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Infection properties of clade A and clade B T7-like cyanophagesWe set out to test the hypothesis that the phylogenetic separation of T7-like cyanophages into two major clades reflects differences in their infection physiology. To do this we investigated a suite of infection properties of three pairs of clade A and B phages, each pair infecting the same Synechococcus host (Table 1) to allow us to control for variability in host genetics and physiology. These six cyanophages are representatives of 3 clade A and 2 clade B cyanophage subclades (SI Appendix, Table S1).Table 1 Summary of infection physiology of three pairs of clade A and clade B cyanophages infecting the same Synechococcus hosts.Full size tableWe began by investigating adsorption kinetics and the length of time taken to produce new phages in the infection cycle, the latent period, from phage growth curve experiments. In all three pairs of phages, adsorption was 7–15-fold more rapid in the clade A phage versus the clade B phage (Fig. 1, Table 1). Furthermore, the clade A phage had a faster infection cycle with a latent period that was 3-5-fold shorter than the clade B phage on the same host (Fig. 1a–c) (Table 1). To determine how representative these findings are for a greater diversity of T7-like cyanophages we report the latent period of nine additional non-paired phages that infect a variety of hosts and span the diversity of this cyanophage genus, measured here and taken from the literature (SI Appendix, Table S1). These phages showed the same pattern as observed between phage pairs, although one clade A phage had a relatively long latent period (see SI Appendix, Table S1). Overall, the 5 clade A phages representative of 5 subclades had a significantly shorter latent period (3.3 ± 3.6 h, n = 5 phages (mean ± SD) than the 10 clade B phages from 7 subclades (7.7 ± 2.0 h, n = 10 phages) (Kruskal-Wallis: χ2 = 4.72, df = 1; p = 0.029, n = 15). No significant differences in the length of the latent period were found for clade B phages that infected Synechococcus and Prochlorococcus (Kruskal-Wallis: χ2 = 1.13, df = 1; p = 0.29, n = 10).Fig. 1: Comparison of the infection physiology between pairs of clade A and clade B T7-like cyanophage infecting the same Synechococcus host.a–c Cyanophage growth curves, d–f burst sizes, g–i virulence as the percentage of lysed host cells, j–l decay as loss of infectivity, m–o plaque sizes. a, d, g, j, m Clade A Syn5 phage and clade B S-TIP37 phage infecting WH8109. b, e, h, k, n Clade A S-CBP42 phage and clade B S-RIP2 phage infecting WH7803. c, f, i, l, o Clade A S-TIP28 phage and clade B S-TIP67 phage infecting CC9605. The host strain is shown at the right of the panels. Red and blue lines or bars show results for clade A and clade B phages, respectively. a–c, g–I Error bars indicate standard deviations. d–f Burst size results are for single cells. j–l The solid line shows the fitted multi-level linear model. m–o The time after infection at which plaques were photographed appears above the images. *p value  More

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Six biological replicates each were sampled from four fruit species (blueberries, cherries, raspberries, and strawberries) at four developmental stages. Developmental stages were based on fruit pigmentation ranging from unripe (green) to fully ripe (red/purple/navy; Fig. S1) throughout June to September in 2018. Ten fruits (except blueberries N = 20) were collected for each species per replicate, and this was replicated six times for each ripening stage for each fruit at different sites.Quantitative analysis of fungal communitiesMetabarcoding analysis is generally not quantitative, but the addition of 265 P. cucumerina cells to sub-samples prior to DNA extraction served as an internal standard to attempt an estimation of the size of fungal populations. One replicate spiked with the internal standard of the strawberry stage 3 samples was removed due to poor sequence quality leaving 96 non-spiked and 95 spiked samples which produced a total of 38,445,395 reads that clustered into 1712  > 97% identity Amplicon Sequence Variants (ASV), which from here-in we call phylotypes (Table S1). Blast searches across all phylotypes for matches to the P. cucumerina internal standard’s ITS sequence generated from Sanger sequencing revealed one phylotype that matched with 100% identity. Plectosphaerella cucumerina was naturally present in 21 of the 