increase accuracy [64], and calculations were performed in the Bipartite package v. 2.15 [65]. To address, how much do fungal guilds differ in altitudinal variation in network structure?, we compared network-level statistics among fungal guilds using a general linear mixed effects model with fungal guild as a fixed effect, number of grass hosts as a fixed effect, and gradient as a random effect (function lmer in lme4 [52],). We compared relationships with elevation separately for each fungal guild, using general linear mixed effects models with elevation as a fixed, continuous effect, number of grass hosts within the network as a fixed, continuous effect, and gradient identity as a random effect (Supplementary Table S1, Supplementary Fig. S2). We evaluated parameter fit with analysis of deviance using Wald chi-square tests using the car package 3.0–10 in R [66].All data met model assumptions of normality of residuals and homogeneity of variance. All analyses were performed in R v. 3.5.0 [53]. More

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    Savannahs store carbon despite frequent fires

    NEWS AND VIEWS
    16 March 2022

    Savannahs store carbon despite frequent fires

    An analysis of carbon stored in the plants and soil of an African savannah suggests that atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations — and thus global warming — might be less affected by frequent fires than we thought.

    Niall P. Hanan

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    Anthony M. Swemmer

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    Niall P. Hanan

    Niall P. Hanan is in the Jornada Basin Long-Term Ecological Research programme, Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, New Mexico 88003, USA.

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    Anthony M. Swemmer

    Anthony M. Swemmer is in the South African Environment Observation Network, Phalaborwa 1390, South Africa.

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    Savannahs burn more frequently than any other biome, and tropical savannahs alone account for 62% of the carbon dioxide emitted from fires globally1. Strategies involving fire suppression2 or the planting of trees3 in savannahs have therefore been proposed as a means of reducing CO2 emissions and increasing carbon sequestration, thus potentially contributing to the mitigation of global climate change. But it remains unclear whether these measures would make a substantial difference to the accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. Writing Nature, Zhou et al.4 analyse a long-term fire experiment in Kruger National Park, South Africa, and reveal that the total amount of carbon stored in the ecosystem increases more slowly than expected in the absence of fire — challenging our assumptions about how fire affects carbon storage in savannahs.

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    Nature 603, 395-396 (2022)
    doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-00689-0

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    Caller ID for Risso’s and Pacific White-sided dolphins

