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CORRESPONDENCE
13 July 2021

Italy: Forest harvesting is the opposite of green growth

Roberto Cazzolla Gatti

0
,

Gianluca Piovesan

1
&

Alessandro Chiarucci

2

Roberto Cazzolla Gatti

Tomsk State University, Russia.

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Gianluca Piovesan

University of Tuscia, Viterbo, Italy.

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Alessandro Chiarucci

University of Bologna, Italy.

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We question plans to step up the harvesting of forest biomass, as set out in Italy’s Fourth Report on the State of Natural Capital. Rather than supporting a transition to a green economy, this could translate into more logging and perturbation of forest ecosystems.The loss of trees in Italy’s forests in recent years (go.nature.com/3yzvdp9) is only partly explained by disturbances such as Storm Vaia in 2018, and salvage logging thereafter. The dominant driver is the production of wood fuel (D. Pettenella et al. Forest@ 18, 1–4; 2021), mainly from coppice. This probably removes about 50% of estimated annual growth (see go.nature.com/3xr1mzc).The new biomass policy could threaten the functionality of forest ecosystems unless it includes measurable targets and a reliable monitoring system for tracking the impacts of removing wood. In a geographically complex country, rich in biodiversity, this could undermine progress towards the European Union’s 2030 biodiversity strategy.For Italy’s forests to contribute to the economy, provide ecosystem services, halt biodiversity loss and mitigate climate change, the country needs ecological planning, data monitoring, forest protection, restoration and rewilding.

Nature 595, 353 (2021)
doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-01923-x

Competing Interests
The authors declare no competing interests.