95 non-spiked samples and comprised of a total of 444 reads. Cherry was the only fruit where the internal standard was reliably recovered: 23 of 24 spiked samples and only one of 24 non-spiked samples contained the internal standard phylotype. After internal standard DNA read normalisation, the mean (± SE) number of fungal cells from each of the useable 23 pairs of cherry replicates was 307,323 (± 39,090) cells. The range of phylotype cell abundance across all cherry samples was 3.9 million for an Aureobasidium phylotype to 3 cells for a phylotype taxonomically assigned no higher level than kingdom. There was no significant change in total fungal cell numbers across cherry maturation stage (Kruskal–Wallis, chi-squared = 2.63, P = 0.45; Fig. S2), but fruit surface areas also increased significantly (Kruskal–Wallis, chi-squared = 19.70, P = 0.0002, Fig. S2). When cell numbers were normalised for surface area this revealed that absolute fungal population sizes remained static across cherry maturation stages (Kruskal–Wallis, chi-squared = 2.49, P = 0.48; Fig. 1A). However, there was a significant change in absolute Saccharomycetales cell numbers when normalised for cherry surface area across maturation (Kruskal–Wallis, chi-squared = 15.30, P = 0.002): stage 1 had significantly greater absolute Saccharomycetales cell numbers than stage 4 (P = 0.0007; Fig. 1B). Six individual Saccharomycetales yeast phylotypes from the genera Debaryomyces, Saccharomyces, Kodamaea, one from the family Pichiaceae, and phylotypes with  > 97% homology to M. pulcherrima and Metschnikowia gruessii, had significantly greater abundances on ripening stage 1 than 4 (P values span 0.045 to 0.006).Figure 1Absolute fungal cell abundances on cherry epicarp. Number of total fungal (A) and Saccharomycetales yeasts (B) cells per mm2 of cherry epicarp (N = 6 except, stage 3 and 4, N = 5) at four ripening stages (1, unripe/green fruit; 2, de-greening fruit; 3, ripening fruit; and 4, fully ripe/harvest fruit) estimated from DNA read abundances normalised to DNA abundances from the deliberate addition of 265 live Plectosphaerella cucumerina cells prior to DNA extraction. Different lower-case letters above bars show significant differences between ripening stages at P  > 0.05, Dunn’s comparisons post-hoc with Benjamini–Hochberg multiple comparison correction.Full size imageOverview of fungal diversity across all fruit samplesThe P. cucumerina internal standard phylotype was removed from all samples, and the sequence data normalised and analysed. A total of 1712 fungal phylotypes was revealed, comprising seven phyla, 25 classes, 96 orders, 197 families, and 280 genera. The most abundant and diverse phylum was Ascomycota, comprising 92.2% of reads and 57.3% of phylotypes, followed by Basidiomycota (7.7% reads and 33.6% phylotypes), Zygomycota (0.1% and 1.1%), Chytridiomycota ( > 0.1% and 0.7%), Mucoromycota ( > 0.1% and 0.3%), Glomeromycota and Rozellomycota (both  > 0.1% and 0.1%; Fig. S3A). A phylotype from the Cladosporium genus was the most common phylotype across all samples, comprising 60.8% of reads. A total of 87 phylotypes from the order Saccharomycetales (budding yeasts) was detected, comprising 1,792,782 DNA reads (4.7% of the total) spanning 10 families and 25 genera. Metschnikowia was the most abundant Saccharomycetales genus (40.0% of Saccharomycetales reads), followed by Hanseniaspora (38.2%), then Pichia (5.2%), with the remaining genera contributing fewer than 3% each. Candida was the most diverse genus within the order Saccharomycetales accounting for 21.8% of phylotypes, despite only comprising 2.4% of reads, followed by Metschnikowia (11.5%), Hanseniaspora (8.0%) and Pichia (6.9%), with each of the remaining genera contributing fewer than 3.5% of phylotypes each (Fig. S3B). The most common Saccharomycetales yeast across all samples was a phylotype from the genus Hanseniaspora with  > 97% homology to H. uvarum and comprised 38.2% of the total Saccharomycetales reads (Fig. S3B).The effect of fruit species and ripening stage on epicarp fungal communitiesWe analysed differences in three biodiversity metrics to evaluate the effect of fruit species and maturation stage on fungal communities: differences in the absolute numbers of phylotypes (richness); differences in the types of phylotypes (i.e. presences/absences); and differences in the relative abundances of phylotypes (community composition) following Morrison-Whittle et al.14 and Morrison‐Whittle and Goddard37.