    The Bayesian VMD Method we developed can classify pulsed signals with similar frequency content in poor SNR files from underwater acoustic recordings. The Method consists of two parts. The first part scans the incoming audio data as segments that potentially contain signals of interest by detecting energy peaks. It then uses the start and end of the energy peaks to isolate those areas of interest from non-signal areas of the audio file. The second part classifies the detected signals into separate categories based on their frequency content. The algorithms of our Detector and Classifier steps are self-developed, but some key components in them were inspired by previous work39,40,41.DetectorThe proposed detector uses full audio files that are 4.5 s long at a sampling rate of 100 kHz. It then finds audio file segments where potential signals of interest exist.For a given audio file, denoted by ({hat{x}}(n)), where (n=1, dots , N), and N is the total number of samples, the Laplacian Differential Operator (LDO) is applied to ({hat{x}}(n)) resulting in an enhanced version of the audio file denoted by y(n), as follows:$$begin{aligned} y(n) = frac{1}{4}frac{partial ^2 {hat{x}}}{partial n^2} end{aligned}$$
    (1)
    The LDO enhances the transient signals (edge detection) and filters out the low frequencies ((< 10) kHz) which are not needed for Gg and Lo pulsed signal classification. The y(n) is then transformed into a time-frequency representation using Short-time Fourier transform (STFT). The STFT was implemented on 1024 samples with 90% overlap and a 1024-point Hanning window. The magnitude of the STFT matrix s(n, f) is given as ({hat{S}}(n,f)).$$begin{aligned} {hat{S}}(n,f) = begin{bmatrix} |s_{11}| &{} dots &{} |s_{1N}|\ vdots &{} ddots \ |s_{M1}| &{} &{} |s_{MN}| end{bmatrix} end{aligned}$$ (2) Where (N) is the length of the input segment and (M) is the number of frequency bins. The dimensionality of matrix ({hat{S}}(n,f)) is reduced from 2-D to 1-D as follows:$$begin{aligned} S_{d}(n) = sum _{f=1}^{M} {hat{S}}(n,f) end{aligned}$$ (3) The resulting temporal sequence is an accumulated sum of all frequency bins from (begin{aligned} {hat{S}}(n,f) end{aligned}), so scaling is applied, as follows:$$begin{aligned} S_{d}(n) = frac{S_{d}(n)}{max{S_{d}(n)}} end{aligned}$$ (4) After finding (S_{d}(n)) from Eq. (4), the mean of (S_{d}(n)) is subtracted. Then, to determine the boundaries of the acoustic signal, an adaptive threshold is applied. The first step in developing the threshold is to vectorize the matrix ({hat{S}}(n,f)) in column order into a vector called (S_{r}(n)):$$begin{aligned} S_{r}(n) = overrightarrow{{hat{S}}(n,f)} end{aligned}$$ (5) Then, (S_r (n)) is scaled similar to (S_{d}(n)) and is sorted into ascending order, denoted by ({hat{S}}_r(n)). The changing point where the root-mean-square level of the sorted curve ({hat{S}}_r(n)) changes the most is obtained by minimizing Eq. (6)39,40,42$$begin{aligned} J(k) = sum _{i=1}^{k-1} Delta ({hat{S}}_{r,i}; chi ([{hat{S}}_{r,1} dots {hat{S}}_{r,k-1}])) + sum _{i=k}^{N} Delta ({hat{S}}_{r,i}; chi ([{hat{S}}_{r,k} dots {hat{S}}_{r,N}])) end{aligned}$$ (6) where (k) and N are the index of the changing point and the length of the sorted curve ({hat{S}}_r (n)), respectively, and$$begin{aligned} sum _{i=u}^{v} Delta ({hat{S}}_{r,i}; chi ([{hat{S}}_{r,u} dots {hat{S}}_{r,v}])) = (u-v+1)log left( frac{1}{u-v+1}sum _{n=u}^{v}{hat{S}}_{r,n},^{2}right) end{aligned}$$ (7) The threshold, (lambda), is the value of ({hat{S}}_r (k)) which equals the noise floor estimation, and can be represented as follows:$$begin{aligned} begin{aligned} {mathcal {H}}_{0}: S_d(n) < lambda \ {mathcal {H}}_{1}: S_d(n) ge lambda end{aligned} end{aligned}$$ (8) where ({mathcal {H}}_0) and ({mathcal {H}}_1) are the hypothesis that the activity was below or above the threshold, respectively. The calculated threshold can vary for each file, thus making it adaptable if ambient noise conditions change between files. The threshold (lambda) is then projected onto the temporal sequence (S_{d}(n)) to extract the boundaries of the regions of the acoustic signal that comprised the detected energy peak. The start and end points of each acoustic signal are determined as the first and last points that are greater than (lambda) in amplitude.The boundaries of the detected segments are scaled by the sampling rate to obtain start and end times which will be used to extract the audio file segments from the original