Subjects

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Flow velocity thresholdThere were 92 Chinese sturgeon signals from 2016 to 2019, which were identified with the DIDSON dual-frequency video sonar system. The distribution map of Chinese sturgeon signals was shown in Fig. 1. The number of monitored signals in 2016 was significantly higher than in 2017–2019. The latest wild reproduction of the Chinese sturgeon occurred in 2016. Overall, most Chinese sturgeon signals were distributed within 500 m downstream from Gezhouba Dam, and there were more in the right side(facing downstream) than in the left side. The flow field of each sturgeon signal was simulated by the model, and the velocity of each signal location was obtained. According to the statistical analysis of the flow velocity values, the frequency of the sturgeon signal at different flow velocity values was shown in Fig. 2. The results show that most signals were concentrated in areas with flow velocities of 0.6–1.5 m/s, which accounted for 88.1% of the signals; areas with flow velocities below 0.6 m/s accounted for 4.3% of the signals, and areas with flow velocities above 1.5 m/s accounted for 7.6%. Therefore, 0.6–1.5 m/s was selected as the preferred flow velocity range of the Chinese sturgeon for spawning activity. This result was approximately consistent with the ranges proposed by most other researchers. The low limit of the velocity range was lower than that of other researchers. There may be two reasons for this result: the first was that the bottom velocity we analysed was lower than the surface velocity and vertical average velocity under the same conditions; the second was that our research time was after 2016, and the discharge during the spawning period was relatively low, so the velocity of the Chinese sturgeon signal was also relatively low.Figure 1Distribution map of Chinese sturgeon signals, where ○ indicates Chinese sturgeon signals monitored in 2016, ∆ indicates those in 2017, □ indicates those in 2018, and ✩ indicates those in 2019. Map generated in ArcGIS Pro (https://www.esri.com/en-us/arcgis/products/arcgis-pro/overview).Full size imageFigure 2Plots of the frequency for the different flow velocity ranges of Chinese sturgeon signals.Full size imageDifferent opening modes with identical dischargeThe discharge of 6150 m3/s on November 24, 2016, when the latest wild reproduction of Chinese sturgeon occurred, was used to study the flow velocity distribution with different opening modes. The specific opening mode cases are shown in Table 1. Case 1 was the actual situation, and the Dajiang Plant featured 7 open units: #8, #11, #13, #14, #16, #19, and #21. According to the amounts of electricity generated by Dajiang Plant and Erjiang Plant on that day, the proportion of the Dajiang River flow was 58.8%, and the average discharge of each unit was 516.6 m3/s. Case 2 and case 3 featured 7 open units with the same discharge, but in case 2, units #15–21 were continuously open on the right-side (facing downstream), and in case 3, units #8–14 were continuously open near the left side. Case 4 and case 5 were the most concentrated conditions with the discharge of 6150 m3/s because the maximum through-discharge for each unit in the Dajiang Plant is 825 m3/s19. In these cases, at least 5 units were open with an average discharge of 723 m3/s per unit. Case 4 involved continuously opening units #8–12 on the left side, and case 5 involved continuously opening units #17–21 on the right side. Case 6 involved simultaneously opening 14 units on Dajiang River, and the average discharge of each unit was 258.3 m3/s.Table 1 Calculation cases with different opening modes of units under the identical discharge.Full size tableFigure 3 shows the flow fields of the spawning ground under different opening modes with identical discharge. By comparing the areas with a velocity threshold range of 0.6–1.5 m/s in different cases, the most favourable opening mode was determined. In case 1, the velocity at the outlet of the units was higher than the 1.5 m/s velocity threshold, but the discharge of each unit was only 516.6 m3/s, so the high-velocity range was limited, and most areas were suitable. In case 2 and case 3, there was a large difference in proportions of suitable area. Because the left side was deeper than the right side, the flow velocity on the right side was higher under the same discharge, and case 3 more easily exceeded the flow threshold, which resulted in a larger unsuitable area. Case 2 was more suitable than case 1, which also demonstrated that opening the left-side units was more favourable. In case 4 and case 5, the proportions of suitable area were small. Because the units were concentrated, the discharge of each unit was too high, and the outlet velocity was more than 2 m/s, so a large area of high velocity appeared downstream of the units with backflow under the shut-down units. The proportion of suitable area in case 5 was larger than those in case 4 and case 3, which further indicates that opening the left-side units was more favourable than opening the right-side units. Case 6 was greater than that of any other case. Because the discharge of each unit was only 258.3 m3/s, the velocity of the unit outlet was less than 1.5 m/s, and almost all areas were suitable except for the small areas on both sides. The suitable-velocity area was the largest when all units of the Dajiang Plant of Gezhouba Dam were open; therefore, for a given discharge, it was best to open all units.Figure 3Flow field of the spawning ground in different opening modes with identical discharge, where the numbers at the top of each picture are the numbers of