Fungal phylotype richnessPhylotype richness was not normally distributed (Shapiro-Wilks, P = 0.008) but square root transformation allowed the data to conform to the assumptions of ANOVA. There was a significant effect of both fruit type and ripening stage on the number of fungal phylotypes, including an interaction between the two (F3,175 = 18.58, P = 1.65 × 10–10; F3,175 = 5.00, P = 0.002 and F9,175 = 6.69, P = 3.25 × 10–8 respectively). Comparisons of effect sizes revealed fruit type (ω2 = 0.30) had a 4.4 times greater effect than ripening stage (ω2 = 0.068) on fungal phylotype richness. Disregarding ripening stage, cherry (mean ± SE number of phylotypes = 98 ± 4.1) had significantly more fungal phylotypes than blueberry (68 ± 3.7), raspberry (72 ± 2.9) and strawberry (76 ± 3.2) (Tukey’s HSD, P  0.05) and there was a significant effect of ripening stage on the number of fungal phylotypes for cherry, raspberry, and strawberry (one-way ANOVA: F3,44 = 4.33, P = 0.0093; F3,44 = 13.56, P = 2.11 × 10–6 and F3,44 = 13.86, P = 1.84 × 10–6, respectively, Fig. 2), but not blueberry (F3,44 = 2.27, P = 0.055). On cherries phylotype numbers increased during ripening, but raspberry and strawberry had greater numbers at intermediate stages of fruit maturation (Fig. 2).Figure 2Number of observed phylotypes across fruit types and maturation stages. Number of fungal phylotypes across four ripening stages (1, unripe/green fruit; 2, de-greening fruit; 3, ripening fruit; and 4, fully ripe/harvest fruit) for blueberry, cherry, raspberry and strawberry (N = 12 except N = 11 for strawberry stage 3). Numbers of fungal phylotypes differ across ripening stages for cherry, raspberry and strawberry but not blueberry (ANOVA, P values shown). Where significant, different lowercase letters represent significant differences in phylotype numbers within each fruit (P  97% homology to Metschnikowia kunwiensis and H. uvarum on raspberry; and phylotypes with  > 97% homology to Kalmanozyma fusiformata (Ustilaginaceae smut fungi) and Podosphaera aphanis on strawberry.Twenty-four of the 195 indicator phylotypes belonged to the Saccharomycetales budding yeasts (Table S13). There were no Saccharomycetales indicator phylotypes for cherry, and just one for blueberry, a fungal phylotype with  > 97% homology to Metschnikowia koreensis. Raspberry had 15 Saccharomycetales indicator phylotypes: three with  > 97% homology to the Metschnikowia and, Candida genera, two Pichia and Schwanniomyces, and one each from Hanseniaspora, Barnettozyma, Debaryomyces, Candida, Geotrichum and Martiniozyma. There were eight indicator phylotypes for strawberry; two Candida and one from each of the Metschnikowia, Starmerella, Kodamaea and Hyphopichia genera and the Pichiaceae family, and a phylotype assigned to the no higher level than fungal kingdom (with  > 97% homology to deposit from Candida genus). The dynamics of Saccharomycetales yeast indicator phylotypes abundances across maturation for raspberry and strawberry is shown in Fig. 6.Figure 6Dynamics of changes in the proportion of budding yeast indicator phylotypes. Mean proportion of reads for the Saccharomycetales budding yeast indicator phylotypes that are significantly overrepresented on (A) raspberry and (B) strawberry (P  97% homology identified by manual Blast searches.Full size imageDifferences of yeast known to be attractive to D. suzukii
Yeast from the Hanseniaspora, Pichia, Saccharomyces, Candida and Metschnikowia genera and their combinations are attractive to D. suzukii27,28,30,31, and phylotypes belonging to these genera were recovered here. The combined relative read abundances of all phylotypes assigned to these genera were significantly different between fruit types and ripening stages (Kruskal–Wallis chi-squared = 60.54, P = 4.51 × 10–13; chi-squared = 10.11, P = 0.018, respectively). Raspberry had the highest relative abundance of yeast genera known to be attractive to D. suzukii (mean ± SE = 21,539 ± 4339) and this was significantly greater than on the other fruits (P  97% homology to H. uvarum as over-represented on raspberry generally, and especially at later stages (Fig. 6A).Differences of Botrytis cinerea, known to be repulsive to D. suzukii
The relative read abundances of B. cinerea were significantly different between fruit types and ripening stages (Kruskal–Wallis chi-squared = 73.45, P = 7.80 × 10–16; Kruskal–Wallis chi-squared = 23.81, P = 2.74 × 10–5, respectively). Raspberry had the lowest relative abundance of B. cinerea (mean ± SE = 800 ± 136) and this was significantly lower than strawberry (1994 ± 292) and blueberry (5990 ± 1305) (P  More