data file in the classification step. Figure 4 illustrates the layout of the the proposed detector.Figure 4Block diagram of the proposed detector.Full size imageClassifierOnce segments with energy peaks were identified, they were scanned by the team’s bioacoustics expert, and any segments confirmed to contain only Gg or Lo signals were sifted out for use in testing the accuracy of the Bayesian VMD Method classifier.In this paper, the metric weight was defined for classification purposes. The weight for a parameter (varvec{theta _i}) given its measurement (varvec{y_i}) is defined as$$begin{aligned} w(varvec{theta _i} mid varvec{y_i}) = P_{varvec{Theta mid Y}}(varvec{theta _i} mid varvec{y_i}) * varvec{p_i} end{aligned}$$ (9) where (varvec{theta _i}) is the probability density function (PDF) of (varvec{y_i}), (varvec{y_i}) is one measurement in the measurement vector (varvec{y}), (P_{varvec{Theta mid Y}}(varvec{theta _i} mid varvec{y_i})) is the posterior probability of the parameter (varvec{theta _i}) given the measurement (varvec{y_i}), and (varvec{p_i}) is the scaled prominence value of (varvec{y_i}).When a detected audio file segment is fed into the Bayesian VMD classifier, the classification process starts with a feature extraction step. During this step, peak and notch frequencies and their prominence values were obtained from the VMD-Hilbert spectrum of the segment. The prominence measures how much a peak stands out due to its intrinsic height or how much a notch stands out due to its depth and its location relative to surrounding peaks or notches. In general, peaks that are taller and more isolated have a higher “prominence” (p) than peaks that are shorter or surrounded by other peaks.In the feature extraction step, VMD decomposed the input audio segment into a set of IMFs. The HHT was then applied to all IMFs to create a Hilbert spectrum with a frequency resolution of 50 Hz. The Hilbert spectrum is a matrix, (H(n,f)) that contains the instantaneous energies, (h(n,f)).$$begin{aligned} H(n,f) = begin{bmatrix} h_{11} &{}dots &{} h_{1R} \ vdots &{} ddots \ h_{Q1} &{} &{} h_{QR} end{bmatrix} end{aligned}$$ (10) where r is the length of the input segment and q is the number of frequency bins in (H).The matrix (H (n,f)) is then converted from a 2-D array to a 1-D spectral representation by summing all instantaneous energy values in each frequency bin, as follows:$$begin{aligned} H(f) = sum _{n=1}^{R} H(n,f) end{aligned}$$ (11) The energy summation sequence was converted to a base-10 logarithmic scale and then smoothed by passing through a 17-point median filter and an 11-point moving average filter for the purpose of easily extracting features. All peaks and notches in the sequence whose prominence values exceeded the threshold of 0.5 were located, and their frequency values and prominence values were then stored as extracted features from the input signal (see Fig. 5).Figure 5Example of locating peak and notch frequencies and how prominent they are compared to other peaks and notches. The wave form in (a) is the smoothed energy summation sequence from the Hilbert spectrum of the Lo signal in Fig. 1. Subplot (b) is a flipped version of the energy summation sequence for the convenience of extracting notch frequencies and their prominence values. The length of the red line represents the prominence value of a peak or notch.Full size imageFor testing the effectiveness of the VMD feature extractor, a second set of features were extracted from the FFT-based power spectrum using the same input signals with the Welch’s algorithm. The FFT-based spectrum was calculated on 2048 samples with 50% overlap and a 2048-point Hanning window with 48.82 Hz frequency resolution. The power spectral density sequence was then converted to dB and went through a 21-point median filter and a 15-point moving average filter. Feature extraction followed the same strategies as in VMD feature extractor except using a prominence threshold of 2 dB.Next, the measured features, frequencies (Hz) of the peaks and notches (henceforth referred to as “measured peaks and notches”), were matched with the probability distribution functions (PDFs) of peaks and notches (henceforth referred to as “parameter peaks and notches”) from Soldevilla et al. (2008). The matching between measured and parameter peaks and notches was done in preparation of weight calculations, and it was implemented for both Gg and Lo. There are four Gaussian PDFs for parameter peaks