units to open, and the arrows indicate the direction of the water flow. Maps generated in Tecplot360 EX 2020 R1 (https://www.tecplot.com/products/tecplot-360/).Full size imageDifferent discharges under identical opening modeThe velocity distribution of the spawning field is affected by the opening mode of the units and discharge of Gezhouba Dam. To study the effect of different discharges, 14 cases were simulated, as shown in Table 2. All units of the Dajiang Plant were considered open because the proportion of suitable area was expected to be maximal under such circumstances. From 1982 to the present, the discharge during the spawning day of Chinese sturgeon under Gezhouba Dam has a wide range: the highest discharge was 27,290 m3/s in 1990, and the lowest discharge was 5590 m3/s in 2012. However, the highest design discharge of the Gezhouba Dam units is 17,930 m3/s20. Once the design discharge is exceeded, the spillway on Erjiang River discharges water, and the velocity distribution of the study area is not affected. Therefore, case 1 represents the lowest discharge of 5590 m3/s, and case 2 represents a discharge of 6000 m3/s. For each subsequent case, the discharge was increased by 1000 m3/s to case 13 with the highest flow of 17,930 m 3/s. In case 14, all units reached the design discharge, and the discharge of each unit was 825 m3/s19.Table 2 Calculation cases with the same opening mode under different discharges.Full size tableFigure 4 shows the proportion of suitable-velocity area with all units open under different discharges. According to the calculation results, the proportion of suitable area slightly fluctuated at approximately 96.2% for discharges of 5590–11,000 m3/s. Because the discharge of each unit was low, the velocity of the unit outlet was low, and most areas were within the velocity threshold. Therefore, it is advantageous to open all units when the discharge is low. After the discharge reached 12,000 m3/s, the proportion of suitable area rapidly decreased. Because the discharge of each unit was high, on the right side of Dajiang River, the velocity of the unit outlet exceeded the velocity threshold and increased with increases in discharge, and the range of effect gradually increased. In the last case, the proportion of suitable area was only 6% when the units reached the designed discharge of 825 m3/s. Because the discharge of each unit was too high, almost all areas exceeded the velocity threshold except for small areas on both sides. Therefore, at discharges below 12,000 m3/s, opening all units is favourable, and at discharge above 12,000 m3/s, a higher discharge corresponds to more unfavourable conditions.Figure 4Proportions of the suitable-velocity area with all units opened under different discharges.Full size imageOptimal scheme under high-flow conditionsHigh-flow conditions at Gezhouba Dam are considered those that exceed 12,000 m3/s because of the substantive decline in suitable habitat area at higher discharges. Because opening the units on the left side of the Dajiang Plant provides a more uniform, suitable habitat, we evaluated 20 cases with a left-side opening mode under different discharge, as shown in Table 3. Because the highest discharge of each unit in the Dajiang Plant is 825 m3/s, at least 9 units must be open when the discharge is 12,000 m3/s. Case 1 was designed to open 9 units on the left, i.e., units #13–21, and the discharge of each unit was 784 m3/s. Cases 2–5 increased by 1 unit from left to right until 13 units were opened. For discharges of 13,000 m3/s, 14,000 m3/s, 15,000 m3/s, and 16,000 m3/s, at least 10, 10, 11, and 12 units were opened. When the discharge was 17,000 m3/s and 17,930 m3/s, at least 13 units were open.Table 3 Calculation cases with different opening modes under high-flow conditions.Full size tableFigure 5 shows the proportions of suitable area for different opening modes under high-flow conditions. The calculation results show that when the discharge was 12,000 m3/s, 13,000 m3/s, and 14,000 m3/s, the proportion of suitable area showed a parabolic trend with the increase in number of units. When the discharge was 12,000 m3/s, the proportion of suitable area with 11 open units on the left was the largest, which was 8.7% larger than the value for all open units and 15% larger than the value for the lowest number of open units. When the discharge was 13,000 m3/s, 12 open units on the left had the largest proportion of suitable-flow-velocity area. When the discharge was 14,000 m3/s, the proportions of suitable area produced by opening 12 and 13 units on the left were the largest. The proportion of suitable area of the lowest number of open units was usually minimal because the discharge of each unit was too high, which resulted in a large area of high velocity that was not suitable for Chinese sturgeon to spawn. Because of the underwater topography, opening the left-side units was more favourable than opening the right-side units, so for all open units, the proportions of suitable area will be lower, and the number of units opened in the middle will be the most advantageous. For a discharge of 15,000 m3/s, with the increase in number of units, the proportion of suitable area increased, and there was no parabolic trend because the discharge of each unit exceeded 678 m3/s; thus, on the left side, there was a large area of high velocity, and the effect extended very far, which was not suitable for Chinese sturgeon.Figure 5Proportions of the suitable area for different opening modes under high-flow conditions, where 12,000–09 on the x-axis indicates that the discharge is 12,000 m3/s, and 9 units are open on the left.Full size image More