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Experimental design and crop managementField experiments were conducted at Chengyang Agricultural Experimental Station, Qingdao, China (36°18′ 11″/N, 120°21′ 13″/E) in 2019 and 2020. The soil type in the field was brown loam that contained 22.76 g kg−1 organic matter, 82.39 mg kg−1 alkali-hydrolysable N, 25.10 mg kg−1 Olsen-P and 94.89 mg kg−1 exchangeable K. The test cultivars of maize were Jinhai5 with strong lodging resistance and Xundan20 with weak lodging resistance, which were repeated four times in plots laying out in randomized block designs. Plant density was 7.5 plants / m2 with the row spacing of 60 cm. the plot consisted of 8 rows length of 15 m. Two–three seeds per hole were manually sowed at 5 cm on 20 April 2019 and 24 April 2020, and the seedlings were thinned to the target planting density at V2, and harvested on 10 September and 14 September, respectively. Fertilization and irrigation management followed local production practices in maize.Sampling and measurementPlant samples were taken at V8, V12, R1, R2 and R6. Ten typical plants of each tested cultivars were selected to be subjected to mechanical and above-ground morphological measurements at each sampling. The other three maize plants were used to measure morphological traits of roots. Xundan20 was seriously damaged due to the storm in the late stage of maize growth in 2020, resulting in the missing data for physiological maturity.Determination of leaf area vertical distributionLeaf area of expanded leaves each was computed by the coefficient method: Single leaf area = length * width * 0.75. Leaf area for unexpanded leaves was estimated by the leaf weight method. Leaf area per plant was the sum of all individual green leaf areas. Leaf height is the height from the ground to the leaf collar position of maize.Determination of max root side-pulling resistanceSample plants were surrounded with water-proof steel devices inserted into underground, and watered to soil moisture over saturation at one day before mechanical testing. When measured, due to the limited space, all leaves of sample plants are removed in order to improve the measurement accuracy. The defoliated stalks were immobilized by a pair of lengthwise steel clamps to prevent stalks from bending (Fig. 7). After the digital pole dynamometer18 with a 1.5 m long slider and a main unit was linked to the stalks at a height of 80 cm away from the ground, the operator by hand pulled at a slow and uniform speed until the roots were pulled out. Records of load force, declination angle and sensor position were automatically stored in main unit during this operation. The peak value of forces, extracted from records, was taken as the max root side-pulling resistance.Figure 7Schematic diagram for measuring max root side-pulling resistance.Full size imageRoot anti-lodging indexBased on the method of Cui et al.6, the force value comparison is changed to the moment value comparison to calculate root anti-lodging index:$${text{AL}}_{root} = M_{root} / , M_{wind} = F_{root} / , F_{wind}$$
(1)
where M root is the root failure moment, M wind is the wind resultant moment. Root anti-lodging index indicates the ability of plants to resist root lodging. The larger its value is, the stronger the resistance is, and vice versa.$${text{M}}_{root} = F , *d$$
(2)
where F is the max root side-pulling resistance, d is moment arm, i.e., the length of force arm. As a component of root anti-lodging index, the root failure moment represents the ability of the root system to resist lateral pulling. The greater its value is, the better the resistance is, and vice versa.With the base of the stem as the fulcrum,$${text{M}}_{wind} = sum 0.{5}CA_{i} rho V^{2} h_{i}$$
(3)
where C is coefficient of air resistance, ρ is air mass density ,V is the wind speed , Ai is the area of a single leaf , hi is the height of leaf, ∑ represents to sum up over all leaves. C value is set to be 0.219. When encountering wind speed at grade 6 or higher, maize is more prone to lodging. Unless stated explicitly, the following analysis was limited to the upper wind speed for grade 6 wind20.Root morphological traitsThe number and length of all primary nodal roots were measured. Root-soil balls each of two or three tested plants were obtained after lateral root-pulling testing. The images of the three frontal sides, 120 degrees apart from each other, of the root-soil balls were taken using a digital camera. Ball volumes were then evaluated by considering them to be rotationally symmetric. Average volumes were used for further analysis.Single root tensile resistanceRoots after counting the number of nodal roots were used to measure the single root tensile resistance. First, clean the dust off roots. Then, diameters of roots were determined with a vernier caliper. Single root tensile resistance was measured by HF-500 digital push–pull apparatus. Fixed the upper and lower ends of the root, then one end moved slowly and uniformly, the other end was still until the root breaks. The peak tension force displayed by the instrument was taken as the single root tensile resistance.Statistical analysisBased on variance analysis, the Tukey method was used to compare the differences among means. The logarithmic transformation of variables was carried out to improve the homogeneity of error variance if appropriate.The substantive effect or influence of various factors on the response variable can be expressed by effect size of factors, which can be calculated under the framework of variance analysis. Effect size is the proportion of the effect of a certain factor in the total effect, which is a dimensionless number21,22,23.The formula for calculating effect size of factors is:$$omega^{2} = frac{{df_{effect} times left( {MS_{effect} – MS_{error} } right)}}{{SS_{total} + MS_{error} }}$$