and three for parameter notches for each species in Soldevilla et al. (2008) (Table 2). A 95% confidence interval of a Gaussian PDF was used here as a frequency range defined as 1.96 standard deviations to the left and right of its mean value. When measured peaks and notches were matched to parameter peaks and notches, only the peak or notch that fell within a 95% confidence interval were kept. Any peaks or notches outside the 95% confidence intervals were discarded.Because there are overlaps between the 95% confidence intervals of 22.4 kHz and 25.5 kHz parameter peaks of Gg and between 33.7 kHz and 37.3 kHz parameter peaks of Lo (see Table 2), it is likely that some measured peaks will fall in the overlapping areas. In this paper, the maximum a posterior (MAP) estimation41 was used to determine which PDF results in the measured peak in an overlapping area. For a measured peak that falls into an overlapping area, two parameter peaks’ PDFs are plugged in the MAP estimation equation sequentially, and then the measured peak will be matched with the PDF that maximizes the posterior probability of it given the measured peak.After the preliminary match, if more than one measured peak or notch remains in any one PDF confidence interval, the measured peak and notch with the highest prominence value is selected as the real measured peak or notch of this PDF, and the redundant ones are discarded. Finally, all remaining peak prominence values and notch prominence values were scaled to be between 0 and 1, respectively.Once peak and notch matching and selection was finished, Bayesian weights were calculated to select the most likely species. From Bayes’s rule, the posterior probability of a parameter given its measurement is proportional to the product of the likelihood function of the measurement given the parameter and the prior probability of the parameter41, as shown in Eq. (12).$$begin{aligned} P_{varvec{Theta mid Y}}(varvec{theta _i} mid varvec{y_i}) propto f_{varvec{Y mid Theta }}(varvec{y_i} mid varvec{theta _i}) P_{varvec{Theta }}(varvec{theta _i}) end{aligned}$$ (12) therefore, substitution of the posterior probability in Eq. (9) yields$$begin{aligned} w(varvec{theta _i} mid varvec{y_i}) = f_{varvec{Y mid Theta }}(varvec{y_i} mid varvec{theta _i}) *P_{varvec{Theta }}(varvec{theta _i}) * varvec{p_i} end{aligned}$$ (13) Figure 6Example of feature matching. The top plots show a set of measured peaks and notches matched with both Gg’s PDFs (a) and Lo’s PDFs (b) parameter peaks and notches like in Fig. 5 during the feature matching and selection step. Middle plots show how closely to the parameter PDFs that the measured peaks match either Gg (c) or Lo (d) and their weight calculations. The width of each PDF represents its 95% confidence interval, and the ordinate represents the weight value. Subplots (e) and (f) show the same weight calculations for notches. The final weight value is the summation of all weight values of peaks and notches matched with Gg or Lo.Full size imageWith all PDFs and a priori probabilities from Soldevilla et al. (2008), the weight value in terms of Gg and Lo given a set of measurements, (varvec{y}), was obtained by Eqs. (13) and (14)$$begin{aligned} w(Gg mid varvec{y}) = sum _{forall i} w(varvec{theta _i} mid varvec{y_i}) qquad w(Lo mid varvec{y}) = sum _{forall j} w(varvec{theta _j} mid varvec{y_j}) end{aligned}$$ (14) where (varvec{y_i}) and (varvec{y_j}) are the remaining measured peaks and notches that were matched with Gg’s PDFs and Lo’s PDFs after the matching and matching step. The feature matching and selection results and the weight calculation process are shown in Fig. 6.The last step was a comparison between weight values in terms of Gg and Lo. If (w(Lo mid varvec{y}) > w(Gg mid varvec{y})), the signal was labeled an Lo signal; otherwise, it was labeled a Gg signal. The classifier is illustrated in Fig. 7. The weight values are significant to three digits because weights are normally smaller than 1.000 and three significant digits was sufficient for comparing all calculated weight values for these audio files. In the case that the weight comparison is equal to three significant digits (even though this never happened in these 174 signals), the Bayesian VMD algorithm will automatically classify the input as a Gg signal given that the highest precision (85.91%) by the Bayesian VMD Method was achieved on Gg.Figure 7Block diagram of the Bayesian VMD Method classifier.Full size image More