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The gobi region ecosystem has low stability because of its single species composition and simple structure (Fig. 8a). Large-scale shrub planting destroyed the original stable state (Fig. 8b) and resulted in another stable state via self-adjustment. In this process, the planted shrubs deteriorated the original ecosystem by competing for water and a chain reaction may ensue, leading to greater ecological problems. The original intention of the large-scale planting of shrubs was to maintain regional ecological balance, protect biodiversity, and fix sand, thus improving the environment (Fig. 8c). However, given the poor choice of the planting location, the expected results were not achieved. In fact, the opposite results of the original good intentions were achieved (Fig. 8d).Figure 8Diagram of different development stages of large-scale afforestation in the gobi region (a: original ground surface; b: holes dug for afforestation; c the living trees planted; d: ground surface when the trees are dead).Full size imageChina has a large expanse of arid areas, and has suffered from droughts for a long time. Land afforestation has been at the forefront of China’s policy principles, and there are government departments specializing in this field. In recent years, the Chinese Government has recommended a series of major strategies, for example, the “construction of ecological civilization” and “lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets”, and also promoted greening projects, including “Three North Shelterbelt Project”, “Beijing-Tianjin Sandstorm Source Control Project”, and the “Natural Forest Protection Project”. More recently, desert greening has been conducted by people and enterprises, for example, the Ant Forest and Society of Entrepreneurs & Ecology (SEE). As a result of these projects and initiatives, China’s greening has contributed to global greening totals15,16. For afforestation, China’s policy departments have recommended the principles of “sticking to local conditions, suitable land for green, suitable trees for trees, suitable shrub for shrub, suitable grass for grass” and promoting the overall protection of “Mountain-River-Forest-Farmland-Lake-Grass-Desert system”, with particular references to desert. Their goal is to scientifically promote afforestation of the land and to clarify “where to afforest, what to afforest, how to afforest, how to manage”. However, problems arise very easily when grassroots executors are involved.The total area of the gobi region in China is approximately 56.95 × 104 km2, accounting for 13.36% of the national area, and is primarily distributed in the northwest extreme arid regions17. As mentioned above, gobi refers to a special arid landform that has a notably low water supply and is unsuitable for growing trees and shrubs. As an important natural landform, the gobi plays a key role in ecological protection; hence, its reference as “black vegetation”. However, there is a lack of understanding of the gobi, and it is often regarded as an area that needs to be greened or reformed. However, gobi, as an extremely arid region, is a fragile ecosystem. Once the gravel on the gobi surface is destroyed, it could lead to a series of ecological and environmental problems. Therefore, afforestation in arid areas is both a scientific and technical issue which must be conducted according to different regional characteristics, rather than by blindly planting trees in unsuitable areas. This study aims to attract more attention from the government forestry department and implementation personnel involved in afforestation activities so as to revise relevant policies. In response to the findings of this study, we have several recommendations: (1) it is necessary to popularize the understanding of scientific greening within the general public; (2) scientific understanding of the gobi needs to be increased, and awareness must be raised to promote its protection; (3) afforestation projects and management must be scientifically and systematically improved to ensure long-term effectiveness, and; (4) restoration and protection measures should be taken immediately in the gobi regions that have been afforested or destroyed.One of the most important causes of all these problems is the implementation of national policies on subsidies for greening and planting trees in desert areas. According to our survey, personnel who specifically plant trees and engage in afforestation are businessmen, farmers, or others, with most of them being businessmen from abroad, and only a few being local people. All the personnel are more concerned about the subsidies than greening and planting trees itself. According to the policy, they will receive majority of the subsidy if the planted trees live for three years, irrespective of whether the trees survive after that. Therefore, to guarantee the survival of the planted trees for three years, they even use water tankers to carry water to the trees from a great distance. However, after three years, the people stop watering the trees planted in the Gobi region, thereby leading to the death of trees after a few years as they cannot survive only on natural precipitation and groundwater. In pursuit of maximum profits, these businessmen will pursue larger areas for planting trees, which will cause further damage to the ecological environment in the Gobi region. Based on the current situation, we propose the following suggestions: (1) Trees that are planted must be monitored over a long time period, which will greatly reduce the short-term profit motive of the people engaged in planting trees. (2) We must plan greening and planting trees according to local conditions, respecting the laws of nature. Not all areas should be greened; moreover, we should not plant trees, especially in the gobi region, where planting trees can possibly destroy the gobi ecological environment, which is a very fragile desert ecosystem. (4) Personnel responsible for the destruction of the gobi ecological environment by unscientific greening and planting of trees must be obligated to restore the surface conditions of the gobi to prevent the aggravation of wind erosion and desertification, which will increase their awareness of environmental protection and receive punishment for environmental damage. More

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