(4)
where df is the degree of freedom, MS represents mean square.Two conceptual models were used when dealing with effect size. One model was of components, i.e., taking the logarithm of both sides of Eq. (1):$${text{LOG}}left( {{text{AL}}_{{{text{root}}}} } right) , = {text{ LOG}}left( {{text{M}}_{{{text{root}}}} } right) , + {text{ LOG}}left( {{text{M}}_{{{text{wind}}}} } right)$$
(5)
where LOG denotes logarithmic transformation.The other was the factorial model, i.e.,$${text{factors affecting AL}}_{{{text{root}}}} = {text{ wind grade }} + {text{ cultivar }} + {text{ growth stage}}$$
(6)
Experimental research and field studies on plants including the collection of plant materialThe authors declare that the cultivation of plants and carrying out study in Chengyang Agricultural Experimental Station complies with all relevant institutional, national and international guidelines and treaties.Statement of permissions and/or licenses for collection of plant or seed specimensThe authors declare that the seed specimens used in this study are publicly accessible seed materials and we were given explicit written permission to use them for this research. More

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Here we have used existing surveillance to detect an emerging wildlife disease and appraise its impact by combining traditional host and vector screening with utilisation of national datasets generated by citizen scientists. Following the detection of USUV in the UK in 20207, whilst national surveillance identified no further cases of USUV infection in wild birds that year, we discovered a significant cluster of blackbird DIRs and an overlapping regional reduction in reported blackbird observations, possibly indicating disease-mediated population decline. Our investigation also identified mosquito vectors at the index site that were positive for USUV RNA, suggesting that ongoing virus transmission was likely.The most prevalent and notable histological changes in the blackbirds and house sparrow with confirmed USUV infection were those in the liver and spleen, consisting of necrosis and lymphohistiocytic inflammation along with moderate to abundant virus antigen labelling. Whilst neurotropism resulting in brain necrosis and lymphohistiocytic inflammation has been reported in studies which examined large numbers of wild blackbirds with USUV infection in continental Europe4,12, we found minimal evidence of neural lesions in the five wild birds examined in this study. Although, histopathological changes in other tissues were generally non-specific, immunolabelling demonstrated widespread virus antigen distribution in both bird species, which is similar to reports of USUV infection elsewhere4,13,14. Immunolabelling was disproportionately greater in the brain and heart in contrast to the minimal or absent histological changes observed in these organs: similar contrasting results of histological and immunohistochemical examinations of USUV-infected wild birds have previously been reported12. Although only brain and kidney samples were examined using USUV RT-PCR, our findings, together with earlier reports4,14, demonstrate that viral antigen can be detected in abundance in the heart and liver, suggesting that these organs could be useful for molecular diagnostic sampling.A differential for necrotising lesions in European passerines, and a comorbidity detected in blackbirds with USUV infection, is Plasmodium spp. infection4,8,15. DNA of the same Plasmodium spp. as detected in the tissues of USUV-positive blackbirds from the ZSL London Zoo site in 2020 was identified in Cx. pipiens s.l. that fed on blackbird hosts at this site previously in 2015, supporting endemic avian haemoparasite infection of this wild bird species at this location. In contrast to the results reported from USUV-positive blackbirds in the Netherlands4, no exo-erythrocytic stages of haemoprotozoa indicative of avian malaria were observed histologically in the two UK blackbirds positive for Plasmodium DNA. Since histological examination has limited sensitivity, in situ hybridisation could be used to further appraise the clinical significance of this co-infection in the future16.Zoological collections are ideally placed to form part of