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    Urban noise and surrounding city morphology influence green space occupancy by native birds in a Mediterranean-type South American metropolis

    Our research determined noise to share a potentially important negative relationship with native bird richness and abundance and appears to be the most limiting factor in green space occupancy by native bird species, more so than the type and amount of vegetation present in urban green spaces, and more so than urbanization itself, represented as building height and cover surrounding green spaces. Thus, noise is potentially acting as an invisible source of habitat degradation, limiting the bird species capable of inhabiting an area, regardless of whether the appropriate vegetative conditions exist.As predicted, native urban avoiders reached their maximum abundances in PAR, which, given their high vegetation cover and large size, act as patches of natural habitat in cities. Native urban utilizers tended to be found in more suburban areas, and urban dwellers, both native and exotic, were detected in green spaces of all noise levels. All exotic bird species were urban dwellers, referring to their high tolerance to urbanization5,25, thus reaching the high abundances observed, particularly in SGS.SGS possessed higher average noise levels and greater exotic bird abundance than PAR, which presented significantly higher numbers of native bird richness and abundance. The potential influence of noise on native bird species first becomes evident when we consider that native bird abundance tended to rise above the generally high abundance of exotic birds when average noise levels in green spaces reached below 52 dB (it should be noted that, according to the Chilean Noise Norm No. 146, the maximum allowable noise levels generated by fixed sources in residential areas of Santiago is 55 dB during the day, 7 a.m.–9 p.m.). The negative relations between noise and urban avoider, urban utilizer, and urban dweller species richness and abundance further indicate how noise may be regulating the native bird species present in green spaces, affecting urban avoider richness the most and urban dweller richness the least, while influencing the abundance of all native bird species rather similarly. Meanwhile, building height surrounding green spaces negatively influenced native urban avoider and urban dweller richness and abundance, with the greatest influence on urban dweller abundance, yet all native birds were less likely to be detected in green spaces surrounded by buildings over 10 m tall on average.The importance of vegetation for native bird communities also cannot be denied, given that native birds reached higher abundances than exotic birds when vegetation cover reached an average NDVI value greater than 0.5. Results from this study thus suggest that exotic birds begin to replace native birds in terms of abundance as noise levels rise in urban green spaces, vegetation cover decreases, and building height surrounding green spaces increases, with native urban avoider species being the least tolerant to the influences of urbanization, and, consequently, the first to disappear when noise levels and building height become too great. The observed negative relationship between native bird species richness and maximum noise levels, and the positive relationship with vegetation cover, are comparable to results seen in other Neotropical cities24,26, yet our results indicate that the relationships between these variables and bird abundance are stronger. This may indicate how bird abundance fluctuates in green spaces as some birds temporarily leave during noisy events or become quieter and more cryptic under noisy conditions26, while noise also negatively influences bird species richness by filtering the species that can inhabit areas of varying noise levels.Detection probability models found native bird detectability to mostly increase with vegetation cover and tree cover in urban green spaces, except for the common diuca finch, whose detectability decreased with rising tree cover. Some of the bird species that displayed the lowest detection probabilities, such as the picui ground dove and fire-eyed diucon (Xolmis pyrope), are not frequently found in cities and possess vocalizations that are unlikely to be heard well in high-noise areas due to their low frequencies, making them more easily masked by the anthrophony, characterized by its low frequency and high intensity31. Consequently, birds whose vocalizations are similar in frequency and amplitude to the anthrophony were more commonly or exclusively found in green spaces that registered low noise levels, their detectability also decreasing with rising noise, as was the case with the fire-eyed diucon.Urban green space occupancy by native bird species was mainly influenced by average maximum noise levels recorded in green spaces. Of the modeled native species, the long-tailed meadowlark and the picui ground dove, an urban avoider and an urban utilizer species respectively, were the species most sensitive to noise, their probability of occupying green spaces with average maximum noise levels over 55 dB decreasing rapidly and approaching zero when over 65 dB. Meanwhile, the austral thrush, an urban dweller species, was by far the most tolerant to noise of the native birds, its presence probability just beginning to decrease when average maximum noise levels reached over 73 dB in green spaces. The differing tendencies of urban avoiders, urban utilizers, and urban dwellers to occupy green spaces of varying noise levels is thus evident, with native urban dweller species more likely to occupy higher noise urban green spaces than urban avoiders and utilizers, seemingly more adapted to the high noise levels that come with inhabiting a busy city. Nonetheless, although native urban dwellers displayed greater noise tolerances than urban avoiders and utilizers, their presence in city parks can also be expected to diminish if noise levels become too high, which for the most tolerant of the native birds, means reaching an average maximum level of 73 dB or more, but 55 dB or more for less tolerant species.No relation was found between vegetation cover and noise, and some of the highest noise levels were recorded in PAR. This suggests that PAR, often considered to be quiet and peaceful areas to escape the busyness of city life, can reach noise levels as high as those recorded in SGS, reducing the quality of the greatest sources of natural habitat for birds and other wildlife in cities.The results from this study regarding the influence of noise on bird communities support previous studies indicating that birds may be excluded from suitable habitats on account of the acoustic conditions of the local environment12,15. Despite abundant vegetation in PAR and some SGS, certain bird species, particularly urban avoiders and utilizers, were less likely to occupy areas that presented high noise levels. However, it is important to consider other potential influencing factors, such as predators (e.g., dogs and cats) and food availability, both of which could be linked to pedestrians and could therefore also increase noise levels in green spaces. Furthermore, in an effort to focus on the influence of anthropogenic variables on urban birds (i.e., urban morphology, noise, and vegetation type and cover), this study did not consider the size of urban green spaces as a variable in occupancy modeling, but as the results of this study suggest and others in Latin America have shown23,32, green space size is likely an influencing factor that should be considered in future studies. Another variable worth considering would be road coverage, which undoubtedly plays a role in noise levels, particularly for SGS.Measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic have significantly reduced noise levels in major cities worldwide33,34,35. Noise reduction in the San Francisco Bay Area, characterized by a Mediterranean climate like Santiago, resulted in songbirds rapidly occupying newly available acoustic niches within urban soundscapes and maximizing communication through higher performance songs35. Consequently, native bird species not commonly found in high-noise areas, mainly urban avoider and utilizer species, may now be found in greater abundance at the community level in urban green spaces where they had been scarce or non-existent during this study, conducted pre-pandemic. Furthermore, if average noise levels dropped below 52 dB in Santiago green spaces due to region-wide shut-down measures, native birds may reach higher abundances than exotic birds. The negative effects of urban noise on bird communities are extensive, yet recent research indicating birds’ rapid adaptability and improved vocal performance when noise levels are significantly lowered provides hope. Native bird species susceptible to noise may stand a chance despite growing urbanization, if noise levels in urban green spaces are regulated.Rapid urban expansion in Latin America places natural ecosystems at great risk, reducing or altogether eliminating natural habitats for native birds and other wildlife, making urban green spaces necessary for their persistence, especially in biodiversity hotspots like central Chile. As this study illustrates, noise associated with urbanization plays a significant role in influencing green space occupancy by native bird species, and, quite possibly, other animal species dependent on acoustic signaling (e.g., amphibians and mammals). Given the recreational role of urban green spaces in cities, noise regulation within these areas should be considered, while also considering how city morphology may impact bird communities. This study exemplifies how, in addition to noise, the size of urban green spaces and the vegetation cover in them, particularly tree cover, are vital aspects to consider in city planning in order to preserve native bird communities in urban systems. Large urban parks held significantly richer bird communities than small green spaces, with greater native bird richness and abundance. Therefore, it is imperative that science and city planning collaborate to develop cities with networks of large green spaces with abundant tree cover, surrounded by smaller urban morphology, where noise is regulated and maintained at tolerable levels for native birds. There is a clear need to move towards biophilic city planning to harmonize urban growth and the protection and expansion of networks of green areas that generate habitat for birds that, in turn, provide important ecosystem services to cities. More