wildlife disease surveillance networks and have already contributed to flavivirus detection in mainland Europe10,13,17,18. The collection grounds at ZSL London Zoo are well monitored for evidence of morbidity or mortality in synanthropic wildlife; this unusually high level of vigilance is considered the likely explanation for detection of USUV at such a location. Recent import of infected captive birds can be excluded as a potential route of USUV introduction as the COVID-19 pandemic had led to suspension of animal movements into the zoological collection. Following USUV detection in synanthropic wildlife, preemptive management practices were employed to safeguard the health of captive animals (Supplementary Materials 1); there was no evidence of USUV-associated disease in the collection animals.The majority of mosquitoes trapped in 2020 were primarily ornithophagic Cx. pipiens s.l., a known vector for USUV1 and a common species in temperate urban habitats. This mosquito species was also the most frequently detected at the ZSL London Zoo site in 2015, during historical trapping sessions19 and at two zoological collections in northern England20. Bloodmeal analyses from mosquitoes at ZSL London Zoo in 2015 and 2020 demonstrate that this species feeds on both wild and collection birds, as would be expected for a generalist ornithophagic mosquito21. In addition, targeted mosquito surveillance in 2020 confirmed circulating USUV in multiple Cx. pipiens s.l. pools at the index site over a three-week period subsequent to the detection of USUV-associated wild bird mortality. This further demonstrates that local mosquito trapping combined with PCR screening is useful as part of an integrated surveillance programme22 and provides evidence that native vectors in the UK may facilitate the onward transmission of USUV to susceptible hosts following an emergence event.Wild bird flavivirus surveillance in Great Britain integrates submissions from three schemes, each with a different taxonomic focus. These convenience samples inevitably lead to skews in species coverage. Although a common garden bird, the number of blackbirds tested for USUV was modest at 2–8 per annum over the period 2012–2019. A communication programme to raise awareness of blackbirds as a sentinel species for USUV, involving a range of stakeholder communities (e.g. non-governmental organisations, wildlife rehabilitators and veterinary surgeons) could help to increase the volume of submissions and, by extension, the ability to rapidly identify the occurrence of USUV in this species. The potential value of target species as sentinels within wild bird surveillance networks has been highlighted for other pathogens, e.g. highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza and West Nile virus23,24. In addition to this passive surveillance focused on disease detection in avian hosts, active targeted serosurveys could be conducted to identify cryptic exposure of subclinically affected birds in the future. Given the logistical challenges around active serosurveys in wild birds, screening of archived samples from captive birds in the zoological collection may provide a means to further appraise the extent of USUV circulation, as has previously been undertaken at other collections in mainland Europe25,26.Local reductions of blackbird populations have been reported following USUV outbreaks in mainland Europe27,28,29, but numbers recorded by the BBS have been stable in the UK and Greater London since 2011 when USUV incursion would be predicted most likely to have occurred on the basis of spatio-temporal patterns of spread in mainland Europe3 until the latest data are available from 2019 (Supplementary Figure 5). Whilst our index site detection of USUV is unlikely to represent the incursion event, and earlier sporadic or localised USUV incidents prior to 2020 may have occurred7, based on historical blackbird population trends it seems plausible that the existing surveillance system enabled rapid detection of this emerging infectious disease.Significant clustering of blackbird DIRs was observed in the Greater London, South East and East of England regions in 2020. These results should be interpreted with care given the potential for biases with these opportunistic data and the absence of confirmed aetiology for the DIRs, however, these findings are consistent with a regional increase in blackbird morbidity and mortality in summer 2020 around the USUV index site. Consequently, it is likely that further blackbirds, in addition to those recovered for PME, were infected and died with USUV. Whilst no evidence of an increase in generalised ill health or neurological disease category blackbird DIRs was found in 2020, particular attention should be paid to early detection of clusters of DIRs of these categories as a potential signal of USUV occurrence in the future.One indicator, the dead bird ringed recovery