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    Author Correction: Late Quaternary dynamics of Arctic biota from ancient environmental genomics

    Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UKYucheng Wang, Bianca De Sanctis, Ana Prohaska, Daniel Money & Eske WillerslevLundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, DenmarkYucheng Wang, Mikkel Winther Pedersen, Fernando Racimo, Antonio Fernandez-Guerra, Alexandra Rouillard, Anthony H. Ruter, Hugh McColl, Nicolaj Krog Larsen, James Haile, Lasse Vinner, Thorfinn Sand Korneliussen, Jialu Cao, David J. Meltzer, Kurt H. Kjær & Eske WillerslevThe Arctic University Museum of Norway, UiT— The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, NorwayInger Greve Alsos, Eric Coissac, Marie Kristine Føreid Merkel, Youri Lammers & Galina GusarovaDepartment of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UKBianca De Sanctis & Richard DurbinUniversité Grenoble Alpes, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, LECA, Grenoble, FranceEric CoissacCenter for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, DenmarkHannah Lois Owens, Carsten Rahbek & David Nogues BravoDepartment of Geosciences, UiT—The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, NorwayAlexandra RouillardUniversité Paris-Saclay, CEA, CNRS, Institute for Integrative Biology of the Cell (I2BC), Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceAdriana AlbertiGénomique Métabolique, Genoscope, Institut François Jacob, CEA, CNRS, Université Evry, Université Paris-Saclay, Evry, FranceAdriana Alberti, France Denoeud & Patrick WinckerInstitute of Earth Sciences, St Petersburg State University, St Petersburg, RussiaAnna A. Cherezova & Grigory B. FedorovArctic and Antarctic Research Institute, St Petersburg, RussiaAnna A. Cherezova & Grigory B. FedorovSchool of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UKMary E. EdwardsAlaska Quaternary Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USAMary E. EdwardsCentre d’Anthropobiologie et de Génomique de Toulouse, Université Paul Sabatier, Faculté de Médecine Purpan, Toulouse, FranceLudovic OrlandoNational Research University, Higher School of Economics, Moscow, RussiaThorfinn Sand KorneliussenDepartment of Geography and Environment, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, USADavid W. BeilmanDepartment of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, DenmarkAnders A. BjørkCarlsberg Research Laboratory, Copenhagen, DenmarkChristoph Dockter & Birgitte SkadhaugeCenter for Environmental Management of Military Lands, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USAJulie EsdaleFaculty of Biology, St Petersburg State University, St Petersburg, RussiaGalina GusarovaDepartment of Glaciology and Climate, Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Copenhagen, DenmarkKristian K. KjeldsenDepartment of Earth Science, University of Bergen, Bergen, NorwayJan Mangerud & John Inge SvendsenBjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, NorwayJan Mangerud & John Inge SvendsenUS National Park Service, Gates of the Arctic National Park and Preserve, Fairbanks, AK, USAJeffrey T. RasicZoological Institute, , Russian Academy of Sciences, St Petersburg, RussiaAlexei TikhonovResource and Environmental Research Center, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Beijing, ChinaYingchun XingCollege of Plant Science, Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaYubin ZhangDepartment of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, CanadaDuane G. FroeseCenter for Global Mountain Biodiversity, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, DenmarkCarsten RahbekSchool of Environment, Earth and Ecosystem Sciences, The Open University, Milton Keynes, UKPhilip B. Holden & Neil R. EdwardsDepartment of Anthropology, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, TX, USADavid J. MeltzerDepartment of Geology, Quaternary Sciences, Lund University, Lund, SwedenPer MöllerWellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Wellcome Genome Campus, Cambridge, UKEske WillerslevMARUM, University of Bremen, Bremen, GermanyEske Willerslev More