dataset, did not support increased scale of blackbird mortality in Greater London; however, the dataset is small and vulnerable to variation in observer bias (e.g. related to COVID-19 induced lockdown and travel restrictions). In contrast, using the GBW dataset, we identified a substantial seasonal decline in the blackbird weekly reporting rate which was associated with a concomitant reduction in weekly count in gardens, but not in ecologically similar control species, which was contemporaneous with the period of detected USUV activity in Greater London. These population trends are consistent with a hypothesis of disease-mediated decline. Alternative explanations, such as variation in climate, food availability or bird movement need consideration and are discussed next.Exploration of climate data indicates that, whilst the spring and early summer of 2020 was noteworthy with a high daily temperature average and low rainfall, at the time of USUV detection and the decline in the blackbird reporting rate, these parameters were within historical ranges (Supplementary Table 7). Consequently, while the climate may have been permissive for USUV transmission, there is no evidence to support variation in the weather alone as an explanation for the seasonal pattern of blackbird reporting rate decline; nor were declines observed in the robin or starling data, the control species with similar soil invertebrate diet and therefore similar vulnerability to summer drought. Blackbird, robin and starling populations in the UK are partially migratory; however, birds from mainland Europe do not migrate to overwinter in England until mid-October (i.e. after the decline in blackbird reporting rate occurred): consequently international bird movement does not offer an explanation for the observed regional blackbird decline. During the late summer season, short-distance movement from garden to non-garden habitats typically occurs, during the period of moult; however, the extent of the decline in blackbird reporting rate in gardens that occurred in Greater London in 2020 markedly exceeds that of the historical trend (2011–2019 inclusive; BTO unpubl. data). In summary, despite the fact that surveillance did not confirm further cases of wild bird USUV infection in 2020, and whilst it is not possible to ascribe causality, or exclude the chance that other factors may have contributed to the observed population trend, it remains possible that large-scale blackbird mortality due to USUV occurred in Greater London in summer 2020.Our study and others30 illustrate the need to integrate disease surveillance and long-term population monitoring schemes to evaluate disease impact, and to use control species to explore potential confounding drivers of population change (e.g. climate, food availability). Since GBW reporting rates are generated online in real-time, and nationwide, they offer a tool to rapidly detect changes in species presence (i.e. reporting rate) or flock size in gardens (i.e. weekly maximum count) that can be used to strategically enhance surveillance effort for disease detection. As wild bird ring recovery reports are also submitted online, there is also the potential to develop a complementary system that monitors for trends in occurrence of dead birds that might signal a disease outbreak. The BBS survey provides the most robust available data on population trends to appraise disease impact, however there is a delay of some months until data from this scheme become available. Since repeated incursions have occurred in mainland Europe following first detection1,17,31, it is likely that USUV will emerge in the UK again, either through overwintering or repeat incursion(s). Integrated disease surveillance in combination with bird population monitoring using the various available datasets, as we have capitalised on here, is required to assess whether USUV re-occurs, or becomes endemic, in UK wild birds and to identify any associated population impacts.By combining a range of professional and citizen science datasets our study approach facilitates the rapid detection of an emerging disease in free-living wildlife and enables insights into its incipient impact. We believe this multidisciplinary approach presents a framework for the early detection of disease outbreaks and incursion, thus helping to safeguard animal and public health. Such early warning systems could facilitate prompt mitigation action, for example targeted biosecurity measures and enhanced vigilance by medical and veterinary authorities. In addition, there is opportunity to further develop collaboration with ornithologists through active surveillance of wild birds, as was recently employed to detect West Nile virus in a migratory bird in the Netherlands32. Whilst population monitoring schemes are most developed for wild birds, lessons learned may be applied for the surveillance of diseases affecting other taxa. More