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    Are there limits to economic growth? It’s time to call time on a 50-year argument

    EDITORIAL
    16 March 2022

    Are there limits to economic growth? It’s time to call time on a 50-year argument

    Researchers must try to resolve a dispute on the best way to use and care for Earth’s resources.

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    Lead author Donella Meadows wrote that the book The Limits to Growth “was written not to predict doom but to challenge people to find ways of living that are consistent with the laws of the planet”.Credit: Alamy

    Fifty years ago this month, the System Dynamics group at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge had a stark message for the world: continued economic and population growth would deplete Earth’s resources and lead to global economic collapse by 2070. This finding was from their 200-page book The Limits to Growth, one of the first modelling studies to forecast the environmental and social impacts of industrialization.For its time, this was a shocking forecast, and it did not go down well. Nature called the study “another whiff of doomsday” (see Nature 236, 47–49; 1972). It was near-heresy, even in research circles, to suggest that some of the foundations of industrial civilization — mining coal, making steel, drilling for oil and spraying crops with fertilizers — might cause lasting damage. Research leaders accepted that industry pollutes air and water, but considered such damage reversible. Those trained in a pre-computing age were also sceptical of modelling, and advocated that technology would come to the planet’s rescue. Zoologist Solly Zuckerman, a former chief scientific adviser to the UK government, said: “Whatever computers may say about the future, there is nothing in the past which gives any credence whatever to the view that human ingenuity cannot in time circumvent material human difficulties.”But the study’s lead author, Donella Meadows, and her colleagues stood firm, pointing out that ecological and economic stability would be possible if action were taken early. Limits was instrumental to the creation of the United Nations Environment Programme, also in 1972. Overall, more than 30 million copies of the book have been sold.
    The value of biodiversity is not the same as its price
    But the debates haven’t stopped. Although there’s now a consensus that human activities have irreversible environmental effects, researchers disagree on the solutions — especially if that involves curbing economic growth. That disagreement is impeding action. It’s time for researchers to end their debate. The world needs them to focus on the greater goals of stopping catastrophic environmental destruction and improving well-being.Researchers such as Johan Rockström at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany advocate that economies can grow without making the planet unliveable. They point to evidence, notably from the Nordic nations, that economies can continue to grow even as carbon emissions start to come down. This shows that what’s needed is much faster adoption of technology — such as renewable energy. A parallel research movement, known as ‘post-growth’ or ‘degrowth’, says that the world needs to abandon the idea that economies must keep growing — because growth itself is harmful. Its proponents include Kate Raworth, an economist at the University of Oxford, UK, and author of the 2017 book Doughnut Economics, which has inspired its own global movement.Economic growth is typically measured by gross domestic product (GDP). This composite index uses consumer spending, as well as business and government investment, to arrive at a figure for a country’s economic output. Governments have entire departments devoted to ensuring that GDP always points upwards. And that is a problem, say post-growth researchers: when faced with a choice between two policies (one more green than the other), governments are likely to opt for whichever is the quicker in boosting growth to bolster GDP, and that might often be the option that causes more pollution.
    G20’s US$14-trillion economic stimulus reneges on emissions pledges
    A report published last week by the World Health Organization (see go.nature.com/3j9xcpi) says that if policymakers didn’t have a “pathological obsession with GDP”, they would spend more on making health care affordable for every citizen. Health spending does not contribute to GDP in the same way that, for example, military spending does, say the authors, led by economist Mariana Mazzucato at University College London.Both communities must do more to talk to each other, instead of at each other. It won’t be easy, but appreciation for the same literature could be a starting point. After all, Limits inspired both the green-growth and post-growth communities, and both were similarly influenced by the first study on planetary boundaries (J. Rockström et al. Nature 461, 472–475; 2009), which attempted to define limits for the biophysical processes that determine Earth’s capacity for self-regulation.Opportunities for cooperation are imminent. At the end of January, the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services announced a big study into the causes of biodiversity loss, including the role of economic systems. More than 100 authors from 40 countries and different fields will spend two years assessing the literature. They will recommend “transformative change to the systems leading us to catastrophe”, says study co-chair, political scientist Arun Agrawal at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor.Another opportunity is an upcoming revision of the rules for what is measured in GDP. These will be agreed by countries’ chief statisticians and organized through the UN, and are due to be finalized in 2025. For the first time, the statisticians are asking how sustainability and well-being could be more closely aligned to GDP. Both post-growth and green-growth advocates have valuable perspectives.Research can be territorial — new communities emerge sometimes because of disagreements in fields. But green-growth and post-growth scientists need to see the bigger picture. Right now, both are articulating different visions to policymakers, and there is a risk this will delay action. In 1972, there was still time to debate, and less urgency to act. Now, the world is running out of time.

    Nature 603, 361 (2022)
    doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-00723-1

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